Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#286
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#318
Pace66.5#263
Improvement+0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#251
First Shot-3.5#271
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#162
Layup/Dunks-3.8#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
Freethrows-2.1#295
Improvement+1.7#56

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#290
First Shot-4.9#329
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#98
Layups/Dunks-2.6#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#62
Freethrows-4.4#351
Improvement-1.6#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 2.1% 5.7% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 15.8% 31.7% 11.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.6% 11.8% 26.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 102 - 15
Quad 47 - 69 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 52 @San Diego St. L 45-77 4%     0 - 1 -19.0 -22.7 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 8 179 @Fresno St. L 62-82 21%     0 - 2 -18.4 -10.5 -7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 139 @Pacific L 66-69 15%     0 - 3 +1.5 -3.0 +4.4
  Sun, Nov 16 101 Illinois St. L 80-82 21%     0 - 4 -0.2 +10.0 -10.2
  Fri, Nov 21 152 Montana St. L 72-78 35%     0 - 5 -8.9 -1.0 -7.9
  Wed, Nov 26 270 @Portland L 73-93 36%     0 - 6 -23.1 -3.3 -19.3
  Sun, Nov 30 262 San Diego W 76-72 57%     1 - 6 -4.7 +5.9 -10.2
  Thu, Dec 4 148 @UC Santa Barbara L 77-84 OT 17%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -3.5 -1.0 -2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 102 UC San Diego L 68-77 20%    
  Tue, Dec 9 185 @San Jose St. L 66-74 22%    
  Thu, Dec 18 298 Pepperdine W 72-68 64%    
  Sun, Dec 21 6 @Iowa St. L 59-89 0.3%   
  Sat, Jan 3 243 Cal Poly W 80-79 53%    
  Thu, Jan 8 125 @UC Irvine L 61-74 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 280 Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-70 59%    
  Thu, Jan 15 271 UC Riverside W 73-71 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 253 @Cal St. Northridge L 74-79 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 303 @Cal St. Fullerton L 78-80 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 148 UC Santa Barbara L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 271 @UC Riverside L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 108 Hawaii L 68-76 24%    
  Thu, Feb 5 102 @UC San Diego L 65-80 10%    
  Thu, Feb 12 303 Cal St. Fullerton W 81-77 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 168 @UC Davis L 65-74 22%    
  Thu, Feb 19 125 UC Irvine L 64-71 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 253 Cal St. Northridge W 77-76 55%    
  Thu, Feb 26 243 @Cal Poly L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 280 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-73 38%    
  Thu, Mar 5 168 UC Davis L 68-71 39%    
  Sun, Mar 8 108 @Hawaii L 65-79 10%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.1 4.0 2.9 0.6 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 15.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 4.3 7.4 3.8 0.7 0.0 17.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.7 6.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 16.7 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 3.1 4.9 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.7 11th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.4 6.6 9.7 13.3 14.6 14.0 11.8 9.4 6.9 4.3 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 39.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.2% 27.9% 27.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.6% 8.2% 8.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 1.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-8 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
11-9 4.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 4.2
10-10 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
9-11 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.4
8-12 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.8
7-13 14.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.0
6-14 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
5-15 13.3% 13.3
4-16 9.7% 9.7
3-17 6.6% 6.6
2-18 3.4% 3.4
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%