Preseason Rankings
Stonehill
Northeast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#340
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#296
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#352
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#309
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 25.9% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 30.8% 65.6% 29.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.7% 82.6% 69.3%
Conference Champion 18.1% 35.4% 17.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 1.3% 6.7%
First Four10.4% 17.3% 10.3%
First Round7.1% 18.9% 6.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 412 - 1212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 84   @ DePaul L 57-78 3%    
  Nov 11, 2025 146   @ Rhode Island L 63-78 9%    
  Nov 14, 2025 319   @ Fairfield L 63-68 31%    
  Nov 15, 2025 317   Loyola Maryland L 64-67 41%    
  Nov 17, 2025 20   @ Iowa St. L 51-82 0.3%   
  Nov 21, 2025 308   Lafayette L 64-65 49%    
  Nov 30, 2025 215   @ Quinnipiac L 65-76 16%    
  Dec 02, 2025 250   @ Bryant L 67-77 20%    
  Dec 17, 2025 356   @ New Hampshire L 66-67 46%    
  Dec 22, 2025 64   @ Syracuse L 58-82 2%    
  Jan 02, 2026 363   New Haven W 71-62 77%    
  Jan 04, 2026 343   @ Wagner L 55-58 40%    
  Jan 08, 2026 305   @ Central Connecticut St. L 60-66 30%    
  Jan 10, 2026 349   Chicago St. W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 17, 2026 361   @ Mercyhurst W 64-62 55%    
  Jan 19, 2026 344   @ St. Francis (PA) L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 23, 2026 300   LIU Brooklyn L 62-63 47%    
  Jan 25, 2026 305   Central Connecticut St. L 62-63 49%    
  Jan 29, 2026 354   Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-66 65%    
  Jan 31, 2026 347   @ Le Moyne L 69-72 42%    
  Feb 05, 2026 354   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 07, 2026 300   @ LIU Brooklyn L 59-66 28%    
  Feb 12, 2026 349   @ Chicago St. L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 14, 2026 343   Wagner W 58-55 60%    
  Feb 19, 2026 363   @ New Haven W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 21, 2026 347   Le Moyne W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 26, 2026 344   St. Francis (PA) W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 28, 2026 361   Mercyhurst W 67-59 73%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.9 4.0 4.2 3.1 1.9 17.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.7 4.5 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.1 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.3 0.7 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.3 2.7 0.6 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.4 7.5 8.7 10.6 11.2 11.0 10.2 8.9 7.1 5.3 3.3 1.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.7% 1.9    1.8 0.1
15-1 92.9% 3.1    2.7 0.3
14-2 79.0% 4.2    3.3 0.9 0.0
13-3 56.1% 4.0    2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 32.6% 2.9    1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0
11-5 9.1% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 11.5 4.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.9% 45.0% 45.0% 17.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1
15-1 3.3% 41.7% 41.7% 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.9
14-2 5.3% 37.8% 37.8% 17.6 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.3
13-3 7.1% 27.0% 27.0% 17.4 0.1 2.0 5.2
12-4 8.9% 19.6% 19.6% 16.7 0.0 1.8 7.2
11-5 10.2% 13.7% 13.7% 16.4 0.0 1.4 8.8
10-6 11.0% 8.0% 8.0% 16.1 0.9 10.1
9-7 11.2% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.5
8-8 10.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 10.3
7-9 8.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 8.4
6-10 7.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 7.3
5-11 5.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-12 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-13 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 11.7 88.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%