Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -11.8 335
Results Rating -13.1 344
Consistency 0.14 139
Pace 65.9 254
Improvement +2.3 104

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 361 F+ D F+ F C+
Defense C 173 C+ C F B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 164 F+ 49% 358 -3.3 299
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 215 C- 36% 248 -1.1 241
Three Pointers 42% 159 D- 29% 341 -2.4 263
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 159 F+ -6.8 360
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.89 350
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 263 D- 0.90 339 D 0.25 321
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 346
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 317
Turnovers F+ 20.2% 346
Freethrows F+ 0.23 355 D 69% 292 F 0.16 361
Total Offense F -11.7 361

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 39% 315 F 16.6% 360
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 307 C+ 4.1% 126
Three Pointers B 91% 40 F 2.2% 356
Total D+ 51% 270 F 8.2% 354


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 B- 55% 101 +1.8 240
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 114 B- 35% 84 +0.0 193
Three Pointers 34% 350 D+ 36% 275 -2.7 68
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 198 C+ -0.9 142
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.01 148
Second Chance B- 28.4% 103 C- 1.07 260 C 0.30 164
Turnovers from Steals F 5.7% 361
Other Turnovers D 6.4% 298
Turnovers F 12.0% 364
Freethrows C+ 0.29 133 B 70% 48 B- 0.20 101
Total Defense C -0.1 173

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 50 C+ 12.0% 132
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 156 C+ 5.9% 110
Three Pointers A- 75% 13 D+ 0.4% 296
Total B+ 48% 31 B- 6.7% 92

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 309 16.9 100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 296 0.17 180
Consistency 0.10 52 0.12 172
Improvement +0.5 161 +1.8 89

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 343 335 328
Results Rating Rank 348 346 337
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 7% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 7% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 49 - 159 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 84 @DePaul L 64 - 72 3% -8  6% 0 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -8 D C C- A +11 A+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 135 @Rhode Island L 57 - 80 7% -12  11% 0 - 2 F -18 F -15 F C- F D+ -3 C- C+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 264 @Fairfield L 71 - 73 OT 20% -2  20% 0 - 3 C- -5 F -13 F+ F B A +9 A A F
 Sat, Nov 15 314 Loyola Maryland L 63 - 74 41% -3  12% 0 - 4 F -21 F -14 C- F F D- -7 F D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 10 @Iowa St. L 57 - 96 0% -18  0% 0 - 5 F+ -16 D- -6 B+ F F F+ -9 D- A F
 Fri, Nov 21 324 Lafayette W 74 - 70 57% +4  73% 1 - 5 D -10 F+ -9 B- F F C -1 B- C C+
 Wed, Nov 26 311 Umass Lowell L 64 - 75 51% -5  3% 1 - 6 F -23 F -16 F F+ C D- -7 C C+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 215 @Quinnipiac L 62 - 76 14% -8  17% 1 - 7 D- -14 F -10 F A F D+ -4 F A+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 353 @Bryant L 65 - 77 47% -4  33% 1 - 8 F -23 D- -7 D D- D+ F -18 F F F
 Wed, Dec 17 352 @New Hampshire L 58 - 59 46% -1  23% 1 - 9 D- -12 F -19 F F F A- +7 A C+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 76 @Syracuse L 48 - 77 3% -12  0% 1 - 10 F -18 F -17 F B- F D -5 C B- F
 Fri, Jan 2 325 New Haven L 55 - 70 57% -5  42% 1 - 11 0 - 1 F -29 F -21 F C- D F+ -9 F+ D+ F
 Sun, Jan 4 317 @Wagner W 69 - 60 31% +2  53% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +2 C +0 C- D C+ B- +3 B- C- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 306 @Central Connecticut St. L 69 - 76 28% -6  0% 2 - 12 1 - 2 D- -13 D- -7 B- F F D -6 D- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 351 Chicago St. W 85 - 82 OT 68% +3  65% 3 - 12 2 - 2 D- -14 D+ -2 C+ C+ F+ F -11 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 291 @Mercyhurst W 62 - 57 OT 24% -2  11% 4 - 12 3 - 2 C +1 F -14 F+ D F+ A+ +15 B+ A+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 61 - 63 51% +3  70% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -14 F -19 F F F B+ +5 A+ C- F
 Fri, Jan 23 218 LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 66 29% +3  66% 4 - 14 3 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 C- C F C -1 A- A F
 Mon, Jan 26 306 Central Connecticut St. W 61 - 59 49% -3  8% 5 - 14 4 - 4 D -10 F -17 D F F A- +8 C- A- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 58 - 57 62% +1  51% 6 - 14 5 - 4 D- -14 F -16 F C+ D+ C+ +2 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 298 @Le Moyne W 65 - 54 26% +5  87% 7 - 14 6 - 4 B- +6 F -13 F+ F B+ A+ +18 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 58 - 74 39% -10  0% 7 - 15 6 - 5 F -25 F -16 F D F+ F -10 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 54 - 61 14% +1  55% 7 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F -12 F D- D- B +4 C- A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 12 351 @Chicago St. L 55 - 68 46% -14  0% 7 - 17 6 - 7 F -24 F -12 B F F F -15 F F C
 Sat, Feb 14 317 Wagner L 57 - 68 54% -4  30% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -21 F B+ F D+ -3 A- F+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 325 @New Haven L 51 - 64 34% -6  1% 7 - 19 6 - 9 F -21 F -21 F F+ C+ C -0 C C D-
 Sat, Feb 21 298 Le Moyne W 77 - 68 47% +5  66% 8 - 19 7 - 9 C- -2 D+ -3 D+ D A+ C+ +1 B+ C C
 Thu, Feb 26 355 St. Francis (PA) W 103 - 77 72% +17  94% 9 - 19 8 - 9 B- +8 A +13 B+ A+ A+ D -6 B F F+
 Sat, Feb 28 291 Mercyhurst L 72 - 75 OT 45% +4  71% 9 - 20 8 - 10 D- -13 F -14 F C- B C+ +0 A- B+ F
 Wed, Mar 4 298 @Le Moyne L 64 - 71 26%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -12 F -12 F F+ C+ C +0 D- D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F+ C- D- F+ 39% 35% 42% C+ F+ D+ D- D F+ F+ D F C B- B- D+ C+ 44% 22% 34% C- C+ B- C- C F C+ B B-
0.92 49% 36% 29% -7 0 0.89 27% 0.9 .25 20% .23 69% .16 1.09 55% 35% 36% -1 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .30 12% .29 70% .16
Nov
7		 DePaul F+ F A- C- D- 35% 25% 40% C D F A+ C C- F+ F F A D A+ A+ A+ 42% 17% 41% D A+ A+ D- A F F A+ F
0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15 0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30
Nov
11		 Rhode Island F F F F F 28% 14% 58% C- F C D C- F A- C+ B+ D+ D F A+ C 55% 14% 31% F+ C- B- C+ C+ F+ C- F D-
0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30 1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30
Nov
14		 Fairfield F F+ F A F+ 49% 16% 35% C F+ F F F B F C F A A+ A+ B+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C A A+ F A F F D- F
0.92 48% 10% 41% -6 +1 0.94 13% 0.8 .10 13% .16 73% .12 0.94 40% 25% 30% -12 0 0.78 17% 1.1 .19 8% .34 75% .25
Nov
15		 Loyola Maryland F C A+ F D+ 46% 15% 38% B+ C- C F F F F C F D- B- F F+ F+ 55% 7% 38% F F A- F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06 1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05
Nov
17		 Iowa St. D- A+ B- A- A 14% 39% 47% F B+ D- F F F F F F F+ F+ F C- F 42% 23% 36% B- D- A B- A F F B+ F
0.81 71% 40% 38% +5 -4 1.04 19% 0.5 .09 28% .04 50% .02 1.36 73% 67% 37% +14 0 1.30 30% 1.0 .30 10% .47 63% .30
Nov
21		 Lafayette F+ B A- C B- 45% 22% 33% B- B- B- F F F C+ F D C A A D B 54% 17% 29% D B- F A+ C C+ F B F
1.04 65% 45% 35% +5 0 1.14 34% 0.6 .20 21% .30 59% .18 0.98 46% 25% 36% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .21 17% .49 66% .32
Nov
26		 Umass Lowell F F F D- F 34% 20% 46% D F C F F+ C F B+ F D- D+ A B+ C+ 42% 13% 45% D- C C B- C+ F F A+ C
0.93 37% 27% 31% -12 0 0.79 31% 0.9 .27 13% .15 78% .12 1.09 59% 29% 29% -4 +1 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 10% .41 48% .19
Nov
30		 Quinnipiac F F B- F+ F 26% 26% 48% F+ F B+ A- A F F F F D+ D- A F F 51% 22% 27% D- F A A+ A+ D A F B
0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07 1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17
Dec
2		 Bryant D- D B D+ D- 57% 14% 29% B D C- F D- D+ F B+ F F F D B- F 43% 10% 47% D F F F F F D- A+ C+
1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13 1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19
Dec
17		 New Hampshire F C+ F F F 49% 21% 30% C+ F C F F F B+ A A A- A+ A F A 47% 15% 38% D+ A B C C+ F C- B- C-
0.85 62% 11% 23% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.6 .18 31% .38 83% .32 0.86 24% 25% 40% -15 +1 0.75 22% 0.9 .20 13% .29 65% .19
Dec
22		 Syracuse F F F D F 32% 23% 45% D+ F C+ B- B- F A- F B- D C- A+ F C+ 45% 14% 41% D C C- A- B- F F A+ D+
0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23 1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25
Jan
2		 New Haven F F F F F 55% 10% 35% A F C C- C- D D- D+ D- F+ C A F F 36% 23% 42% C F+ A F D+ F A+ B+ A
0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17 1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10
Jan
4		 Wagner C F A+ A C- 47% 17% 36% C C- C- F+ D C+ C- F D- B- A B F B 52% 24% 24% D- B- C C- C- D- A+ F B-
1.13 45% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 13% .36 63% .23 0.98 42% 33% 42% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 16% .18 100% .18
Jan
8		 Central Connecticut St. D- D- A+ A C 55% 6% 39% A- B- C F F F D- F F D D- D+ F F 28% 40% 33% B+ D- B- F F B F D- F
1.04 50% 67% 40% +1 +3 1.10 32% 0.5 .18 20% .21 64% .13 1.15 67% 41% 43% +8 -3 1.12 24% 1.8 .44 20% .45 83% .38
Jan
10		 Chicago St. D+ A+ F B- C+ 33% 10% 58% C C+ A F C+ F+ B- D- C+ F B+ D+ F D 39% 35% 26% C- D A+ F F F D- F+ F
1.16 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.17 46% 0.9 .43 23% .37 71% .27 1.12 45% 40% 40% -2 -2 0.95 15% 2.6 .39 8% .31 81% .25
Jan
17		 Mercyhurst F C F F F 53% 13% 33% B F+ F+ B- D F+ A- F D A+ C A+ A+ B+ 41% 43% 16% B- B+ D+ A+ A+ D C A+ B+
0.89 58% 0% 27% -9 +2 0.89 25% 1.1 .28 21% .44 54% .24 0.82 57% 29% 22% -7 -3 0.82 28% 0.3 .09 13% .21 54% .12
Jan
19		 St. Francis (PA) F F+ F D+ F 50% 5% 45% A F F+ F+ F F A B A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ 45% 25% 29% D+ A+ B F C- F F A F
0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34 0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28
Jan
23		 LIU Brooklyn F+ C A+ F D 55% 9% 36% A C- C- B- C F F F F C B+ B+ C B+ 31% 29% 40% A- A- A+ F A F C D- D+
0.97 58% 50% 24% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.1 .35 23% .20 60% .12 1.02 50% 33% 33% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.1 .22 9% .29 71% .20
Jan
26		 Central Connecticut St. F A+ A F D- 47% 9% 44% B D D+ F F F A+ F A+ A- B C+ F C- 47% 31% 22% F+ C- A+ C- A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 71% 50% 15% -5 +2 0.96 29% 0.6 .17 20% .46 67% .30 0.90 54% 38% 45% +2 -1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 20% .08 50% .04
Jan
29		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F A+ F F 40% 29% 31% D F B D C+ D+ F B+ D- C+ A+ C- A+ A 36% 34% 30% A A D+ F F F A+ F A+
0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20 0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Le Moyne F F A+ D- F 45% 13% 42% B F+ F+ F F B+ D B C- A+ A+ F+ A A+ 43% 19% 38% C A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22 0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13
Feb
5		 Fairleigh Dickinson F D- D- F F 26% 35% 40% F F D- C D F+ A+ F A F D+ C- C- F+ 37% 27% 37% B D- D+ F F F D+ F F+
0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31 1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25
Feb
7		 LIU Brooklyn F D- F F F 43% 17% 39% C F C+ F D- D- D- A+ B- B B- D- F C- 57% 28% 15% D+ C- D- A+ A+ C- B+ F+ B-
0.88 50% 25% 22% -13 +1 0.78 36% 0.8 .27 21% .27 92% .25 1.00 54% 46% 43% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.4 .15 20% .22 73% .16
Feb
12		 Chicago St. F C- A+ A+ B 39% 5% 55% B B F F F F F D F F F F B- F 35% 35% 30% C F F+ F F C C F D+
0.98 60% 50% 43% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.6 .13 25% .26 73% .19 1.22 67% 53% 31% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.5 .52 16% .26 83% .21
Feb
14		 Wagner F F C- F F 36% 16% 48% D+ F C- A+ B+ F F B+ F D+ C- A+ D+ B+ 36% 36% 28% A A- F B F+ F D F+ F+
0.87 28% 38% 25% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 21% .25 77% .19 1.03 56% 17% 36% -8 -2 0.82 45% 0.9 .43 14% .32 78% .25
Feb
19		 New Haven F F B D- F 42% 18% 40% C F F C F+ C+ F+ F F C C+ F+ A+ C+ 55% 18% 27% F C F A+ C D- B D B-
0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09 0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16
Feb
21		 Le Moyne D+ B- D+ F D+ 43% 19% 39% C+ D+ C- F+ D A+ B+ D+ B- C+ A F A- B+ 33% 18% 49% B- B+ C C- C C F B+ D-
1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26 0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28
Feb
26		 St. Francis (PA) A B F A+ B 46% 7% 47% B+ B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F+ D A- A D+ A- 54% 21% 25% F B D F F F+ F A+ C+
1.41 69% 25% 44% +12 +2 1.30 34% 1.7 .59 11% .25 81% .20 1.05 48% 25% 36% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.5 .44 15% .35 50% .18
Feb
28		 Mercyhurst F F F C+ F 44% 19% 37% C F D- A C- B B+ F C- C+ A B+ C- B 27% 53% 20% A+ A- C A+ B+ F F D+ F
0.94 38% 20% 35% -12 +1 0.80 26% 1.3 .33 16% .43 61% .26 0.98 44% 34% 33% -6 -5 0.80 27% 0.8 .20 8% .35 76% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 2.4 97.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.9%
Lose Out 64.5%