Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
206 LIU Brooklyn 41.5%   16   6 - 6 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 4 -2.9      -1.1 195 -1.9 232 73.5 73 -0.6 175 0.0 1
278 Central Connecticut St. 22.3%   4 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 7 -6.3      -4.3 288 -2.0 235 64.9 303 -2.0 192 0.0 1
295 Wagner 18.8%   2 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 13 11 - 7 -7.1      -4.5 290 -2.7 262 68.7 210 -6.6 264 0.0 1
312 Le Moyne 0.0%   4 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 14 8 - 6 -8.8      -1.0 190 -7.9 355 70.9 140 -6.8 269 0.0 1
318 Mercyhurst 0.0%   3 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -9.3      -6.3 335 -3.1 280 62.6 342 -9.6 311 0.0 1
336 Chicago St. 6.9%   1 - 11 0 - 0 9 - 21 8 - 10 -10.7      -5.2 311 -5.5 336 71.0 136 -8.9 305 0.0 1
338 Stonehill 6.3%   1 - 10 0 - 0 9 - 20 8 - 10 -11.1      -9.2 358 -2.0 233 65.8 279 -17.6 354 0.0 1
340 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 10 -11.4      -8.7 355 -2.7 267 63.4 330 -10.1 317 0.0 1
357 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.8%   0 - 9 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.5      -6.1 331 -8.4 359 70.0 171 -20.9 362 0.0 1
361 St. Francis (PA) 1.1%   0 - 11 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 10 -15.5      -8.9 357 -6.5 346 72.4 101 -17.4 353 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 182 Florida International 86 206 LIU Brooklyn 79   
Sat, Dec 20 312 Le Moyne 81 116 St. Bonaventure 92   
Sat, Dec 20 363 Binghamton 61 318 Mercyhurst 82   
Sat, Dec 20 185 Robert Morris 79 361 St. Francis (PA) 70   
Sat, Dec 20 336 Chicago St. 58 29 Indiana 78   
Mon, Dec 22 193 Fordham 65 340 New Haven 47   
Mon, Dec 22 338 Stonehill 48 75 Syracuse 77   
Mon, Dec 22 156 Boston College 72 357 Fairleigh Dickinson 61   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 28 156 Boston College 79 312 Le Moyne 67 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 2.7 28.5 26.1 18.3 11.5 7.2 4.2 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 2.8 34.8 20.4 14.0 9.7 7.2 5.3 3.2 2.2 1.2 0.4
Wagner 3.2 29.0 19.3 14.7 11.1 8.4 6.0 4.5 3.2 2.0 0.9
Le Moyne 5.8 2.3 5.9 9.4 12.5 14.4 14.8 14.5 12.8 9.0 4.5
Mercyhurst 5.2 6.3 9.5 12.3 13.7 14.1 13.1 12.0 9.6 6.7 2.9
Chicago St. 5.1 7.4 10.0 12.0 12.9 13.2 12.4 11.5 9.7 7.0 3.8
Stonehill 5.4 6.9 8.6 10.8 12.1 12.7 12.7 12.2 10.6 8.3 5.1
New Haven 5.5 6.5 8.3 10.2 11.5 12.2 12.4 12.1 11.4 9.4 5.9
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.5 2.8 4.0 5.7 7.8 10.0 12.7 15.7 19.4 20.6
St. Francis (PA) 8.4 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.2 6.6 10.1 15.1 24.0 35.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.2 6.1 10.4 15.4 18.5 18.7 14.9 8.3 2.5
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.3 7.0 9.6 12.3 14.3 14.4 12.6 10.1 6.4 3.3
Wagner 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.2 5.6 8.2 11.3 13.1 13.8 12.9 11.6 8.1 5.2 2.5
Le Moyne 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.3 9.3 13.5 15.9 16.7 14.7 10.7 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.6 6.9 10.5 13.7 15.5 14.8 13.2 9.5 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
Chicago St. 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 7.1 10.5 13.1 14.5 14.3 12.1 9.5 5.9 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.2
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 4.9 8.2 11.1 13.7 14.5 13.4 11.2 8.0 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2
New Haven 8 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.8 8.3 12.0 13.8 13.9 12.9 10.4 7.7 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.6 2.4 6.0 9.7 13.0 14.6 14.9 12.9 10.1 6.9 4.3 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 11 1.3 4.9 10.2 15.1 17.8 17.0 13.6 9.3 5.8 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 28.5% 17.3 8.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 34.8% 24.0 8.4 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wagner 29.0% 19.3 7.5 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Le Moyne 2.3% 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 6.3% 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Chicago St. 7.4% 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Stonehill 6.9% 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
New Haven 6.5% 3.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 41.5% 41.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.7 4.2 15.0 21.5 58.5 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 23.1% 23.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.6 18.6 76.9 0.0%
Wagner 19.4% 19.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 17.4 80.6 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 6.9 93.1 0.0%
Stonehill 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 41.5% 9.6% 36.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 23.1% 12.6% 16.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 19.4% 13.7% 12.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 6.9% 6.7% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.3% 6.2% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 72.3% 0.7 27.7 72.3
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0