Montana
Big Sky
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#218
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#134
Pace65.5#295
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#257
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 19.9% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.9 14.7
.500 or above 41.8% 70.7% 40.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.8% 79.6% 62.8%
Conference Champion 13.7% 24.8% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 2.9% 8.0%
First Four1.7% 0.9% 1.7%
First Round10.5% 19.7% 9.9%
Second Round0.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 39   @ Oregon L 48-79 7%     0 - 1 -17.2 -14.2 -5.4
  Nov 13, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 57-92 3%     0 - 2 -15.2 -3.5 -12.5
  Nov 18, 2024 43   @ Utah St. L 66-82 6%    
  Nov 24, 2024 309   Denver W 79-71 77%    
  Nov 25, 2024 301   Utah Tech W 77-70 74%    
  Nov 27, 2024 202   Cal St. Northridge W 76-74 59%    
  Dec 04, 2024 166   South Dakota St. W 73-72 51%    
  Dec 07, 2024 169   @ St. Thomas L 69-75 31%    
  Dec 16, 2024 128   @ Northern Iowa L 66-74 23%    
  Dec 21, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 64-78 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 228   @ Eastern Washington L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 282   @ Idaho W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 09, 2025 288   Northern Arizona W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 192   Northern Colorado W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 16, 2025 233   @ Weber St. L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 265   @ Idaho St. L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 20, 2025 282   Idaho W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 165   Montana St. W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 30, 2025 209   Portland St. W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 296   Sacramento St. W 68-61 73%    
  Feb 06, 2025 192   @ Northern Colorado L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 288   @ Northern Arizona W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 13, 2025 265   Idaho St. W 68-63 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 233   Weber St. W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 165   @ Montana St. L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 296   @ Sacramento St. W 65-64 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 209   @ Portland St. L 76-79 39%    
  Mar 03, 2025 228   Eastern Washington W 79-76 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.6 3.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 13.7 1st
2nd 0.4 2.3 4.7 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.3 3.2 0.8 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 5.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 2.2 0.4 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.2 4.7 6.8 8.4 10.3 11.7 11.8 11.2 9.6 7.8 5.5 3.4 2.0 0.7 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
16-2 98.3% 1.9    1.8 0.1
15-3 88.9% 3.0    2.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 66.5% 3.6    2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 38.4% 3.0    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
12-6 12.1% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.7% 13.7 8.8 3.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 66.0% 63.8% 2.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.9%
17-1 0.7% 45.4% 45.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.0% 43.9% 43.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1
15-3 3.4% 34.3% 34.3% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2
14-4 5.5% 29.6% 29.6% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.0 3.9
13-5 7.8% 21.7% 21.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 6.1
12-6 9.6% 18.0% 18.0% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 7.9
11-7 11.2% 12.3% 12.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 9.9
10-8 11.8% 8.5% 8.5% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 10.8
9-9 11.7% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.0
8-10 10.3% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.9
7-11 8.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.2
6-12 6.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.7
5-13 4.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.8 3.5 2.9 88.8 0.0%