Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#305
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#340
Pace74.0#76
Improvement+2.2#45

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#317
First Shot-5.1#315
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#189
Layup/Dunks-1.6#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#321
Freethrows-1.3#252
Improvement-0.8#247

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#261
First Shot-1.9#236
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#250
Layups/Dunks-0.8#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#153
Freethrows-4.4#353
Improvement+3.0#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 9.5% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 16.7% 37.6% 15.3%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 69.1% 53.6%
Conference Champion 5.1% 9.3% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four4.7% 5.8% 4.6%
First Round3.6% 6.6% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 4 @Gonzaga L 43-98 1%     0 - 1 -30.4 -19.3 -9.1
  Thu, Nov 6 39 @Texas A&M L 70-104 3%     0 - 2 -19.0 -3.2 -12.6
  Wed, Nov 12 231 Samford L 90-93 OT 46%     0 - 3 -10.1 +3.9 -13.7
  Sat, Nov 15 237 @Texas St. L 67-77 26%     0 - 4 -11.3 -5.5 -5.7
  Thu, Nov 20 11 @Vanderbilt L 74-109 1%     0 - 5 -13.4 +4.5 -15.7
  Sat, Dec 6 126 Sam Houston St. L 70-82 24%     0 - 6 -12.7 -12.7 +1.4
  Sun, Dec 14 102 @Minnesota L 61-77 6%    
  Wed, Dec 17 36 @North Carolina St. L 68-92 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 215 Abilene Christian L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 199 @Southern L 73-82 22%    
  Mon, Jan 5 284 @Grambling St. L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-73 76%    
  Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-64 93%    
  Sat, Jan 17 334 @Alcorn St. L 75-76 47%    
  Mon, Jan 19 312 @Jackson St. L 71-74 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 272 Alabama A&M W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Jan 26 276 Alabama St. W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 322 @Prairie View L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 343 @Florida A&M W 76-75 51%    
  Mon, Feb 9 220 @Bethune-Cookman L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Feb 14 284 Grambling St. W 71-70 55%    
  Mon, Feb 16 199 Southern L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 353 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-67 83%    
  Thu, Feb 26 334 Alcorn St. W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 312 Jackson St. W 74-71 61%    
  Thu, Mar 5 322 Prairie View W 78-74 64%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.2 0.8 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.2 1.0 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.5 4.0 5.0 1.2 0.1 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.7 2.0 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.9 3.2 0.2 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.7 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.9 0.9 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.2 6.0 8.8 11.5 13.4 14.1 12.7 10.8 7.9 4.9 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 87.9% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 62.0% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 29.0% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 23.2% 23.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 30.3% 30.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7
14-4 2.8% 23.2% 23.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1
13-5 4.9% 16.6% 16.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.1
12-6 7.9% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1 6.8
11-7 10.8% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1 9.7
10-8 12.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.8 11.9
9-9 14.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.7 13.4
8-10 13.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 13.2
7-11 11.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 6.0% 6.0
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.6 94.1 0.0%