Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#102
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#136
Pace59.9#362
Improvement+2.0#53

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#110
First Shot+1.1#150
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#94
Layup/Dunks+4.2#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#295
Freethrows+2.2#67
Improvement+2.2#33

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#98
First Shot+2.0#105
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#161
Layups/Dunks+2.3#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#243
Freethrows+1.7#78
Improvement-0.2#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 7.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 7.6% 1.7%
Average Seed 9.8 9.4 9.9
.500 or above 16.2% 41.2% 15.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.0% 27.1% 8.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 3.7% 14.1%
First Four0.8% 2.1% 0.7%
First Round1.5% 6.3% 1.3%
Second Round0.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 31 - 26 - 18
Quad 47 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 359 Gardner-Webb W 87-60 97%     1 - 0 +9.8 +3.1 +6.0
  Sat, Nov 8 334 Alcorn St. W 95-50 95%     2 - 0 +31.6 +16.5 +15.2
  Wed, Nov 12 37 @Missouri L 60-83 15%     2 - 1 -7.2 +1.1 -11.4
  Sat, Nov 15 273 Green Bay W 72-65 OT 89%     3 - 1 -1.8 -8.2 +6.3
  Tue, Nov 18 352 Chicago St. W 66-54 96%     4 - 1 -3.8 -7.9 +5.5
  Sat, Nov 22 100 San Francisco L 65-77 50%     4 - 2 -7.0 +1.6 -10.0
  Thu, Nov 27 85 Stanford L 68-72 44%     4 - 3 +2.4 +4.9 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 28 75 Santa Clara L 75-86 39%     4 - 4 -3.4 +8.5 -12.5
  Wed, Dec 3 28 Indiana W 73-64 28%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +19.9 +9.8 +10.6
  Wed, Dec 10 7 @Purdue L 59-77 4%    
  Sun, Dec 14 305 Texas Southern W 77-61 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 217 Campbell W 76-65 86%    
  Mon, Dec 29 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-59 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 61 @Northwestern L 65-72 26%    
  Tue, Jan 6 25 Iowa L 63-70 27%    
  Fri, Jan 9 35 USC L 70-75 33%    
  Tue, Jan 13 30 Wisconsin L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 15 @Illinois L 63-79 7%    
  Tue, Jan 20 24 @Ohio St. L 64-77 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 48 Nebraska L 69-72 40%    
  Wed, Jan 28 30 @Wisconsin L 65-77 15%    
  Sun, Feb 1 96 @Penn St. L 69-72 38%    
  Wed, Feb 4 12 Michigan St. L 59-70 17%    
  Sun, Feb 8 93 Maryland W 70-68 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 49 @Washington L 65-74 22%    
  Tue, Feb 17 81 @Oregon L 66-71 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 Rutgers W 69-64 68%    
  Tue, Feb 24 1 @Michigan L 59-83 1%    
  Sat, Feb 28 27 UCLA L 63-69 29%    
  Wed, Mar 4 28 @Indiana L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 61 Northwestern L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 2.8 0.8 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.6 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.2 3.3 5.7 1.7 0.1 11.0 13th
14th 0.2 2.4 6.4 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.8 14th
15th 0.1 1.6 6.3 5.0 0.8 0.0 13.7 15th
16th 0.0 1.2 5.3 5.5 1.4 0.1 13.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.9 1.5 0.1 11.6 17th
18th 0.7 2.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 6.8 18th
Total 0.7 3.4 8.0 12.9 16.1 16.7 14.6 10.9 7.7 4.6 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 86.5% 86.5% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 86.5%
13-7 0.5% 68.9% 0.7% 68.2% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 68.7%
12-8 1.1% 49.7% 49.7% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 49.7%
11-9 2.5% 22.2% 0.3% 21.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.0 22.0%
10-10 4.6% 5.0% 5.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 5.0%
9-11 7.7% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.4%
8-12 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 10.9 0.0%
7-13 14.6% 14.6
6-14 16.7% 16.7
5-15 16.1% 16.1
4-16 12.9% 12.9
3-17 8.0% 8.0
2-18 3.4% 3.4
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20
Total 100% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.0 98.1 1.9%