Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
219 LIU Brooklyn 52.9%   16   22 - 10 15 - 3 -3.5      -2.9 254 -0.6 196 69.8 139 -0.9 174 -1.6 1
290 Mercyhurst 23.9%   14 - 16 10 - 8 -7.4      -5.1 305 -2.3 245 62.6 330 -8.9 307 -9.0 4
305 Le Moyne 0.0%   14 - 17 10 - 8 -8.6      -5.5 311 -3.1 266 72.5 73 -9.0 309 -8.9 3
310 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   16 - 12 12 - 6 -9.1      -3.5 263 -5.7 322 63.9 303 -6.0 257 -6.0 2
314 Wagner 14.5%   11 - 16 8 - 10 -9.2      -4.9 302 -4.3 298 64.4 291 -9.8 319 -11.5 8
326 New Haven 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 9 -10.6      -8.6 350 -2.0 232 60.8 354 -10.2 323 -10.0 5
330 Stonehill 8.7%   10 - 20 8 - 10 -11.2      -11.2 360 -0.1 172 66.0 249 -12.3 342 -11.3 7
337 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   8 - 21 8 - 10 -12.2      -6.1 322 -6.1 331 62.3 337 -13.4 346 -11.1 6
348 Chicago St. 0.0%   6 - 25 5 - 13 -13.3      -6.4 329 -6.9 346 65.4 261 -14.5 350 -15.3 10
355 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   5 - 24 5 - 13 -15.0      -6.5 333 -8.5 359 73.4 53 -16.0 354 -15.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 4 310 Central Connecticut St. 60 314 Wagner 70   
Wed, Mar 4 348 Chicago St. 75 219 LIU Brooklyn 79   
Wed, Mar 4 305 Le Moyne 71 330 Stonehill 81   
Wed, Mar 4 337 Fairleigh Dickinson 61 290 Mercyhurst 70   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 7 219 LIU Brooklyn 76 314 Wagner 67 80%   
Sat, Mar 7 290 Mercyhurst 67 330 Stonehill 60 74%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 1.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.0 100.0
Mercyhurst 3.0 100.0
Le Moyne 3.0 100.0
New Haven 5.0 100.0
Stonehill 6.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.0 100.0
Wagner 6.0 100.0
Chicago St. 9.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 15 - 3 23 - 10 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 6 16 - 12 100.0
Mercyhurst 10 - 8 15 - 16 100.0
Le Moyne 10 - 8 14 - 17 100.0
New Haven 9 - 9 11 - 17 100.0
Stonehill 8 - 10 10 - 21 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 10 8 - 21 100.0
Wagner 8 - 10 11 - 17 100.0
Chicago St. 5 - 13 6 - 25 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 13 5 - 24 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0
Central Connecticut St.
Mercyhurst
Le Moyne
New Haven
Stonehill
Fairleigh Dickinson
Wagner
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA)


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 52.9% 52.9% 0.0% 16   0.8 13.1 39.1 47.1 0.0%
Mercyhurst 23.9% 23.9% 0.0% 23.9 76.1 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 14.5 85.5 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 8.7 91.4 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 66.3% 0.7 33.8 66.3
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 52.9% 17.7% 44.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 23.9% 23.3% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 14.5% 14.5% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 8.7% 8.7% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%