Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.0 336
Results Rating -13.2 346
Consistency 0.11 18
Pace 62.1 338
Improvement +2.4 98

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 318 D- C- D+ D C-
Defense D- 332 F+ B- D+ D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 314 C- 56% 215 -3.5 304
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 233 C- 37% 213 -0.6 214
Three Pointers 47% 56 F 28% 359 -1.1 223
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 218 D- -4.9 336
1st FG Attempt D- 0.92 333
Second Chance C+ 31.5% 144 D 0.92 326 C- 0.29 226
Opponents' Steals C- 10.0% 253
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 322
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 298
Freethrows D+ 0.27 271 D+ 70% 272 D 0.19 290
Total Offense D -5.7 318

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 278 C 11.2% 188
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 289 C+ 4.1% 121
Three Pointers D+ 80% 263 C 1.0% 215
Total D+ 51% 288 C+ 5.0% 113


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 218 D- 65% 335 +1.9 245
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 212 D+ 40% 268 +0.0 185
Three Pointers 43% 111 F 39% 359 +4.5 344
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 181 F+ +6.2 357
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 351
Second Chance B- 27.7% 82 B- 0.98 110 B- 0.27 75
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.8% 341
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 81
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 287
Freethrows D+ 0.34 284 C 72% 162 D+ 0.24 277
Total Defense D- -6.3 332

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 151 D- 5.3% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 49 F+ 0.7% 359
Three Pointers B+ 77% 28 C 0.9% 147
Total C+ 53% 125 F+ 2.5% 357

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.6 355 16.8 93
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.06 364 0.17 191
Consistency 0.11 70 0.12 153
Improvement -0.3 198 +2.8 57

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 345 338 328
Results Rating Rank 350 349 335
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 9% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 9% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 138 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 10 @Iowa St. L 50 - 88 0% -24  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -13 F C D C -1 F A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 229 @St. Peter's L 83 - 93 15% -7  0% 0 - 2 D -11 B- +4 A+ A- F F -14 F B- D-
 Wed, Nov 12 27 @Texas L 58 - 93 1% -17  11% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F+ F B C+ +0 D A D
 Sat, Nov 15 331 @NJIT L 81 - 93 37% -11  0% 0 - 4 F -21 D+ -4 F+ D- B- F -16 F D+ A
 Mon, Nov 24 307 East Texas A&M L 65 - 70 49% +5  71% 0 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C+ D+ F D -6 F B- B-
 Wed, Nov 26 340 Army L 73 - 81 63% -2  31% 0 - 6 F -23 D- -7 F A A+ F -17 D- D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 61 @Providence L 64 - 94 2% -23  0% 0 - 7 F+ -18 D -6 C- C F F -14 F B- C+
 Wed, Dec 10 159 @Fordham L 54 - 75 9% -11  19% 0 - 8 F -18 F -13 C F D D- -7 F C B
 Mon, Dec 22 137 @Boston College L 61 - 72 7% +2  59% 0 - 9 D+ -7 C +1 C- C- A+ F+ -10 F+ D- F+
 Mon, Dec 29 57 @Minnesota L 43 - 60 2% -7  6% 0 - 10 C- -4 F -20 F F F A+ +13 A+ C A-
 Fri, Jan 2 291 @Mercyhurst W 74 - 67 24% -0  44% 1 - 10 1 - 0 C+ +3 B- +4 A+ F+ F C -1 C C+ B+
 Sun, Jan 4 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 82 - 85 50% +0  46% 1 - 11 1 - 1 F+ -15 D+ -3 F C- A F -12 D- F F+
 Thu, Jan 8 351 Chicago St. W 70 - 63 67% +9  94% 2 - 11 2 - 1 D -10 F+ -9 F+ F+ D C -0 F A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 325 @New Haven L 55 - 65 33% -10  1% 2 - 12 2 - 2 F+ -18 F -14 F F B- D+ -5 F B- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 218 LIU Brooklyn L 59 - 66 29% -2  25% 2 - 13 2 - 3 D- -13 F -13 F F C C -1 F+ B C+
 Mon, Jan 19 317 Wagner W 68 - 61 53% +4  82% 3 - 13 3 - 3 D+ -6 C +0 C- A F D+ -4 C+ B+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 306 @Central Connecticut St. W 76 - 66 27% +4  50% 4 - 13 4 - 3 C+ +4 A- +11 A F+ A D -5 D+ D- B-
 Mon, Jan 26 298 Le Moyne L 74 - 87 46% -13  0% 4 - 14 4 - 4 F -24 C- -2 F A A+ F -23 F A D+
 Thu, Jan 29 335 @Stonehill L 57 - 58 38% -1  41% 4 - 15 4 - 5 D -10 D- -8 F A- C+ C- -2 C+ D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 317 @Wagner L 72 - 75 OT 30% -1  37% 4 - 16 4 - 6 D -10 D -5 A- F D D+ -5 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 5 335 Stonehill W 74 - 58 61% +10  98% 5 - 16 5 - 6 C +1 B- +4 C A C- C- -2 B+ B- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 291 Mercyhurst W 55 - 52 44% +0  37% 6 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F+ -9 D+ D F B- +2 C B+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 355 St. Francis (PA) W 66 - 59 72% +5  86% 7 - 16 7 - 6 D -11 F -15 F B+ F B +4 A+ C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 306 Central Connecticut St. L 57 - 63 48% -5  1% 7 - 17 7 - 7 F+ -18 F -12 F A+ D- D- -7 B C F
 Thu, Feb 19 351 @Chicago St. W 60 - 59 45% -0  44% 8 - 17 8 - 7 D -10 C- -1 F B- B F+ -8 F B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 325 New Haven L 77 - 84 56% -13  0% 8 - 18 8 - 8 F -21 B +7 B+ C+ C F -28 F F F
 Thu, Feb 26 298 @Le Moyne L 59 - 76 25% -4  19% 8 - 19 8 - 9 F -22 F -12 F C- D- F -12 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 60 - 74 14% -6  7% 8 - 20 8 - 10 D- -14 D- -7 D- A- F F+ -9 F B F
 Wed, Mar 4 291 @Mercyhurst L 63 - 71 24%
Totals 8 - 21 8 - 10 -12 D -6 F D- C- D- -6 F D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C- F D- 34% 33% 47% C- D- C+ D C- D+ D+ D+ D D- D- D+ F F+ 38% 19% 43% C F+ B- B- B- D+ D+ C D+
1.00 56% 37% 28% -5 0 0.92 32% 0.9 .29 19% .27 70% .19 1.18 65% 40% 39% +6 0 1.15 28% 1.0 .27 15% .34 72% .20
Nov
3		 Iowa St. F B- F F F 22% 24% 54% C- F D- A+ C D A F B- C F B+ F F 34% 27% 39% A F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A+
0.71 60% 18% 20% -16 -2 0.67 20% 1.4 .28 25% .32 59% .19 1.25 85% 31% 52% +18 -1 1.36 26% 0.3 .09 13% .15 67% .10
Nov
8		 St. Peter's B- A- A+ A A+ 38% 10% 52% B- A+ D+ A+ A- F D- F F F F A+ F F 37% 19% 44% D+ F B- B- B- D- F D F
1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20 1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33
Nov
12		 Texas F F B- F+ F 41% 17% 41% B+ F+ D+ F F B F F F C+ F F A+ C- 50% 10% 40% F D C A+ A D F A+ C+
0.79 38% 40% 29% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.3 .06 12% .20 62% .12 1.27 81% 60% 24% +7 +2 1.21 39% 0.9 .34 12% .53 56% .30
Nov
15		 NJIT D+ D+ B- F F 30% 8% 62% B- F+ C F D- B- C B- C+ F F F F F 31% 11% 58% F F C D- D+ A F B+ F
1.05 56% 40% 26% -8 +1 0.89 35% 0.8 .28 13% .34 74% .25 1.21 86% 60% 46% +22 +1 1.47 26% 1.0 .26 23% .64 66% .42
Nov
24		 East Texas A&M F B+ D C C+ 40% 7% 53% B- C+ B- F D+ F B- F D D F+ A+ F F 29% 17% 54% B- F D+ A B- B- A- A+ A
0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19 1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09
Nov
26		 Army D- C- B+ F F 29% 17% 54% C- F C+ A+ A A+ B+ F+ C+ F F+ A+ D F+ 38% 10% 52% C- D- C+ F+ D+ F F C- F
1.09 60% 44% 18% -11 0 0.79 33% 1.5 .50 9% .41 68% .28 1.21 67% 0% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 12% .56 73% .41
Dec
2		 Providence D F F A+ D 42% 12% 46% A C- A+ F C F D A+ C- F D D+ F F 40% 13% 46% C- F D+ A B- C+ A+ D- A+
0.97 29% 17% 48% -5 +1 0.94 46% 0.6 .29 27% .23 82% .19 1.43 67% 43% 58% +21 +1 1.46 38% 1.0 .38 15% .20 82% .16
Dec
10		 Fordham F C C D C- 32% 16% 52% B C F F F D F C F D- B- F F F 41% 15% 43% D F D+ B- C B C C+ C
0.83 56% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11 1.15 53% 57% 45% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.9 .33 20% .25 69% .17
Dec
22		 Boston College C F B- C C- 26% 20% 54% C- C- B F C- A+ F B F F+ F F B- F 23% 16% 60% C- F+ F C D- F+ F A+ F
1.01 38% 40% 33% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.7 .22 10% .18 70% .13 1.19 70% 71% 31% +5 -1 1.12 38% 1.0 .38 12% .47 56% .26
Dec
29		 Minnesota F A- F F F 21% 21% 57% C- F B F F F A- F C+ A+ B- A+ B- A+ 26% 15% 60% B+ A+ D- B+ C A- A A+ A+
0.71 67% 11% 25% -12 -1 0.76 33% 0.3 .10 23% .30 57% .17 0.99 58% 14% 32% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 20% .25 50% .12
Jan
2		 Mercyhurst B- C A+ A+ A+ 59% 9% 32% A A+ B- F F+ F D- B- D+ C D- F A+ C 35% 28% 37% D- C C B- C+ B+ F F F
1.16 58% 75% 50% +11 +3 1.30 36% 0.6 .23 23% .33 75% .24 1.05 63% 54% 18% -3 -1 0.93 26% 1.0 .26 19% .38 90% .35
Jan
4		 St. Francis (PA) D+ B A+ F F 33% 24% 43% F+ F F A+ C- A A+ A- A+ F A F F+ F+ 22% 24% 53% B+ D- B F F F+ F F F
1.14 69% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 13% .52 79% .41 1.18 45% 50% 38% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.7 .40 15% .49 83% .41
Jan
8		 Chicago St. F+ B+ A+ F F+ 24% 10% 67% D+ F+ C- F F+ D A+ D+ A+ C A+ F F D- 40% 11% 49% F F A+ A+ A+ A- F+ F F
1.06 70% 50% 29% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.8 .29 21% .65 74% .48 0.95 39% 60% 41% 0 +1 1.04 10% 0.7 .07 20% .32 82% .26
Jan
10		 New Haven F D F F F 35% 6% 58% B F C- F F B- A- D- B D+ F A- D F 46% 18% 36% F+ F A F B- C- F A+ F
0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24 1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27
Jan
17		 LIU Brooklyn F C C- F F 37% 19% 44% D+ F C- F F C A+ F A- C F B- C D- 57% 24% 20% D- F+ D+ A+ B C+ A A+ A+
0.91 56% 38% 21% -9 0 0.84 33% 0.6 .21 19% .49 58% .29 1.02 69% 36% 33% +6 +1 1.15 37% 0.7 .27 22% .20 50% .10
Jan
19		 Wagner C F A+ B B 19% 44% 36% F C- A C+ A F A+ B A+ D+ C- C+ B C- 36% 36% 29% A C+ A+ F B+ F D F F
1.17 43% 50% 38% +5 -4 1.03 41% 1.1 .45 24% .57 76% .43 1.05 56% 38% 31% -2 -2 0.93 19% 1.4 .27 14% .32 88% .28
Jan
23		 Central Connecticut St. A- A F A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% D A F C- F+ A D- C+ D- D A- F B D+ 36% 34% 30% C- D+ F B- D- B- C- F+ D
1.29 70% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 21% 1.0 .21 9% .20 82% .17 1.12 50% 60% 31% +3 -2 1.05 36% 0.9 .32 19% .27 85% .23
Jan
26		 Le Moyne C- D+ D F F 40% 13% 46% B- F B+ A- A A+ A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 44% 10% 46% F+ F A+ C- A D+ F F F
1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42 1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40
Jan
29		 Stonehill D- F C+ F F 36% 34% 30% F F B+ A- A- C+ F A+ F C- A- F A+ C 40% 29% 31% A- C+ D- C D+ F+ D+ F D-
0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04 0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20
Jan
31		 Wagner D D+ A+ A+ A- 52% 9% 39% B+ A- F F F D F F F D+ A A D- B 46% 13% 40% F C+ B- B- B- F F F F
1.05 54% 60% 48% +8 +2 1.22 21% 0.4 .09 16% .19 36% .07 1.09 42% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 30% 1.0 .30 13% .39 83% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Stonehill B- B- C+ C- C+ 37% 27% 37% D C B+ A A C- C+ A+ A- C- C- B- A+ B- 26% 35% 40% A+ B+ A- D B- D+ F A F
1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25 0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31
Feb
7		 Mercyhurst F+ A+ F F D+ 38% 15% 46% C D+ B+ F D F F+ A+ C B- D- D+ A+ C 24% 39% 37% A- C A- B- B+ F A- C+ A-
1.01 80% 17% 22% -3 +1 0.97 39% 0.7 .29 24% .32 85% .27 0.96 64% 44% 24% -2 -3 0.91 20% 1.0 .20 11% .15 71% .10
Feb
12		 St. Francis (PA) F A+ A+ F D- 28% 28% 44% F F D A+ B+ F A+ F A- B B+ A A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A+ F A+ C+ F+ F C- F
1.01 80% 60% 19% +2 -2 1.03 28% 1.8 .48 23% .56 57% .32 0.90 50% 25% 22% -14 0 0.76 36% 0.7 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
14		 Central Connecticut St. F F F F F 38% 14% 48% C- F A+ B A+ D- A+ B- A+ D- D+ D- A C 18% 49% 33% A+ B F A+ C F F F F
1.01 44% 17% 10% -26 +1 0.52 44% 1.1 .49 16% .48 83% .40 1.12 63% 45% 27% +1 -5 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 12% .34 94% .32
Feb
19		 Chicago St. C- F A- B+ F 41% 27% 32% F+ F B D+ B- B D+ F F+ F+ B- F+ F F 39% 32% 29% D F A- B B+ C- F D+ F
1.14 41% 45% 38% -3 -1 0.95 41% 1.1 .44 17% .32 64% .21 1.12 50% 46% 42% +3 -1 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 15% .38 76% .29
Feb
21		 New Haven B A+ D- B- B+ 39% 18% 43% C B+ B+ D- C+ C C+ D C F F B- F F 30% 20% 50% C+ F A F F F F A+ C
1.23 75% 33% 36% +7 0 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 16% .28 73% .21 1.34 85% 33% 59% +26 -1 1.52 14% 2.3 .32 13% .36 50% .18
Feb
26		 Le Moyne F F F A F 40% 22% 38% C- F C D+ C- D- A C- A F F D B F 45% 14% 41% D F B A B+ F B- D C+
0.92 39% 0% 41% -12 0 0.78 32% 1.0 .32 17% .41 73% .30 1.19 86% 43% 30% +11 +1 1.27 20% 0.8 .16 16% .30 75% .22
Feb
28		 LIU Brooklyn D- A F F D- 41% 20% 39% C- D- B+ B+ A- F F C+ F F+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C F A+ F B F C C- C
0.95 68% 22% 22% -6 0 0.91 40% 1.2 .47 30% .23 70% .16 1.18 76% 20% 50% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.4 .27 16% .28 67% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 2.8 97.2
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 97.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 20.1%
Lose Out 67.8%