Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#338
Expected Predictive Rating-17.6#354
Pace65.8#279
Improvement-1.4#272

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#358
First Shot-6.7#349
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#332
Layup/Dunks-4.5#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#111
Freethrows-4.9#363
Improvement-0.3#198

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#233
First Shot-3.3#293
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#79
Layups/Dunks-4.4#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#165
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement-1.1#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.7% 5.3% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 67.8% 41.7%
Conference Champion 6.9% 9.5% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 5.4% 15.9%
First Four6.2% 7.3% 4.3%
First Round2.8% 3.3% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Haven (Home) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 115 @DePaul L 64-72 6%     0 - 1 -1.7 -8.5 +7.4
  Tue, Nov 11 119 @Rhode Island L 57-80 6%     0 - 2 -16.9 -13.3 -3.3
  Fri, Nov 14 277 @Fairfield L 71-73 OT 23%     0 - 3 -5.3 -10.8 +5.7
  Sat, Nov 15 329 Loyola Maryland L 63-74 46%     0 - 4 -21.0 -13.0 -8.7
  Mon, Nov 17 3 @Iowa St. L 57-96 0.3%    0 - 5 -13.8 -3.2 -10.3
  Fri, Nov 21 321 Lafayette W 74-70 55%     1 - 5 -8.5 -6.4 -2.2
  Wed, Nov 26 304 Umass Lowell L 64-75 50%     1 - 6 -22.0 -13.9 -8.3
  Sun, Nov 30 160 @Quinnipiac L 62-76 10%     1 - 7 -11.0 -7.3 -3.9
  Tue, Dec 2 311 @Bryant L 65-77 30%     1 - 8 -17.8 -0.3 -19.1
  Wed, Dec 17 335 @New Hampshire L 58-59 36%     1 - 9 -8.6 -14.2 +5.6
  Mon, Dec 22 75 @Syracuse L 48-77 3%     1 - 10 -18.4 -13.3 -8.9
  Fri, Jan 2 340 New Haven W 64-61 62%    
  Sun, Jan 4 295 @Wagner L 64-71 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 278 @Central Connecticut St. L 61-69 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 336 Chicago St. W 71-68 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 318 @Mercyhurst L 61-66 33%    
  Mon, Jan 19 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 69-68 55%    
  Fri, Jan 23 206 LIU Brooklyn L 68-73 31%    
  Sun, Jan 25 278 Central Connecticut St. L 64-66 43%    
  Thu, Jan 29 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 73-67 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 312 @Le Moyne L 70-75 31%    
  Thu, Feb 5 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 206 @LIU Brooklyn L 65-76 16%    
  Thu, Feb 12 336 @Chicago St. L 68-71 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 295 Wagner L 67-68 47%    
  Thu, Feb 19 340 @New Haven L 61-64 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 312 Le Moyne W 73-72 53%    
  Thu, Feb 26 361 St. Francis (PA) W 72-65 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 318 Mercyhurst W 64-63 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 6.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 5.0 3.2 0.8 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.7 4.1 0.7 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.9 4.8 0.7 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.5 1.0 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.6 1.4 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.7 1.6 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.3 1.2 0.1 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.0 5.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 4.9 8.2 11.1 13.7 14.5 13.4 11.2 8.0 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-1 97.6% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 90.9% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
13-3 68.7% 2.2    1.3 0.8 0.1
12-4 34.3% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 38.8% 38.8% 16.0 0.1 0.1
15-1 0.6% 24.1% 24.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
14-2 1.5% 28.2% 28.2% 16.0 0.4 1.1
13-3 3.2% 19.7% 19.7% 16.0 0.6 2.5
12-4 5.4% 16.6% 16.6% 16.0 0.9 4.5
11-5 8.0% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.9 7.1
10-6 11.2% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.0 10.3
9-7 13.4% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 12.6
8-8 14.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.7 13.8
7-9 13.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.3
6-10 11.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 10.9
5-11 8.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.1
4-12 4.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-13 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0%