South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#166
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#19
Pace69.3#183
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#155
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#198
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.4% 25.8% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 75.7% 84.8% 63.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.8% 86.3% 76.0%
Conference Champion 30.9% 36.1% 24.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.0% 4.7%
First Four0.9% 0.6% 1.3%
First Round22.0% 25.6% 17.4%
Second Round2.0% 2.6% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Neutral) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 34 - 45 - 7
Quad 412 - 417 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 99   McNeese St. W 80-73 31%     1 - 0 +12.1 +5.4 +6.4
  Nov 08, 2024 250   Long Beach St. W 80-79 76%     2 - 0 -6.3 +3.0 -9.3
  Nov 14, 2024 192   Northern Colorado W 77-75 57%    
  Nov 20, 2024 231   Southern Miss W 78-72 72%    
  Nov 24, 2024 157   Duquesne L 70-71 48%    
  Dec 04, 2024 218   @ Montana L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 07, 2024 228   Eastern Washington W 82-76 71%    
  Dec 11, 2024 46   @ Nevada L 64-77 12%    
  Dec 13, 2024 76   @ Colorado L 66-77 17%    
  Dec 29, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 69-90 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 309   Denver W 82-71 82%    
  Jan 08, 2025 169   @ St. Thomas L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 266   @ Nebraska Omaha W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 271   North Dakota W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 18, 2025 245   Oral Roberts W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 23, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   South Dakota W 80-73 74%    
  Jan 30, 2025 222   @ North Dakota St. W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 271   @ North Dakota W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 06, 2025 169   St. Thomas W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 13, 2025 266   Nebraska Omaha W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 252   @ South Dakota W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 19, 2025 222   North Dakota St. W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 23, 2025 205   UMKC W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 27, 2025 245   @ Oral Roberts W 75-74 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 309   @ Denver W 79-74 65%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.5 7.1 8.6 6.5 3.4 1.0 30.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.5 4.6 1.5 0.2 19.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.8 1.6 0.1 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.0 1.1 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.2 0.9 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.1 5.0 7.2 9.5 11.9 13.4 13.7 12.1 10.1 6.7 3.4 1.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
15-1 100.0% 3.4    3.3 0.0
14-2 97.4% 6.5    6.0 0.5
13-3 85.0% 8.6    6.6 2.0 0.1
12-4 58.7% 7.1    3.7 3.0 0.4 0.0
11-5 25.7% 3.5    1.0 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 5.6% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 30.9% 30.9 21.6 7.3 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.0% 65.0% 62.3% 2.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 7.1%
15-1 3.4% 55.7% 55.3% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.9%
14-2 6.7% 46.9% 46.9% 12.8 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.5
13-3 10.1% 38.6% 38.6% 13.2 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.2
12-4 12.1% 30.4% 30.4% 13.6 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 8.4
11-5 13.7% 24.3% 24.3% 14.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.1 10.4
10-6 13.4% 18.2% 18.2% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.2 11.0
9-7 11.9% 12.8% 12.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 10.4
8-8 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 8.6
7-9 7.2% 7.9% 7.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.7
6-10 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.7
5-11 3.1% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.0
4-12 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 22.4% 22.4% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.4 6.3 6.2 4.3 1.6 77.6 0.1%