Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#204
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#121
Pace61.1#347
Improvement-1.5#246

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#177
First Shot-0.8#200
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#130
Layup/Dunks-2.6#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#246
Freethrows+3.6#19
Improvement-3.0#326

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#241
First Shot-2.9#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#118
Layups/Dunks+3.6#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#309
Freethrows-2.2#323
Improvement+1.4#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 12.7% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 93.4% 97.6% 87.2%
.500 or above in Conference 81.1% 89.9% 68.2%
Conference Champion 11.3% 16.0% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round10.8% 12.5% 8.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 414 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 40   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 7%     0 - 1 -25.5 -11.9 -13.2
  Nov 08, 2024 189   William & Mary W 89-77 57%     1 - 1 +8.0 +10.6 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2024 283   Old Dominion W 87-75 77%     2 - 1 +2.2 +10.0 -7.9
  Nov 16, 2024 261   @ Evansville W 92-81 53%     3 - 1 +8.1 +31.5 -22.2
  Nov 21, 2024 30   @ Clemson L 51-79 6%     3 - 2 -12.1 -9.8 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2024 357   Chicago St. W 63-48 87%     4 - 2 +0.9 -5.7 +8.4
  Nov 26, 2024 145   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-56 37%     5 - 2 +14.3 -0.9 +16.2
  Dec 01, 2024 345   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 75%     6 - 2 -0.2 +9.8 -9.1
  Dec 05, 2024 306   @ NC Central W 70-67 62%     7 - 2 -2.2 -7.4 +5.1
  Dec 08, 2024 265   Bucknell W 74-70 OT 74%     8 - 2 -4.7 -2.9 -1.9
  Dec 14, 2024 69   @ Utah L 63-81 12%     8 - 3 -7.2 -2.9 -4.5
  Dec 17, 2024 76   @ Colorado St. L 68-78 13%     8 - 4 +0.0 +9.5 -10.7
  Dec 22, 2024 82   @ South Carolina L 48-74 14%     8 - 5 -16.4 -14.1 -4.8
  Jan 02, 2025 105   @ High Point L 58-76 21%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -11.6 -5.8 -9.1
  Jan 04, 2025 197   Winthrop W 87-67 59%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +15.6 +14.9 +1.8
  Jan 11, 2025 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 80-67 74%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +4.3 +10.2 -4.7
  Jan 15, 2025 239   Gardner-Webb W 79-75 69%     11 - 6 3 - 1 -3.1 +5.5 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 279   @ Charleston Southern L 54-58 57%     11 - 7 3 - 2 -7.9 -14.3 +5.9
  Jan 22, 2025 199   Longwood W 71-69 60%    
  Jan 25, 2025 273   @ Presbyterian W 68-66 55%    
  Jan 29, 2025 187   @ UNC Asheville L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 338   South Carolina Upstate W 79-67 87%    
  Feb 05, 2025 105   High Point L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   @ Longwood L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 197   @ Winthrop L 74-77 36%    
  Feb 19, 2025 187   UNC Asheville W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 273   Presbyterian W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 26, 2025 239   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 279   Charleston Southern W 72-65 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.9 3.8 4.4 2.0 0.3 11.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 7.1 7.8 1.6 0.1 17.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 7.9 9.8 1.7 0.0 20.3 3rd
4th 0.6 6.5 10.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 4th
5th 0.3 4.2 8.5 2.6 0.0 15.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.3 2.0 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.4 0.1 4.7 7th
8th 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.8 5.3 11.5 18.0 21.7 19.8 13.2 6.0 2.1 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-3 97.1% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
12-4 73.1% 4.4    2.1 2.0 0.3
11-5 28.4% 3.8    0.6 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
10-6 4.4% 0.9    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 4.6 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.3% 24.2% 24.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 2.1% 27.8% 27.8% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.5
12-4 6.0% 19.0% 19.0% 14.1 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.8
11-5 13.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.6 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.1 11.0
10-6 19.8% 13.9% 13.9% 14.9 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.3 17.1
9-7 21.7% 9.6% 9.6% 15.0 0.4 1.4 0.3 19.6
8-8 18.0% 6.7% 6.7% 15.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 16.8
7-9 11.5% 6.4% 6.4% 15.5 0.3 0.4 10.8
6-10 5.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 5.1
5-11 1.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 1.7
4-12 0.4% 0.4
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.8 1.7 89.0 0.0%