Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#133
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#104
Pace70.8#151
Improvement+2.2#37

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
First Shot+0.8#157
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#52
Layup/Dunks-6.0#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#22
Freethrows-1.7#272
Improvement+1.1#93

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#213
First Shot-2.1#237
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#137
Layups/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows-4.5#353
Improvement+1.1#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 13.1% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 77.1% 82.6% 62.3%
.500 or above in Conference 78.9% 81.6% 71.7%
Conference Champion 14.4% 16.3% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.1% 2.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round11.8% 13.1% 8.5%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 72.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 37 - 58 - 10
Quad 49 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 30 @Texas Tech L 77-98 9%     0 - 1 -4.3 +10.8 -14.9
  Sat, Nov 15 117 @Utah L 79-85 33%     0 - 2 +0.2 +4.3 -3.8
  Wed, Nov 19 106 Wyoming W 78-70 52%     1 - 2 +9.3 +5.6 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 26 167 Idaho St. W 84-81 60%     2 - 2 +2.1 +8.8 -6.8
  Fri, Nov 28 187 Idaho W 94-68 64%     3 - 2 +24.0 +28.0 -1.4
  Tue, Dec 2 47 @Oklahoma St. L 83-93 13%     3 - 3 +4.0 +7.1 -1.9
  Sat, Dec 6 296 @Texas Southern W 81-75 73%    
  Wed, Dec 17 163 @Oregon St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sun, Dec 21 116 @New Mexico St. L 70-74 34%    
  Fri, Jan 2 123 @Western Kentucky L 79-83 36%    
  Sun, Jan 4 138 @Middle Tennessee L 76-79 40%    
  Thu, Jan 8 287 Delaware W 81-69 86%    
  Sat, Jan 10 98 Liberty L 75-76 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 238 @Jacksonville St. W 71-68 62%    
  Sat, Jan 17 207 @Florida International W 80-78 56%    
  Wed, Jan 21 162 Kennesaw St. W 86-81 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 123 Western Kentucky W 82-80 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 242 @Missouri St. W 72-69 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 188 Louisiana Tech W 74-67 74%    
  Wed, Feb 4 241 UTEP W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 188 @Louisiana Tech W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 162 @Kennesaw St. L 83-84 47%    
  Wed, Feb 18 138 Middle Tennessee W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 238 Jacksonville St. W 74-65 78%    
  Thu, Feb 26 207 Florida International W 83-75 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 242 Missouri St. W 75-66 79%    
  Thu, Mar 5 287 @Delaware W 78-72 69%    
  Sat, Mar 7 98 @Liberty L 73-79 30%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 4.1 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 14.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.3 4.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.3 4.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.4 3.3 5.2 3.4 0.8 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.5 5.5 8.0 10.1 12.1 12.2 12.2 11.6 8.5 6.3 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 97.4% 1.5    1.4 0.1
17-3 87.8% 3.3    2.6 0.6 0.0
16-4 65.4% 4.1    2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 38.7% 3.3    1.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.7% 1.4    0.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.4% 14.4 8.7 4.3 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 66.7% 66.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 49.7% 49.7% 11.4 0.2 0.1 0.3
18-2 1.6% 38.1% 38.1% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.0
17-3 3.7% 32.0% 32.0% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5
16-4 6.3% 27.6% 27.6% 12.4 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.5
15-5 8.5% 23.1% 23.1% 12.6 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.2 6.5
14-6 11.6% 16.4% 16.4% 12.9 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 9.7
13-7 12.2% 13.5% 13.5% 13.2 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 10.6
12-8 12.2% 9.0% 9.0% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 11.1
11-9 12.1% 5.8% 5.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 11.4
10-10 10.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.8
9-11 8.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 7.8
8-12 5.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.4
6-14 2.2% 2.2
5-15 1.1% 1.1
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 88.2 0.0%