Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
96 High Point 51.0%   13   22 - 5 12 - 2 24 - 5 14 - 2 +5.0      +7.5 28 -2.5 239 66.9 213 +5.1 93 +6.3 1
177 Radford 12.0%   15 - 11 7 - 6 17 - 12 9 - 7 -0.9      +1.4 129 -2.3 237 60.6 349 +0.7 153 -2.1 4
184 UNC Asheville 12.6%   15 - 8 10 - 3 17 - 9 12 - 4 -1.3      +1.8 116 -3.1 260 69.2 144 +1.9 141 +4.1 2
196 Winthrop 10.0%   16 - 10 9 - 5 17 - 11 10 - 6 -2.1      +0.4 164 -2.5 240 79.1 10 -0.1 167 -0.2 3
200 Longwood 7.6%   14 - 11 6 - 7 16 - 12 8 - 8 -2.2      0.0 175 -2.1 233 70.9 106 -1.3 184 -4.5 6
257 Gardner-Webb 2.7%   10 - 16 5 - 8 11 - 18 6 - 10 -5.3      -1.5 217 -3.8 289 72.5 68 -5.4 260 -6.8 7
270 Presbyterian 2.1%   8 - 17 4 - 9 9 - 19 5 - 11 -5.7      -2.0 229 -3.7 285 62.8 323 -7.1 286 -8.8 8
285 Charleston Southern 2.0%   8 - 19 6 - 8 9 - 20 7 - 9 -6.9      -4.4 296 -2.6 246 68.7 168 -6.4 275 -4.4 5
345 South Carolina Upstate 0.1%   2 - 23 1 - 12 2 - 26 1 - 15 -12.4      -5.2 311 -7.2 351 79.2 9 -15.7 353 -17.1 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.0 99.8 0.2
Radford 3.7 1.0 37.3 56.7 3.8 1.2 0.1
UNC Asheville 2.0 6.1 91.6 2.3
Winthrop 2.9 15.5 75.4 9.1
Longwood 4.9 4.4 18.1 65.2 10.1 2.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb 6.6 1.6 12.1 24.1 49.7 12.5
Presbyterian 7.5 0.0 1.6 6.6 32.3 59.5
Charleston Southern 5.6 8.1 33.0 51.9 7.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 9.0 0.1 99.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 0.7 25.2 74.0
Radford 9 - 7 2.3 18.1 44.8 34.7
UNC Asheville 12 - 4 5.5 28.5 44.6 21.5
Winthrop 10 - 6 25.8 50.2 24.0
Longwood 8 - 8 6.8 32.7 43.8 16.7
Gardner-Webb 6 - 10 26.7 42.9 25.4 5.0
Presbyterian 5 - 11 24.0 48.3 24.0 3.7
Charleston Southern 7 - 9 17.0 66.9 16.1
South Carolina Upstate 1 - 15 58.2 35.2 6.3 0.3




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 99.8% 93.9 5.9
Radford
UNC Asheville 6.1% 0.2 5.9
Winthrop
Longwood
Gardner-Webb
Presbyterian
Charleston Southern
South Carolina Upstate


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 51.0% 51.0% 0.0% 13   0.3 20.5 24.7 5.4 0.1 49.0 0.0%
Radford 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.8 4.2 6.0 1.1 88.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.6 1.5 87.4 0.0%
Winthrop 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.2 2.4 5.9 1.5 90.0 0.0%
Longwood 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 4.0 2.3 92.4 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.1 2.6 97.3 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0 98.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 51.0% 0.0% 51.0% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 12.0% 0.1% 12.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 12.6% 0.2% 12.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 10.0% 0.2% 10.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 7.6% 0.5% 7.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.7% 1.0 3.3 96.7
2nd Round 7.0% 0.1 93.0 7.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0