IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.1	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.0	#325

Pace	74.1	#67
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.0	#349

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#314

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.1%	13.4%	7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	6.0%	24.8%	5.7%
.500 or above in Conference	53.7%	71.2%	53.3%
Conference Champion	6.8%	15.8%	6.6%
Last Place in Conference	11.4%	4.2%	11.6%

First Four	6.7%	9.8%	6.6%
First Round	3.2%	7.2%	3.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 5	1 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 11	10 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	108	@ Loyola Chicago	L	72-79	5%	0 - 1			+0.3	-0.1	+0.8
Nov 09, 2024	185	Youngstown St.	L	60-80	26%	0 - 2			-24.3	-16.3	-7.3
Nov 12, 2024	23	@ Texas	L	58-105	1%	0 - 3			-31.1	-12.9	-13.7
Nov 16, 2024	69	@ San Francisco	L	62-84	2%
Nov 19, 2024	225	Eastern Kentucky	L	74-79	33%
Nov 22, 2024	207	@ Indiana St.	L	70-82	14%
Nov 25, 2024	254	Radford	L	69-76	27%
Nov 30, 2024	38	@ Wisconsin	L	59-84	1%
Dec 02, 2024	169	@ St. Thomas	L	67-81	11%
Dec 08, 2024	102	@ Saint Louis	L	68-87	5%
Dec 15, 2024	249	@ Mercer	L	68-78	19%
Dec 19, 2024	85	@ Grand Canyon	L	63-84	3%
Dec 21, 2024	202	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	71-83	15%
Dec 29, 2024	20	@ Illinois	L	63-90	1%
Jan 03, 2025	275	@ Wagner	L	58-66	24%
Jan 05, 2025	339	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	73-76	39%
Jan 12, 2025	359	Stonehill	W	74-68	71%
Jan 18, 2025	337	Le Moyne	W	75-72	60%
Jan 20, 2025	348	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-77	65%
Jan 24, 2025	359	@ Stonehill	W	72-71	51%
Jan 26, 2025	235	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	65-76	18%
Feb 01, 2025	339	LIU Brooklyn	W	76-73	59%
Feb 06, 2025	356	Mercyhurst	W	71-65	70%
Feb 08, 2025	350	St. Francis (PA)	W	76-71	65%
Feb 13, 2025	348	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	78-80	44%
Feb 15, 2025	337	@ Le Moyne	L	72-75	39%
Feb 20, 2025	235	Central Connecticut St.	L	68-73	34%
Feb 22, 2025	275	Wagner	L	61-63	43%
Feb 27, 2025	356	@ Mercyhurst	W	69-68	50%
Mar 01, 2025	350	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	73-74	45%
Projected Record						9 - 21	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.0	2.1	1.9	1.1	0.3	0.1		6.8	1st
2nd									0.0	0.9	3.0	4.5	2.5	0.8	0.1				11.8	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.4	5.0	5.4	2.1	0.4	0.0					14.3	3rd
4th							0.0	1.5	5.8	5.6	1.5	0.1							14.5	4th
5th						0.0	1.3	5.8	5.4	1.4	0.0								14.0	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	5.0	4.9	1.0	0.0									12.2	6th
7th				0.1	1.2	4.2	4.3	0.9	0.0										10.8	7th
8th		0.0	0.3	1.4	3.5	3.2	0.7	0.0											9.1	8th
9th	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.3	1.7	0.4	0.0												6.7	9th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.8	3.9	6.5	8.9	11.3	13.2	13.6	12.9	10.1	7.7	4.9	2.7	1.2	0.3	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
14-2	92.6%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0
13-3	69.9%	1.9		1.3	0.6	0.1
12-4	41.5%	2.1		0.9	0.9	0.3
11-5	13.3%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0
10-6	2.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	6.8%	6.8		3.7	2.3	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		34.8%	34.8%		15.5																0.0	0.0	0.1
15-1	0.3%		40.6%	40.6%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2
14-2	1.2%		33.1%	33.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8
13-3	2.7%		25.3%	25.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.7	2.1
12-4	4.9%		18.4%	18.4%		16.0																0.0	0.9	4.0
11-5	7.7%		15.4%	15.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.2	6.5
10-6	10.1%		10.9%	10.9%		16.0																	1.1	9.0
9-7	12.9%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																	1.0	11.9
8-8	13.6%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																	0.7	12.9
7-9	13.2%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.5	12.7
6-10	11.3%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.3	11.1
5-11	8.9%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	8.8
4-12	6.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
3-13	3.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
2-14	1.8%																							1.8
1-15	0.6%																							0.6
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.1	7.0	92.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%