Stonehill
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#312
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#266
Pace64.9#271
Improvement-1.0#230

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#293
First Shot-1.7#221
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#328
Layup/Dunks-4.5#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#49
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement+0.6#146

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#296
First Shot-3.8#301
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks-1.8#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#177
Freethrows-2.1#316
Improvement-1.6#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 16.2% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 65.7% 78.2% 51.1%
.500 or above in Conference 78.0% 87.9% 66.4%
Conference Champion 11.3% 16.2% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.8% 5.9%
First Four12.6% 13.6% 11.3%
First Round6.7% 7.8% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Away) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 916 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 77   @ Notre Dame L 60-89 5%     0 - 1 -19.0 -8.4 -11.4
  Nov 09, 2024 81   @ Providence L 49-76 5%     0 - 2 -17.1 -20.8 +4.5
  Nov 14, 2024 216   @ Robert Morris L 51-63 21%     0 - 3 -12.4 -19.4 +6.7
  Nov 15, 2024 343   New Orleans W 80-54 62%     1 - 3 +14.3 -0.5 +14.4
  Nov 17, 2024 341   Lindenwood L 74-75 61%     1 - 4 -12.5 +0.2 -12.8
  Nov 21, 2024 157   Bryant W 67-66 27%     2 - 4 -1.3 -5.1 +3.8
  Nov 25, 2024 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 67-65 77%     3 - 4 -14.2 -2.9 -11.1
  Nov 27, 2024 20   @ Marquette L 59-94 1%     3 - 5 -16.7 -2.9 -14.7
  Dec 01, 2024 184   Quinnipiac W 88-74 32%     4 - 5 +10.2 +20.2 -9.2
  Dec 15, 2024 195   @ Boston College L 69-73 18%     4 - 6 -2.8 +5.5 -8.8
  Dec 18, 2024 188   @ Umass Lowell L 67-78 17%     4 - 7 -9.5 -4.2 -5.7
  Dec 22, 2024 351   New Hampshire W 90-83 75%     5 - 7 -8.6 +14.0 -22.5
  Dec 29, 2024 276   @ Lafayette W 70-65 32%     6 - 7 +1.3 -1.4 +2.7
  Jan 03, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst L 69-76 62%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -18.9 -8.6 -10.3
  Jan 05, 2025 345   @ St. Francis (PA) W 64-60 52%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -5.2 -5.8 +1.1
  Jan 10, 2025 314   LIU Brooklyn L 60-70 61%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -21.4 -8.4 -14.2
  Jan 12, 2025 357   @ Chicago St. W 68-52 60%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +4.6 +0.9 +5.6
  Jan 20, 2025 350   @ Le Moyne W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 24, 2025 357   Chicago St. W 72-64 79%    
  Jan 26, 2025 328   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 30, 2025 335   Wagner W 63-58 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 230   Central Connecticut St. L 63-65 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 314   @ LIU Brooklyn L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 13, 2025 345   St. Francis (PA) W 73-67 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 71-62 80%    
  Feb 20, 2025 335   @ Wagner L 60-61 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 230   @ Central Connecticut St. L 61-68 24%    
  Feb 27, 2025 328   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-75 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 350   Le Moyne W 75-68 75%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.3 2.0 0.3 11.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 7.8 7.1 2.0 0.1 19.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 11.3 8.8 2.2 0.1 25.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 9.0 6.4 0.9 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.4 5.7 4.8 0.7 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 4.2 0.6 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.8 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.4 12.0 17.3 20.4 18.5 13.0 6.4 2.0 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
13-3 95.6% 2.0    1.6 0.3 0.0
12-4 66.9% 4.3    2.2 1.8 0.3 0.0
11-5 27.8% 3.6    0.8 1.8 0.9 0.1
10-6 5.6% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 4.9 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.3% 39.4% 39.4% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.2
13-3 2.0% 24.0% 24.0% 15.7 0.2 0.3 1.6
12-4 6.4% 26.9% 26.9% 16.0 0.1 1.7 4.7
11-5 13.0% 21.7% 21.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8 10.2
10-6 18.5% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 0.0 3.1 15.4
9-7 20.4% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7 17.7
8-8 17.3% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.9 15.4
7-9 12.0% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.0 10.9
6-10 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.4 6.0
5-11 2.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 2.6
4-12 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 0.4 13.9 85.7 0.0%