Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#148
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#142
Pace79.6#11
Improvement+0.0#185

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#189
First Shot-1.4#207
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#146
Layup/Dunks-0.3#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#322
Freethrows+2.1#69
Improvement-0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#129
First Shot+1.0#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#171
Layups/Dunks+8.4#10
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#333
Freethrows-4.7#362
Improvement+0.1#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 8.3% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.7 13.1
.500 or above 81.2% 92.5% 78.6%
.500 or above in Conference 67.7% 77.1% 65.6%
Conference Champion 3.2% 5.0% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.2% 2.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.7% 8.3% 5.1%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 18.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 56 - 10
Quad 412 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 89   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-70 21%     0 - 1 -4.9 -15.9 +12.1
  Nov 06, 2024 338   @ Le Moyne W 97-75 79%     1 - 1 +13.9 +11.3 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 329   @ Sacramento St. W 79-69 76%     2 - 1 +3.0 +5.4 -2.3
  Nov 24, 2024 298   Utah Tech W 89-79 77%     3 - 1 +2.7 +10.4 -7.9
  Nov 25, 2024 325   Denver W 89-60 82%     4 - 1 +19.8 +8.5 +10.6
  Nov 27, 2024 212   @ Montana L 75-83 50%     4 - 2 -7.5 -5.6 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2024 139   @ Montana St. W 72-69 OT 36%     5 - 2 +7.1 -3.2 +10.2
  Dec 05, 2024 177   UC Riverside L 64-68 66%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -7.9 -11.1 +3.2
  Dec 07, 2024 249   @ Cal Poly W 102-91 59%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +9.1 +11.1 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2024 80   @ USC L 72-81 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 85-67 95%    
  Jan 02, 2025 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 04, 2025 184   UC Davis W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 09, 2025 63   UC Irvine L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 245   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 17, 2025 174   @ Hawaii L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 23, 2025 272   Long Beach St. W 78-69 81%    
  Jan 25, 2025 95   @ UC San Diego L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 30, 2025 136   @ UC Santa Barbara L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-69 77%    
  Feb 06, 2025 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-67 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 272   @ Long Beach St. W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 249   Cal Poly W 90-82 77%    
  Feb 20, 2025 63   @ UC Irvine L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 22, 2025 184   @ UC Davis L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 95   UC San Diego L 73-75 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 136   UC Santa Barbara W 78-76 58%    
  Mar 06, 2025 177   @ UC Riverside L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 08, 2025 174   Hawaii W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.0 6.1 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 6.1 6.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 17.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 6.3 5.2 1.6 0.2 15.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.2 4.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.7 1.0 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 5.9 8.7 11.8 14.2 14.5 13.5 10.7 7.4 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 76.6% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 50.1% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
15-5 21.5% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 37.8% 37.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1
17-3 0.7% 37.9% 37.9% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 2.0% 27.5% 27.5% 12.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-5 4.5% 20.8% 20.8% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 3.5
14-6 7.4% 14.8% 14.8% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.3
13-7 10.7% 9.8% 9.8% 13.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.6
12-8 13.5% 5.5% 5.5% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 12.8
11-9 14.5% 3.0% 3.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.0
10-10 14.2% 1.8% 1.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9
9-11 11.8% 1.3% 1.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7
8-12 8.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-13 5.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 5.9
6-14 3.3% 3.3
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 94.3 0.0%