Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#311
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#342
Pace67.0#253
Improvement-3.6#353

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#334
First Shot-4.8#308
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#270
Layup/Dunks-3.3#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#245
Freethrows+1.8#84
Improvement-2.7#351

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#238
First Shot-2.4#254
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#171
Layups/Dunks-2.3#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#274
Freethrows+1.8#76
Improvement-0.8#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 52.5% 46.2% 56.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 82 - 16
Quad 44 - 86 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 27 @UCLA L 63-74 2%     0 - 1 +5.9 +5.2 -0.6
  Sat, Nov 15 157 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 31%     0 - 2 -10.3 -6.2 -3.0
  Tue, Nov 18 244 New Orleans W 90-79 47%     1 - 2 +3.4 +7.9 -5.0
  Fri, Nov 21 142 Stephen F. Austin L 60-63 26%     1 - 3 -4.8 -9.5 +4.6
  Wed, Nov 26 183 Fresno St. L 53-76 26%     1 - 4 -24.7 -18.3 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 303 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69-83 37%     1 - 5 -19.0 -6.7 -12.2
  Tue, Dec 2 215 Abilene Christian L 63-71 43%     1 - 6 -14.5 -2.5 -13.0
  Sat, Dec 6 185 Vermont L 56-65 36%     1 - 7 -13.7 -15.0 +0.2
  Sat, Dec 13 295 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Dec 18 280 @Long Beach St. L 67-72 33%    
  Sat, Dec 20 213 Rice L 67-69 43%    
  Sun, Dec 28 4 Gonzaga L 60-87 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 41 St. Mary's L 59-76 6%    
  Fri, Jan 2 75 @Santa Clara L 63-82 4%    
  Sun, Jan 4 137 @Pacific L 62-75 11%    
  Thu, Jan 8 264 @San Diego L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 100 San Francisco L 65-75 18%    
  Wed, Jan 14 275 Portland W 72-71 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 4 @Gonzaga L 57-90 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 24 151 @Washington St. L 68-80 15%    
  Wed, Jan 28 264 San Diego W 74-73 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 113 @Seattle L 60-75 9%    
  Sat, Feb 7 137 Pacific L 65-72 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 41 @St. Mary's L 56-79 2%    
  Sat, Feb 14 140 Loyola Marymount L 63-70 27%    
  Wed, Feb 18 275 @Portland L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 165 @Oregon St. L 62-73 17%    
  Wed, Feb 25 113 Seattle L 63-72 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 151 Washington St. L 71-77 31%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 6.5 6.5 1.8 0.1 16.6 10th
11th 0.3 4.0 10.3 9.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 26.4 11th
12th 3.7 10.8 13.8 8.0 1.9 0.1 38.4 12th
Total 3.7 11.1 17.9 20.0 18.2 13.0 8.3 4.5 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 0.9% 0.9
8-10 2.0% 2.0
7-11 4.5% 4.5
6-12 8.3% 8.3
5-13 13.0% 13.0
4-14 18.2% 18.2
3-15 20.0% 20.0
2-16 17.9% 17.9
1-17 11.1% 11.1
0-18 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%