Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#55
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#29
Pace71.4#138
Improvement-3.3#344

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#59
First Shot+1.1#151
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#13
Layup/Dunks+4.1#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#122
Freethrows-4.1#347
Improvement-1.5#294

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#69
First Shot+5.2#40
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#271
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#17
Freethrows-2.7#318
Improvement-1.8#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.3% 2.0% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.6% 31.8% 17.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.7% 25.4% 12.2%
Average Seed 9.8 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 99.6% 99.9% 99.2%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 96.8% 93.7%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.1% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.4% 11.3% 6.7%
First Round20.9% 26.2% 13.6%
Second Round9.0% 12.0% 5.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 3.1% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 4
Quad 24 - 36 - 6
Quad 39 - 215 - 8
Quad 48 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 78 McNeese St. W 79-67 70%     1 - 0 +16.3 +11.9 +4.9
  Mon, Nov 10 77 @Xavier W 87-68 47%     2 - 0 +29.4 +17.7 +11.3
  Sat, Nov 15 105 Nevada W 98-83 78%     3 - 0 +16.3 +25.1 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 18 167 Idaho St. W 64-55 89%     4 - 0 +5.1 -3.9 +9.9
  Fri, Nov 21 318 Louisiana W 80-43 97%     5 - 0 +25.1 +8.2 +18.9
  Thu, Nov 27 46 Saint Louis L 70-71 44%     5 - 1 +10.1 +2.5 +7.6
  Fri, Nov 28 95 Minnesota W 86-75 67%     6 - 1 +16.1 +20.1 -3.4
  Wed, Dec 3 254 Utah Tech W 90-80 94%     7 - 1 +1.7 +6.4 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 6 103 @New Mexico W 81-79 58%    
  Sat, Dec 13 82 Arizona St. W 80-77 60%    
  Wed, Dec 17 145 North Texas W 74-65 79%    
  Sat, Dec 20 259 Loyola Chicago W 81-66 92%    
  Sun, Dec 28 163 @Oregon St. W 76-69 75%    
  Tue, Dec 30 270 @Portland W 83-70 88%    
  Fri, Jan 2 298 Pepperdine W 84-64 97%    
  Sun, Jan 4 262 San Diego W 89-71 95%    
  Thu, Jan 8 4 @Gonzaga L 71-86 9%    
  Sat, Jan 10 143 Loyola Marymount W 78-67 85%    
  Wed, Jan 14 139 Pacific W 79-68 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 42 St. Mary's W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 262 @San Diego W 86-74 87%    
  Wed, Jan 28 99 San Francisco W 79-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 143 @Loyola Marymount W 75-70 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 139 @Pacific W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 158 @Washington St. W 83-76 73%    
  Wed, Feb 11 114 Seattle W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 4 Gonzaga L 74-83 21%    
  Sat, Feb 21 99 @San Francisco W 76-74 56%    
  Wed, Feb 25 42 @St. Mary's L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 163 Oregon St. W 79-66 88%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.1 0.2 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 7.2 11.1 8.6 2.4 31.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.2 10.1 10.1 4.0 0.4 29.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 4.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 5.4 9.0 13.9 17.5 18.3 15.4 10.2 4.6 1.1 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.1    0.8 0.3
16-2 48.3% 2.2    0.9 1.3 0.1
15-3 11.6% 1.2    0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.1 2.4 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 32.7% 67.3% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.1% 93.7% 32.2% 61.4% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 90.7%
16-2 4.6% 77.4% 22.2% 55.2% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.1 70.9%
15-3 10.2% 61.9% 15.1% 46.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.0 1.7 0.0 3.9 55.1%
14-4 15.4% 42.2% 11.0% 31.2% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.2 3.1 0.1 8.9 35.1%
13-5 18.3% 25.4% 7.3% 18.1% 10.6 0.1 0.2 1.3 2.9 0.2 13.6 19.5%
12-6 17.5% 12.2% 4.0% 8.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.1 15.3 8.5%
11-7 13.9% 5.5% 2.4% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 13.2 3.2%
10-8 9.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.7 1.2%
9-9 5.4% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2% 11.2 0.1 0.0 5.3 0.3%
8-10 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
7-11 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 1.3
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 25.6% 7.4% 18.2% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.9 3.4 6.7 10.5 0.6 0.0 74.4 19.7%