Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -13.3 348
Results Rating -14.5 350
Consistency 0.16 242
Pace 65.4 261
Improvement +1.6 129

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 329 F+ D+ C+ D+ F
Defense D- 346 D- F+ B D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 323 F+ 49% 357 -6.2 353
2 Pt. Jumpers 63% 8 C 38% 193 +5.2 11
Three Pointers 32% 339 D 31% 299 -5.8 344
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.1 358 D- -4.8 330
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 353
Second Chance C- 28.4% 236 D+ 0.95 296 D+ 0.27 271
Opponents' Steals B- 8.7% 102
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 184
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 128
Freethrows D 0.26 326 B- 75% 108 D+ 0.19 287
Total Offense D -6.4 329

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 127 C- 12.1% 247
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 73 C 4.8% 174
Three Pointers C 84% 199 B- 0.5% 89
Total C- 54% 221 C 5.8% 212


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 259 F+ 66% 354 +1.7 236
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% 363 C 38% 194 -3.4 2
Three Pointers 52% 4 D 36% 292 +7.7 362
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 343 D- +4.7 343
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 346
Second Chance F+ 35.7% 342 D 1.14 315 F+ 0.41 353
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.8% 36
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 189
Turnovers B 19.0% 55
Freethrows D 0.34 300 F+ 76% 352 D- 0.26 326
Total Defense D- -6.9 346

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 65% 363 D- 6.2% 346
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 72% 365 D 2.3% 318
Three Pointers F 93% 364 D- -0.1% 360
Total F 77% 364 F+ 2.5% 358

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.9 360 15.9 8
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 293 0.23 338
Consistency 0.12 145 0.12 116
Improvement +0.4 166 +1.3 118

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 350 348 345
Results Rating Rank 350 349 348
Conference Record 5 - 11 5 - 11 5 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 46 - 136 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 90 @DePaul L 62 - 92 3% -19  0% 0 - 1 F -21 D- -8 F B- D F -12 D+ F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 25 @Saint Louis L 86 - 108 1% -13  5% 0 - 2 C- -3 B- +4 C+ C+ D+ C- -3 D- A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 84 @Butler L 66 - 98 3% -24  0% 0 - 3 F -22 F+ -9 C+ C F F -12 F+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 114 Illinois-Chicago L 63 - 67 11% +2  50% 0 - 4 C- -4 D+ -4 C D+ B+ C -0 A- F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 61 @Minnesota L 54 - 66 2% -6  6% 0 - 5 C +0 F+ -9 F+ C- C- A- +8 A- A B-
 Thu, Nov 20 29 @Iowa L 54 - 93 1% -18  0% 0 - 6 F -21 D -6 F C- A F -21 C- F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 258 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77 - 90 15% -4  28% 0 - 7 F+ -15 C+ +3 D- A+ F F -18 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 217 @Youngstown St. L 64 - 87 12% -21  2% 0 - 8 F -23 F -11 F D B- F -13 F C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 99 @Illinois St. L 53 - 95 3% -30  0% 0 - 9 F -34 F -15 F B F F -21 F F B-
 Sun, Dec 14 279 @Loyola Chicago W 84 - 75 18% +6  74% 1 - 9 B- +6 B- +5 C- C- C C+ +0 A+ F A
 Tue, Dec 16 166 @Bowling Green L 55 - 76 8% -11  0% 1 - 10 F -19 F -15 F D B- D+ -4 D C D+
 Sat, Dec 20 39 @Indiana L 58 - 78 1% -18  0% 1 - 11 C- -3 F+ -10 D+ F A- B+ +6 D+ B- A
 Fri, Jan 2 314 Wagner L 72 - 79 46% -4  2% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -19 D+ -3 F D- A+ F -17 D F F
 Sun, Jan 4 219 LIU Brooklyn L 55 - 74 26% -11  0% 1 - 13 0 - 2 F -26 F -18 F F A F+ -9 F D A+
 Thu, Jan 8 337 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 63 - 70 34% -9  0% 1 - 14 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -13 D- F F D+ -3 D C B
 Sat, Jan 10 330 @Stonehill L 82 - 85 OT 31% -3  29% 1 - 15 0 - 4 D -11 B- +4 D+ B+ A- F -15 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 17 305 Le Moyne L 57 - 72 43% +0  66% 1 - 16 0 - 5 F -27 F -22 D F F D+ -5 C- F C
 Mon, Jan 19 326 New Haven L 56 - 62 51% +3  77% 1 - 17 0 - 6 F -20 F -12 D+ F D+ F+ -9 D- F A+
 Fri, Jan 23 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 60 - 81 45% -13  0% 1 - 18 0 - 7 F -33 F -20 F F D+ F -14 F B+ C
 Sun, Jan 25 290 @Mercyhurst L 59 - 61 20% -3  11% 1 - 19 0 - 8 D+ -6 D -5 F D A+ C- -2 F C A
 Sat, Jan 31 290 Mercyhurst W 78 - 74 39% +2  62% 2 - 19 1 - 8 D+ -6 C+ +3 C B- B+ F+ -9 F A C-
 Thu, Feb 5 310 @Central Connecticut St. L 67 - 78 25% -3  24% 2 - 20 1 - 9 F+ -17 D -4 D- F A+ F -14 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @New Haven W 63 - 57 29% +6  85% 3 - 20 2 - 9 C -2 C- -1 C F A+ C+ +1 D- B- C
 Mon, Feb 9 355 St. Francis (PA) W 80 - 75 68% +7  87% 4 - 20 3 - 9 D- -13 D- -6 F A- C- D- -7 D+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 12 330 Stonehill W 68 - 55 54% +14  96% 5 - 20 4 - 9 C -1 B+ +8 B+ A+ F D -6 F A A
 Sat, Feb 14 305 @Le Moyne L 63 - 81 23% -6  3% 5 - 21 4 - 10 F -24 F -13 F C- C+ F -11 F B+ F+
 Thu, Feb 19 337 Fairleigh Dickinson L 59 - 60 57% +0  38% 5 - 22 4 - 11 F+ -16 D -5 D- D- C F -12 C- F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 310 Central Connecticut St. W 70 - 51 45% +5  63% 6 - 22 5 - 11 B- +7 D+ -3 F A- A A+ +13 A+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 26 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 56 - 73 12% -4  22% 6 - 23 5 - 12 F+ -18 F -14 F D+ B- D+ -4 D C- A-
 Sat, Feb 28 314 @Wagner L 61 - 80 25% -16  0% 6 - 24 5 - 13 F -25 F -16 F F B F+ -9 F F A-
 Wed, Mar 4 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 75 - 79 12% -4  3% 6 - 25 C- -5 A- +11 C+ A+ A- F -16 D- F D
Totals 6 - 25 5 - 13 -13 D -6 A D- F D- -7 D B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D F+ C D D- 33% 63% 32% F F+ C- D+ D+ C+ D B- D+ D- F+ C D D- 36% 12% 52% D- D- F+ D F+ B D F+ D-
0.99 49% 38% 31% -5 -2 0.88 28% 1.0 .27 16% .26 75% .19 1.18 66% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.14 36% 1.1 .41 19% .34 76% .20
Nov
3		 DePaul D- F A- F F+ 17% 50% 33% F F C+ A- B- D A C A F D- F A C- 47% 10% 43% F D+ F F F C+ F C+ F
0.85 13% 46% 25% -8 -5 0.75 29% 1.1 .32 22% .41 70% .28 1.26 67% 60% 27% +2 +2 1.10 41% 1.3 .54 18% .59 69% .40
Nov
6		 Saint Louis B- F A C+ B- 32% 38% 30% F C+ B- C- C+ D+ A+ A- A+ C- F A+ F D- 45% 4% 51% C- D- A A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.00 37% 48% 33% -3 -3 0.90 28% 0.8 .23 18% .50 80% .40 1.26 76% 0% 43% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.6 .14 18% .47 91% .42
Nov
11		 Butler F+ C C A B- 42% 40% 19% F C+ F+ A+ C F C F D+ F A- A+ F F 26% 2% 72% C- F+ D+ F F A F C+ F
0.90 59% 38% 40% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .26 22% .23 62% .14 1.34 50% 0% 44% +8 +1 1.21 38% 1.9 .72 19% .51 70% .35
Nov
15		 Illinois-Chicago D+ A- C D- B- 33% 30% 37% F+ C C D- D+ B+ C C+ C+ C D A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A- F F F A- F D+ F
0.99 67% 36% 29% 0 -2 0.98 34% 0.8 .29 17% .31 75% .23 1.06 62% 25% 13% -11 +2 0.85 43% 1.4 .60 22% .57 75% .42
Nov
18		 Minnesota F+ D+ C+ F D- 31% 47% 22% F F+ D B C- C- D+ F D- A- D+ D A A- 29% 17% 54% B+ A- F A+ A B- F F F
0.86 53% 39% 18% -6 -4 0.82 23% 1.0 .23 19% .20 60% .12 1.05 67% 43% 27% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.5 .20 18% .52 78% .41
Nov
20		 Iowa D F A+ F D- 32% 48% 20% F F C- D+ C- A C- A C+ F F A+ B C 42% 2% 56% F C- F F F D- D+ D+ D+
0.88 36% 52% 11% -7 -4 0.80 24% 0.9 .21 18% .30 80% .24 1.52 81% 0% 32% +7 +3 1.22 46% 2.0 .92 11% .35 79% .28
Nov
25		 Purdue Fort Wayne C+ F+ A+ D+ C- 25% 38% 38% F D- A+ A A+ F B A- A- F F F F F 48% 4% 48% F F F A+ C A+ D- F F
1.13 50% 50% 33% +2 -3 1.00 50% 1.3 .63 25% .31 81% .25 1.32 74% 50% 52% +21 +3 1.50 30% 0.7 .22 22% .30 81% .24
Nov
28		 Youngstown St. F D+ D- F F 27% 51% 22% F F C+ F D B- D A C- F F F F F 24% 7% 69% C+ F A- F C C- C+ C C+
0.91 57% 31% 27% -6 -5 0.80 32% 0.8 .24 17% .29 82% .24 1.24 77% 75% 42% +16 +1 1.35 23% 1.3 .29 18% .24 71% .17
Dec
6		 Illinois St. F D- F F F 24% 41% 35% F F A- D+ B F C- A+ A F F A+ F+ F 34% 4% 62% F F F A+ F B- C+ A+ A-
0.79 50% 15% 24% -17 -4 0.61 34% 0.9 .32 22% .29 93% .27 1.42 89% 0% 39% +14 +2 1.34 55% 0.9 .47 18% .27 53% .15
Dec
14		 Loyola Chicago B- B- D- A+ C+ 33% 40% 27% F C- A F C- C A+ A+ A+ C+ A A+ A A+ 23% 4% 72% C+ A+ F F F A F B+ D-
1.16 59% 33% 43% +2 -3 1.00 39% 0.7 .28 12% .46 90% .41 1.04 45% 0% 26% -13 +1 0.79 51% 1.1 .58 24% .40 64% .25
Dec
16		 Bowling Green F F F F F 30% 48% 22% F F B- F D B- A+ F A D+ F+ A+ A D+ 58% 2% 40% F D B+ F C D+ C C+ C
0.82 33% 25% 27% -16 -4 0.62 30% 0.7 .22 16% .48 63% .30 1.13 67% 0% 29% +1 +4 1.12 23% 1.0 .23 15% .31 72% .23
Dec
20		 Indiana F+ C- B- F C- 34% 37% 29% D- D+ C F F A- F A+ F B+ F A+ F+ D- 15% 4% 81% B+ D+ F A+ B- A C A+ A-
0.84 50% 41% 24% -6 -2 0.85 26% 0.5 .14 13% .10 100% .10 1.14 100% 0% 39% +11 0 1.26 37% 0.8 .29 19% .32 61% .20
Jan
2		 Wagner D+ F F A+ F 47% 26% 26% D F C F D- A+ A A+ A+ F B B- F D- 45% 23% 32% D+ D D- F F F F D+ F
1.12 36% 29% 50% -7 0 0.89 30% 0.8 .23 8% .46 85% .39 1.23 48% 36% 47% +1 0 1.04 36% 1.3 .48 12% .54 73% .39
Jan
4		 LIU Brooklyn F F D- F F 55% 23% 23% C F C- F F A D F+ D- F+ C- F D- F 43% 6% 51% F F D- C- D A+ B C B-
0.85 41% 33% 25% -13 +1 0.77 33% 0.4 .14 14% .29 63% .18 1.14 60% 100% 38% +7 +2 1.21 39% 1.0 .39 26% .25 67% .17
Jan
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F A+ A- F+ 40% 11% 49% B+ D- F F F F C- A+ B- D+ F F B D 24% 10% 67% D D D B C B F D F
0.95 39% 60% 41% 0 +1 1.04 10% 0.7 .07 20% .32 82% .26 1.06 70% 50% 29% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.8 .29 21% .65 74% .48
Jan
10		 Stonehill B- F B- A- C 39% 35% 26% F D+ F A+ B+ A- B- A+ A- F F A+ D- F 33% 10% 58% D F F C- F B+ F D+ F
1.12 45% 40% 40% -2 -2 0.95 15% 2.6 .39 8% .31 81% .25 1.16 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.17 46% 0.9 .43 23% .37 71% .27
Jan
17		 Le Moyne F F D+ A+ D- 53% 20% 27% B- D F D+ F F F F F D+ D F A+ C 42% 6% 52% F C- A- F F C F+ F+ F
0.83 44% 30% 43% -5 +1 0.94 12% 1.0 .12 20% .16 56% .09 1.05 65% 100% 24% -1 +2 1.04 18% 2.2 .39 20% .40 77% .31
Jan
19		 New Haven F D+ B- C- D+ 48% 26% 26% D+ D+ C- F F D+ F D+ F F+ D+ A+ C D+ 41% 3% 56% F D- F B F A+ F F F
0.95 55% 42% 33% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.5 .13 17% .16 75% .12 1.06 63% 0% 32% -1 +3 1.05 46% 0.8 .39 29% .34 100% .34
Jan
23		 St. Francis (PA) F F F C+ F 26% 38% 36% F F B- F F D+ F F F F F B F F 28% 22% 50% C+ F C A+ B+ C D+ F F
0.90 50% 25% 37% -6 -3 0.85 37% 0.7 .26 19% .20 45% .09 1.21 92% 30% 48% +18 -1 1.37 27% 0.7 .18 19% .30 88% .26
Jan
25		 Mercyhurst D F F A- F+ 25% 27% 48% F F D C- D A+ F C+ F C- F C+ F F 16% 34% 50% B+ F B- D C A A- B- B+
1.02 42% 15% 39% -7 -2 0.85 29% 1.0 .29 10% .21 73% .15 1.06 71% 40% 41% +8 -3 1.11 24% 1.1 .28 21% .15 71% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Mercyhurst C+ F D- A+ B- 29% 29% 42% F C B- C+ B- B+ A+ F A F+ F D C F 37% 25% 37% F F F+ A+ A C- D+ B- D+
1.17 46% 31% 47% +3 -2 1.04 36% 1.1 .39 15% .53 63% .34 1.11 79% 46% 32% +8 -1 1.18 32% 0.5 .15 15% .25 71% .18
Feb
5		 Central Connecticut St. D B F D+ D 35% 24% 41% F+ D- F F F A+ D+ B+ C F F F D F 24% 17% 59% F F F F F A+ F F F
1.07 63% 23% 32% -3 -1 0.94 17% 0.7 .11 5% .24 86% .20 1.25 80% 57% 38% +12 -1 1.24 39% 1.3 .52 24% .40 89% .36
Feb
7		 New Haven C- F+ A+ B- B 26% 43% 30% F C F+ F F A+ C+ B- C+ C+ B A+ F+ D+ 34% 5% 61% F D- A+ F B- C C+ B+ C+
1.07 50% 55% 36% +6 -4 1.07 19% 0.3 .06 8% .28 80% .22 0.97 53% 0% 37% -1 +2 1.05 10% 1.7 .16 19% .25 67% .17
Feb
9		 St. Francis (PA) D- D F F F 38% 24% 38% D- F B+ C+ A- C- A+ A- A+ D- F F A+ C- 32% 7% 61% F D+ F F F A+ F F+ F
1.13 59% 27% 29% -5 -1 0.91 40% 1.2 .49 18% .57 79% .45 1.06 93% 67% 19% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .41 25% .53 75% .40
Feb
12		 Stonehill B+ A- A+ D- A 35% 35% 30% F B+ B+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ C+ D D F F F 39% 5% 55% F F A- A+ A A D+ D D
1.22 67% 53% 31% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.5 .52 16% .26 83% .21 0.98 60% 50% 43% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.6 .13 25% .26 73% .19
Feb
14		 Le Moyne F B- F F F 31% 36% 34% F F F+ A C- C+ F F F F F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% D+ F A+ F B+ F+ D C D+
0.91 61% 19% 25% -10 -3 0.76 23% 1.3 .30 13% .17 60% .10 1.18 76% 0% 44% +11 +1 1.27 14% 1.3 .17 16% .36 71% .26
Feb
19		 Fairleigh Dickinson D F B+ A D 39% 32% 29% D- D- D D- D- C B B B+ F A+ F+ F D+ 41% 27% 32% C+ C- F F+ F D+ D B+ C-
1.12 50% 46% 42% +3 -1 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 15% .38 76% .29 1.14 41% 45% 38% -3 -1 0.95 41% 1.1 .44 17% .32 64% .21
Feb
21		 Central Connecticut St. D+ C- F F F 38% 19% 43% D F C- A+ A- A D- B- D A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 39% 17% 43% F A+ F D F A+ F+ D+ F+
1.13 55% 30% 26% -8 0 0.87 30% 1.5 .43 8% .21 83% .18 0.82 33% 38% 20% -19 0 0.65 35% 1.1 .38 23% .31 80% .25
Feb
26		 LIU Brooklyn F F D- F F 32% 30% 38% F F D C+ D+ B- F F F D+ D C+ D- D 37% 21% 42% C D B- F+ C- A- F F F
0.86 38% 33% 26% -12 -2 0.74 29% 1.1 .32 17% .18 60% .11 1.12 64% 38% 38% +4 0 1.11 32% 1.1 .36 25% .59 79% .47
Feb
28		 Wagner F D- D+ F F 47% 25% 27% D F F F F B F F F F+ C D+ F F 40% 25% 35% C F D- F F A- D+ F F+
0.89 50% 36% 27% -7 0 0.87 20% 0.6 .13 12% .25 60% .15 1.16 53% 42% 47% +6 0 1.13 37% 1.5 .53 23% .30 81% .25
Mar
4		 LIU Brooklyn A- F A+ B+ C+ 47% 26% 28% D C+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ F C+ C+ F D 53% 20% 28% F+ D- F F F D F F F
1.22 41% 67% 38% +1 0 1.04 38% 1.5 .59 15% .48 72% .34 1.29 57% 38% 45% +4 +1 1.13 44% 1.3 .56 18% .50 80% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%