Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#163
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#218
Pace62.6#342
Improvement+1.3#93

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#153
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#145
Layup/Dunks-7.8#355
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#43
Freethrows+3.3#32
Improvement+0.4#147

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#195
First Shot-2.4#255
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#90
Layups/Dunks-1.7#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#233
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement+0.9#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 25.5% 28.1% 9.4%
.500 or above in Conference 31.1% 32.6% 21.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 5.5% 8.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 86.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 35 - 76 - 15
Quad 48 - 314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 149 North Dakota St. W 67-65 58%     1 - 0 -0.6 -1.8 +1.4
  Fri, Nov 7 204 Illinois-Chicago W 76-73 69%     2 - 0 -2.7 +2.3 -4.9
  Wed, Nov 12 145 North Texas W 66-64 56%     3 - 0 -0.2 +1.6 -1.5
  Mon, Nov 17 80 @Oregon L 75-87 16%     3 - 1 -1.8 +8.9 -11.0
  Fri, Nov 21 279 Evansville L 69-73 72%     3 - 2 -10.5 -2.5 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 22 174 Iona L 84-91 2OT 52%     3 - 3 -8.2 -5.1 -1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 175 Massachusetts L 65-73 52%     3 - 4 -9.2 -3.2 -6.4
  Sat, Nov 29 130 California Baptist L 69-75 51%     3 - 5 -6.9 -0.2 -7.0
  Wed, Dec 3 189 Vermont W 80-58 67%     4 - 5 +16.9 +11.3 +8.4
  Sat, Dec 6 320 Southern Utah W 76-64 86%    
  Sat, Dec 13 152 Montana St. W 69-67 58%    
  Wed, Dec 17 133 Sam Houston St. W 74-73 52%    
  Sun, Dec 21 82 @Arizona St. L 67-78 16%    
  Sun, Dec 28 55 Santa Clara L 69-76 25%    
  Tue, Dec 30 99 San Francisco L 68-71 41%    
  Fri, Jan 2 139 @Pacific L 66-71 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 158 @Washington St. L 72-75 38%    
  Thu, Jan 8 114 Seattle L 67-68 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 270 @Portland W 73-71 59%    
  Wed, Jan 14 143 Loyola Marymount W 68-67 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 139 Pacific W 69-68 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 42 @St. Mary's L 60-75 8%    
  Wed, Jan 28 143 @Loyola Marymount L 65-70 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 262 @San Diego W 75-73 57%    
  Wed, Feb 4 158 Washington St. W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 4 Gonzaga L 63-82 4%    
  Thu, Feb 12 99 @San Francisco L 65-74 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 114 @Seattle L 64-71 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 298 Pepperdine W 73-63 82%    
  Wed, Feb 25 262 San Diego W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 55 @Santa Clara L 66-79 12%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.0 1.1 0.1 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.4 1.6 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.5 4.6 6.6 2.3 0.1 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.6 7.3 2.9 0.2 0.0 15.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.5 7.1 2.8 0.3 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.0 2.0 0.2 11.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.8 1.2 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.9 7.2 11.2 14.4 15.6 14.4 12.1 8.6 5.6 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 6.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 2.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 12.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 1.3
12-6 2.9% 0.9% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 2.9
11-7 5.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
10-8 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 8.6
9-9 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 12.1
8-10 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 15.6% 15.6
6-12 14.4% 14.4
5-13 11.2% 11.2
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%