Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#202
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#88
Pace62.0#345
Improvement-0.4#211

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#174
First Shot-0.5#182
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#158
Layup/Dunks-3.0#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#211
Freethrows+3.9#16
Improvement-3.1#355

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#226
First Shot-3.9#306
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#41
Layups/Dunks+4.3#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#326
Freethrows-2.5#328
Improvement+2.7#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.3% 16.7% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 87.3% 95.3% 85.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.4% 80.3% 71.7%
Conference Champion 16.0% 21.4% 14.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 2.1% 3.9%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round13.2% 16.6% 12.3%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 34 - 44 - 9
Quad 414 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 32   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 6%     0 - 1 -24.6 -10.1 -14.0
  Nov 08, 2024 225   William & Mary W 89-77 67%     1 - 1 +5.7 +10.2 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 318   Old Dominion W 87-75 83%     2 - 1 +0.2 +8.4 -8.1
  Nov 16, 2024 268   @ Evansville W 92-81 54%     3 - 1 +8.3 +28.2 -18.8
  Nov 21, 2024 30   @ Clemson L 51-79 6%     3 - 2 -12.3 -8.7 -6.1
  Nov 25, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 63-48 87%     4 - 2 +0.8 -7.2 +9.8
  Nov 26, 2024 152   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-56 42%     5 - 2 +13.3 -1.8 +16.1
  Dec 01, 2024 335   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 71%     6 - 2 +1.5 +10.9 -8.5
  Dec 05, 2024 258   @ NC Central W 70-67 53%     7 - 2 +0.5 -5.9 +6.4
  Dec 08, 2024 260   Bucknell W 74-70 OT 74%     8 - 2 -4.5 -3.5 -1.2
  Dec 14, 2024 66   @ Utah L 63-81 11%     8 - 3 -6.6 -2.8 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2024 108   @ Colorado St. L 63-72 20%    
  Dec 22, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 60-73 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 134   @ High Point L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 181   Winthrop W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 15, 2025 240   Gardner-Webb W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 299   @ Charleston Southern W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 22, 2025 220   Longwood W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 182   @ UNC Asheville L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 334   South Carolina Upstate W 79-67 85%    
  Feb 05, 2025 134   High Point L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 220   @ Longwood L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 12, 2025 181   @ Winthrop L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 19, 2025 182   UNC Asheville W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 250   Presbyterian W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 240   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 299   Charleston Southern W 74-66 78%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.0 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 16.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 5.4 6.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.8 7.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.3 7.0 1.9 0.1 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.3 1.7 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.4 2.8 5.1 1.6 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.4 1.3 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 0.8 0.1 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.4 7.6 11.1 14.1 15.7 15.1 12.4 8.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
14-2 97.9% 2.1    1.9 0.2
13-3 86.7% 4.2    3.2 1.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 60.2% 5.0    2.6 2.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 26.1% 3.2    0.8 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.4% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 16.0% 16.0 9.3 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 38.9% 38.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.7% 39.0% 39.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-2 2.1% 33.3% 33.3% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
13-3 4.8% 31.0% 31.0% 13.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 3.3
12-4 8.3% 24.6% 24.6% 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.3
11-5 12.4% 19.3% 19.3% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.0 10.0
10-6 15.1% 15.0% 15.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 12.9
9-7 15.7% 10.3% 10.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.1 14.1
8-8 14.1% 8.5% 8.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.1 12.9
7-9 11.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 10.4
6-10 7.6% 4.5% 4.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 7.2
5-11 4.4% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.3
4-12 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-13 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 4.4 0.8 86.7 0.0%