Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#293
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#275
Pace63.3#316
Improvement-1.8#259

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#233
First Shot-2.7#253
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#171
Layup/Dunks-5.1#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#229
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+1.4#95

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#324
First Shot-3.4#283
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#314
Layups/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#276
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement-3.2#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.9% 12.9% 2.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 3.8% 12.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 33 - 83 - 16
Quad 45 - 68 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 114   @ South Dakota St. L 79-80 11%     0 - 1 +4.7 +8.4 -3.7
  Nov 13, 2024 75   @ San Francisco L 54-84 6%     0 - 2 -19.9 -10.7 -11.1
  Nov 16, 2024 308   Portland L 61-63 63%     0 - 3 -13.0 -9.5 -3.8
  Nov 20, 2024 14   @ Gonzaga L 41-84 1%     0 - 4 -23.6 -21.5 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2024 254   Fresno St. L 69-72 52%     0 - 5 -11.0 -8.8 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2024 129   UNC Greensboro L 48-71 18%     0 - 6 -20.9 -19.2 -4.1
  Nov 26, 2024 131   UTEP L 44-70 19%     0 - 7 -24.1 -25.3 +0.2
  Nov 27, 2024 160   San Jose St. L 66-82 23%     0 - 8 -15.7 +0.7 -18.6
  Dec 05, 2024 309   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-56 43%     1 - 8 1 - 0 +11.3 +2.6 +9.7
  Dec 07, 2024 181   Hawaii W 76-68 35%     2 - 8 2 - 0 +4.4 +7.1 -2.1
  Dec 10, 2024 290   @ San Diego W 76-70 39%     3 - 8 +1.3 +13.2 -11.1
  Dec 19, 2024 203   @ Pepperdine W 79-76 22%     4 - 8 +3.6 +7.4 -3.7
  Jan 02, 2025 175   UC Riverside L 60-76 34%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -19.3 -9.5 -11.1
  Jan 04, 2025 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-80 27%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -16.3 -0.6 -17.8
  Jan 11, 2025 228   @ UC Davis W 84-73 26%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +10.0 +19.7 -9.2
  Jan 16, 2025 79   UC San Diego L 54-80 13%     5 - 11 3 - 3 -21.5 -9.3 -16.0
  Jan 18, 2025 309   Cal St. Fullerton L 67-83 64%     5 - 12 3 - 4 -27.2 -12.0 -14.8
  Jan 23, 2025 133   @ Cal St. Northridge L 69-81 12%    
  Jan 25, 2025 286   @ Cal Poly L 76-79 38%    
  Jan 30, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 61-75 9%    
  Feb 01, 2025 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 63-73 16%    
  Feb 06, 2025 228   UC Davis L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 133   Cal St. Northridge L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 14, 2025 181   @ Hawaii L 64-73 19%    
  Feb 20, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 165   UC Santa Barbara L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 234   Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 58-78 3%    
  Mar 06, 2025 79   @ UC San Diego L 60-78 5%    
  Mar 08, 2025 286   Cal Poly W 79-77 59%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.1 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 4.9 2.4 0.2 9.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.5 9.2 6.0 0.8 0.0 19.8 8th
9th 0.0 2.0 10.9 16.4 9.2 1.8 0.0 40.4 9th
10th 1.3 6.4 7.9 3.1 0.4 19.1 10th
11th 1.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 2.7 10.4 19.7 23.1 20.4 13.5 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 0.2
11-9 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-10 2.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.7
9-11 6.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.3
8-12 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
7-13 20.4% 20.4
6-14 23.1% 23.1
5-15 19.7% 19.7
4-16 10.4% 10.4
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%