Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.1 270
Results Rating -6.5 267
Consistency 0.16 214
Pace 70.4 124
Improvement +0.9 154

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 246 C- D+ D+ C C-
Defense D+ 272 C- D+ C- B D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 230 C- 56% 238 -1.9 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 158 C- 36% 234 +0.2 166
Three Pointers 41% 178 C 33% 209 -0.3 188
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 229 C- -1.6 236
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 233
Second Chance C- 29.3% 206 D 0.94 309 D+ 0.28 262
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 325
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 145
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 283
Freethrows C- 0.29 231 B 76% 43 C 0.22 178
Total Offense C- -2.8 246

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 78 D 13.4% 319
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 32 B- 3.6% 81
Three Pointers D+ 79% 289 C+ 0.8% 148
Total B- 60% 92 C- 6.0% 234


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 77 C 59% 193 +2.6 270
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 347 C- 39% 221 -2.2 26
Three Pointers 43% 114 C 34% 181 +1.0 237
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 349 C +0.3 191
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 224
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 284 D+ 1.08 267 D+ 0.36 290
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 276
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 109
Turnovers C- 16.0% 225
Freethrows B 0.26 65 C+ 72% 127 B 0.19 60
Total Defense D+ -3.3 272

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 184 C 10.6% 188
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 112 F+ 0.6% 360
Three Pointers D+ 87% 289 C- 0.8% 181
Total C- 58% 233 C- 5.0% 223

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 205 16.9 104
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 347 0.17 185
Consistency 0.14 285 0.11 108
Improvement +5.7 4 -4.8 350

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 273 269 266
Results Rating Rank 270 266 262
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14
Conference Finish 12 12 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 32 - 92 - 17
Quad 45 - 57 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 30 @UCLA L 63 - 74 2% -10  6% 0 - 1 B- +7 C +1 D- A+ C B +4 A- D- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 149 Northern Colorado L 81 - 88 OT 36% -5  1% 0 - 2 D -9 F+ -9 D+ F+ D+ C+ +0 C+ D A+
 Tue, Nov 18 197 New Orleans W 90 - 79 46% +6  87% 1 - 2 B- +6 B +6 B F A+ C -1 C- D+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 100 Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 63 23% +3  54% 1 - 3 C -1 F -11 D D F A +10 A- F B
 Wed, Nov 26 129 Fresno St. L 53 - 76 22% -7  53% 1 - 4 F -21 F -19 F C- F C- -3 D F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 203 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69 - 83 26% -5  24% 1 - 5 D- -13 D- -7 F D- C D -6 C F D
 Tue, Dec 2 235 Abilene Christian L 63 - 71 54% -8  4% 1 - 6 F+ -15 D -5 D- F A F -12 D- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 234 Vermont L 56 - 65 54% -1  44% 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -16 F F F C -1 D A B-
 Sat, Dec 13 329 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70 - 62 58% +4  86% 2 - 7 C -0 D- -7 B F F A- +7 A A B+
 Thu, Dec 18 268 @Long Beach St. L 78 - 81 38% +2  60% 2 - 8 D+ -6 C +1 A A- F D- -7 F C F
 Sat, Dec 20 222 Rice W 84 - 62 52% +8  93% 3 - 8 A- +15 C+ +3 A C+ F A+ +12 A+ D+ C+
 Sun, Dec 28 11 Gonzaga L 56 - 96 3% -22  0% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -24 F -12 F+ B C+ F -12 D B- C-
 Tue, Dec 30 31 St. Mary's L 45 - 72 6% -12  0% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -17 F+ C- F C- -2 D+ B+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 43 @Santa Clara L 63 - 82 3% -7  16% 3 - 11 0 - 3 C- -4 F -11 F+ C- F A +8 D+ A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 4 127 @Pacific L 69 - 74 14% -3  23% 3 - 12 0 - 4 C +1 C +1 C D+ D+ C -1 D+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 238 @San Diego L 63 - 83 33% -12  3% 3 - 13 0 - 5 F -21 F -12 F+ F F+ F -10 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 122 San Francisco L 60 - 80 28% -12  0% 3 - 14 0 - 6 F -20 F -13 F D A D- -8 F C- B
 Wed, Jan 14 216 Portland W 67 - 63 50% +0  47% 4 - 14 1 - 6 C- -2 D- -8 D+ B D B+ +6 A- A- D+
 Wed, Jan 21 11 @Gonzaga L 60 - 84 1% -15  0% 4 - 15 1 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 D+ C+ C- C+ +1 A+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 128 @Washington St. L 79 - 95 15% -12  0% 4 - 16 1 - 8 D -11 C+ +3 A F F F -13 F F D+
 Wed, Jan 28 238 San Diego L 88 - 92 OT 55% +3  75% 4 - 17 1 - 9 D- -11 D+ -4 D D- A D- -7 A F D-
 Wed, Feb 4 117 @Seattle L 81 - 83 13% -1  37% 4 - 18 1 - 10 C+ +4 B+ +8 C B+ B D+ -4 C- D C+
 Sat, Feb 7 127 Pacific L 59 - 92 29% -14  5% 4 - 19 1 - 11 F -33 F -18 D F D+ F -15 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 31 @St. Mary's L 60 - 88 2% -16  1% 4 - 20 1 - 12 D -10 D- -7 F+ C D+ C- -3 F D+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 156 Loyola Marymount W 90 - 89 37% -2  24% 5 - 20 2 - 12 C- -2 A +13 A+ C- C+ F -15 D F F
 Wed, Feb 18 216 @Portland W 95 - 87 28% -1  50% 6 - 20 3 - 12 B- +8 A+ +21 A A+ A F -13 F A- D
 Sat, Feb 21 160 @Oregon St. L 73 - 83 20% +0  45% 6 - 21 3 - 13 D+ -7 D+ -3 C D C+ D+ -4 D F C-
 Wed, Feb 25 117 Seattle L 80 - 87 28% -10  0% 6 - 22 3 - 14 D+ -7 A- +11 A B- D F -18 D F F
 Sat, Feb 28 128 Washington St. W 88 - 79 31% +9  94% 7 - 22 4 - 14 B +8 C+ +4 B- B+ D- B +4 A C- C
 Thu, Mar 5 216 Portland L 74 - 77 39%
Totals 7 - 23 4 - 14 -6 C- -3 D- C- C- D+ -3 C B C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C C- 37% 39% 41% C- C- C- D D+ D+ C- B C D+ C C- C C 43% 14% 43% D- C- D+ D+ D+ C- B C+ B
1.05 56% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.9 .28 18% .29 76% .22 1.13 59% 39% 34% 0 +1 1.05 33% 1.1 .36 16% .26 72% .21
Nov
7		 UCLA C D- D F F 35% 13% 52% B+ D- A+ A A+ C D+ A+ A- B C+ F A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% F A- F C+ D- B+ F B F
1.00 50% 33% 25% -10 +1 0.83 42% 1.1 .47 19% .26 100% .26 1.18 59% 71% 24% -2 +1 1.00 41% 1.2 .47 16% .49 73% .36
Nov
15		 Northern Colorado F+ F+ A F D+ 46% 22% 32% C- D+ B- F F+ D+ A F B C+ B- F C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% D C+ F B- D A+ F C- F
0.98 48% 50% 25% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.6 .18 13% .42 67% .28 1.07 57% 57% 33% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.0 .34 24% .40 76% .30
Nov
18		 New Orleans B C+ B+ B- B 40% 24% 36% D+ B D F F A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ F F B- 51% 4% 45% F C- D C+ D+ A- F+ B D
1.22 59% 46% 35% +3 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .22 8% .41 89% .37 1.07 40% 50% 41% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 23% .42 71% .30
Nov
21		 Stephen F. Austin F F D B D 38% 24% 38% D+ D F+ B- D F C- A+ B+ A C F A+ A+ 33% 11% 56% F A- C+ F F B A+ F A+
0.89 41% 36% 35% -6 -1 0.89 21% 1.2 .25 22% .27 93% .25 0.94 56% 50% 23% -9 +1 0.85 31% 1.5 .47 15% .02 100% .02
Nov
26		 Fresno St. F F F F F 30% 24% 46% D F A+ F C- F D- C- D- C- F A+ B D+ 44% 7% 48% F D A F F+ F A+ A+ A+
0.77 47% 25% 22% -15 -1 0.70 40% 0.7 .29 25% .19 70% .14 1.11 75% 0% 31% +2 +2 1.11 22% 1.7 .38 10% .16 50% .08
Nov
29		 Cal St. Fullerton D- B- F F F 36% 15% 49% C+ F F B+ D- C A+ A+ A+ D F+ D+ A- C 37% 17% 46% D+ C F F F D A+ B+ A+
0.98 65% 29% 22% -8 +1 0.87 18% 1.2 .21 18% .45 88% .40 1.18 68% 40% 30% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.2 .41 13% .15 67% .10
Dec
2		 Abilene Christian D B F B- F+ 44% 17% 39% C D- D+ F F A B+ B A- F D+ F D+ F 33% 24% 43% B- D- B- F D+ F F D+ F
1.02 67% 0% 38% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.7 .15 18% .49 76% .37 1.15 60% 45% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 1.1 .33 13% .43 74% .32
Dec
6		 Vermont F D+ F D- F 28% 15% 58% C+ F D+ F F F A A+ A+ C D- A+ D D+ 38% 6% 56% F D C+ A+ A B- A- A+ A
0.90 55% 17% 30% -7 0 0.88 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 85% .34 1.04 67% 0% 37% +3 +2 1.13 23% 0.6 .13 18% .21 64% .14
Dec
13		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- B- A+ B+ B 44% 19% 38% C+ B C- F F F C- D D+ A- A C A+ A+ 40% 24% 36% F A F A+ A B+ F F F
1.04 62% 56% 39% +8 +1 1.19 35% 0.2 .06 22% .36 68% .25 0.92 44% 36% 19% -14 0 0.73 40% 0.4 .18 22% .48 96% .46
Dec
18		 Long Beach St. C A+ A+ C- A+ 29% 29% 43% F A D A+ A- F F B+ F D- C- A- F F 50% 33% 17% D F A+ F C F D D- D-
1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15 1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25
Dec
20		 Rice C+ D- D- A+ A 31% 20% 49% B- A B- C- C+ F D A C- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 51% 13% 36% F A+ D- C+ D+ C+ F C+ F+
1.19 53% 30% 54% +12 -1 1.24 34% 1.0 .34 23% .29 81% .24 0.88 42% 33% 18% -18 +2 0.70 40% 0.9 .36 18% .38 68% .26
Dec
28		 Gonzaga F F D F F 34% 32% 34% C- F+ C+ A+ B C+ A- D B F F A+ F D 42% 25% 33% D+ D D+ A B- C- C- D D+
0.79 41% 31% 24% -13 -2 0.72 24% 1.1 .27 20% .35 65% .23 1.36 79% 29% 42% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 13% .31 74% .23
Dec
30		 St. Mary's F C- D+ F F+ 35% 19% 46% C+ F+ C- C- C- F F B- F C- F+ F+ B+ C- 47% 19% 34% D+ D+ A+ F+ B+ C A+ F A
0.73 53% 33% 18% -14 0 0.75 22% 0.9 .19 21% .08 75% .06 1.17 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.13 28% 1.3 .36 16% .19 100% .19
Jan
2		 Santa Clara F D F D F+ 40% 23% 36% D F+ D+ B- C- F A- C B+ A F F A- C- 41% 12% 47% D D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B+ A A-
0.84 53% 18% 29% -9 0 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 25% .40 73% .29 1.10 75% 57% 30% +6 +1 1.17 26% 0.7 .18 16% .19 67% .13
Jan
4		 Pacific C F A+ C C+ 26% 35% 39% D- C C- D- D+ D+ D- A+ B- C B- A+ F D 36% 19% 45% C D+ C- F F A+ C+ F D+
1.04 36% 58% 33% +1 -3 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 17% .27 93% .25 1.11 53% 25% 47% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.8 .64 27% .27 85% .23
Jan
8		 San Diego F A+ F F F+ 32% 17% 51% D+ F+ F F F F+ A+ D A+ F C- F F F 40% 19% 42% D F D F+ F+ D+ C+ A B-
0.94 77% 29% 24% -3 0 0.95 23% 0.9 .19 22% .56 69% .38 1.23 62% 60% 45% +13 0 1.28 32% 1.1 .36 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
10		 San Francisco F C- F F F 33% 33% 33% F+ F C+ F D A A+ C A+ D- D+ F F+ F 36% 8% 57% F+ F F A+ C- B A+ A+ A+
0.91 56% 25% 13% -16 -2 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 9% .48 72% .35 1.21 63% 50% 40% +8 +2 1.21 44% 0.8 .36 18% .18 50% .09
Jan
14		 Portland D- B- F D- D+ 36% 18% 45% C D+ D A+ B D A- F C B+ D A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 53% D- A- D- A+ A- D+ A+ A A+
0.99 63% 25% 30% -4 0 0.95 27% 1.4 .39 19% .37 60% .22 0.93 67% 20% 21% -9 +1 0.87 34% 0.7 .24 18% .16 67% .11
Jan
21		 Gonzaga D+ D A+ F C- 31% 33% 37% C- D+ B- D+ C+ C- D+ A+ B+ C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% F A+ D+ F F F+ F C F
0.86 50% 53% 16% -8 -2 0.83 27% 0.8 .22 22% .26 93% .24 1.21 62% 27% 21% -7 +1 0.89 38% 1.5 .56 10% .38 71% .27
Jan
24		 Washington St. C+ B A+ B- A+ 31% 37% 33% F A D F F F C- A+ B- F F D+ F F 31% 13% 56% C F F C- F D+ B- C+ B-
1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23 1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 0 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 San Diego D+ F+ D B D 36% 19% 46% C- D C- F D- A A- D B D- A+ F C- A+ 46% 7% 47% F A F F F D- F F F
1.10 52% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 0.9 .28 14% .42 69% .29 1.15 33% 50% 36% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.3 .49 15% .37 88% .32
Feb
4		 Seattle B+ F+ C A C+ 39% 25% 35% C- C C- A+ B+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ F C A+ C- 49% 21% 30% C- C- C+ F D C+ F D- F
1.06 45% 38% 39% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .38 18% .42 88% .37 1.08 69% 36% 25% +1 +1 1.06 23% 1.1 .27 18% .50 74% .37
Feb
7		 Pacific F F D A+ D 34% 34% 32% D+ D F F F D+ B- F D F A- F F F 41% 23% 36% C+ F A F F F B D- C+
0.81 39% 33% 41% -5 -2 0.89 10% 0.3 .03 17% .35 57% .20 1.27 48% 54% 55% +11 0 1.23 27% 1.8 .47 14% .24 80% .19
Feb
11		 St. Mary's D- D F D- F+ 38% 20% 42% C+ F+ B- D+ C D+ D F F+ C- A+ F F F 32% 20% 48% B- F F A D+ A F+ A+ B-
0.84 48% 8% 28% -14 0 0.75 26% 0.8 .22 17% .20 58% .12 1.23 44% 50% 54% +12 0 1.26 49% 0.9 .46 21% .39 59% .23
Feb
14		 Loyola Marymount A B C A+ A+ 44% 25% 31% B- A+ C- C- C- C+ A+ C- A+ F B- F+ F D 40% 23% 37% D D D+ F F F D B C-
1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30 1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20
Feb
18		 Portland A+ F C+ A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D+ A A+ A+ A+ A A C A F F F F F 55% 15% 30% F F A+ F A- D C- A+ B
1.36 44% 36% 54% +9 -1 1.20 44% 1.6 .72 13% .38 74% .28 1.25 76% 50% 44% +16 +2 1.38 16% 1.5 .24 17% .31 61% .19
Feb
21		 Oregon St. D+ B+ C D B- 28% 26% 46% F C F A+ D C+ A F B D+ C- A+ F D 37% 15% 48% D+ D F A+ F C- A+ A+ A+
1.01 64% 38% 30% -1 -1 0.98 12% 2.3 .26 14% .42 65% .27 1.15 58% 25% 40% +2 +1 1.08 45% 1.0 .45 17% .27 63% .17
Feb
25		 Seattle A- B- C+ A+ A 49% 9% 42% A A A+ F B- D F A+ F F F+ A- B D+ 57% 13% 30% F D F+ F F F F C- F+
1.14 58% 40% 41% +4 +2 1.15 44% 0.8 .33 23% .15 88% .13 1.24 68% 29% 31% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.4 .42 10% .38 71% .27
Feb
28		 Washington St. C+ B- D+ C C+ 52% 20% 28% B+ B- A+ F B+ D- A+ A+ A+ B B+ B- B- A+ 39% 19% 42% C+ A F A C- C C+ F C
1.17 61% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 17% .38 88% .34 1.05 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.8 .30 19% .26 81% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%