Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
207 LIU Brooklyn 48.9%   16   16 - 8 10 - 1 -2.8      -2.9 250 +0.1 163 70.0 140 +0.7 149 +2.4 1
294 Central Connecticut St. 17.1%   11 - 10 7 - 5 -7.7      -2.5 237 -5.2 320 64.1 303 -5.8 258 -7.7 2
303 Le Moyne 0.0%   11 - 13 7 - 5 -8.1      -4.0 276 -4.2 300 71.5 103 -7.7 295 -8.0 3
304 Mercyhurst 0.0%   10 - 13 7 - 5 -8.3      -6.0 324 -2.3 249 61.3 350 -9.3 308 -9.2 5
329 Fairleigh Dickinson 6.5%   6 - 16 6 - 6 -10.9      -5.5 316 -5.3 324 64.4 296 -12.7 344 -9.8 6
330 Stonehill 6.6%   7 - 16 6 - 6 -10.9      -11.4 363 +0.5 151 65.0 278 -11.7 338 -8.6 4
331 Wagner 6.0%   5 - 14 3 - 8 -10.9      -4.3 288 -6.7 340 63.8 311 -13.7 349 -16.1 9
334 New Haven 0.0%   7 - 14 5 - 6 -11.2      -8.6 351 -2.6 256 60.3 358 -10.4 325 -10.4 7
353 Chicago St. 2.2%   4 - 20 3 - 9 -13.9      -6.9 339 -7.0 344 67.8 208 -14.7 353 -16.3 10
355 St. Francis (PA) 1.8%   4 - 18 4 - 7 -14.4      -6.6 335 -7.8 356 73.1 66 -15.2 354 -13.5 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Feb 9 353 Chicago St. 80 355 St. Francis (PA) 75   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 12 303 Le Moyne 71 304 Mercyhurst 68 62%   
Thu, Feb 12 294 Central Connecticut St. 66 334 New Haven 65 52%   
Thu, Feb 12 207 LIU Brooklyn 74 331 Wagner 69 69%   
Thu, Feb 12 353 Chicago St. 65 330 Stonehill 66 50%   
Thu, Feb 12 329 Fairleigh Dickinson 78 355 St. Francis (PA) 71 74%   
Sat, Feb 14 330 Stonehill 67 331 Wagner 64 62%   
Sat, Feb 14 294 Central Connecticut St. 71 329 Fairleigh Dickinson 70 51%   
Sat, Feb 14 207 LIU Brooklyn 68 334 New Haven 63 70%   
Sat, Feb 14 353 Chicago St. 71 303 Le Moyne 80 80%   
Mon, Feb 16 207 LIU Brooklyn 77 331 Wagner 66 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 0.8 82.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.8 0.7 55.3 23.6 10.3 5.8 3.0 1.3 0.2
Le Moyne 3.1 0.4 44.4 26.2 13.7 8.2 4.7 2.2 0.2
Mercyhurst 4.2 0.1 15.1 20.2 22.7 20.5 14.4 6.1 0.9 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.9 0.0 7.9 14.2 18.6 22.2 19.0 14.7 3.1 0.4 0.0
Stonehill 4.4 0.1 13.0 21.1 22.3 17.8 14.6 8.8 2.1 0.3 0.0
Wagner 8.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 6.2 14.3 37.1 22.3 15.6
New Haven 5.4 6.8 11.0 13.9 16.8 18.8 23.5 7.3 1.8 0.2
Chicago St. 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 4.2 20.1 33.5 40.4
St. Francis (PA) 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.2 10.8 32.3 35.0 15.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 15 - 3 21 - 10 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.2 14.3 28.5 33.7
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 7 15 - 12 0.4 3.4 12.3 24.6 30.8 22.0 6.5
Le Moyne 10 - 8 14 - 16 0.8 5.1 15.8 28.3 29.1 16.6 4.3
Mercyhurst 9 - 8 12 - 16 4.4 19.6 32.6 27.8 13.3 2.4
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 9 9 - 19 2.0 12.2 25.8 32.3 20.4 6.6 0.7
Stonehill 9 - 9 10 - 19 1.1 7.3 19.2 30.0 26.1 13.3 3.1
Wagner 6 - 12 8 - 18 2.1 11.5 22.8 29.1 22.0 9.7 2.6 0.3
New Haven 8 - 10 10 - 18 1.3 7.2 18.3 26.9 25.0 14.9 5.6 0.8
Chicago St. 5 - 13 6 - 24 9.3 27.2 32.5 21.4 8.1 1.5 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 11 6 - 22 14.9 32.0 30.1 16.0 5.8 1.1 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 82.8% 81.8 0.8 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 0.7% 0.1 0.5 0.1
Le Moyne 0.4% 0.1 0.3 0.1
Mercyhurst 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 0.1% 0.0 0.0
Wagner
New Haven
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA)


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 60.0% 60.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.9 9.1 26.8 23.2 40.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 0.1 1.4 15.5 83.0 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 6.5 93.5 0.0%
Stonehill 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 6.6 93.4 0.0%
Wagner 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 6.0 94.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 2.2 97.9 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.3 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.7% 0.8 22.3 77.7
2nd Round 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 60.0% 6.3% 57.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 17.1% 11.3% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.5% 6.5% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.6% 6.6% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 6.0% 6.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%