Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#279
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#293
Pace69.4#158
Improvement+4.2#26

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#289
First Shot-4.8#307
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#147
Layup/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#209
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement+1.2#107

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#250
First Shot-5.2#329
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#14
Layups/Dunks-5.3#344
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#28
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement+3.0#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.1% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 26.4% 43.4% 16.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 4.7% 17.0%
First Four2.1% 2.9% 1.6%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 92 - 15
Quad 47 - 79 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 30   @ Clemson L 64-91 3%     0 - 1 -11.1 -1.4 -9.6
  Nov 07, 2024 245   @ North Florida L 66-90 32%     0 - 2 -25.9 -18.0 -6.1
  Nov 15, 2024 247   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 43%     0 - 3 -14.8 -8.0 -5.7
  Nov 16, 2024 327   VMI L 69-80 64%     0 - 4 -21.3 -11.1 -9.9
  Nov 19, 2024 63   @ LSU L 68-77 6%     0 - 5 +2.4 +4.2 -2.2
  Nov 23, 2024 151   Furman L 46-67 32%     0 - 6 -22.8 -24.7 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2024 104   @ Georgia Tech L 67-91 11%     0 - 7 -17.5 -5.7 -10.3
  Nov 30, 2024 155   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 17%     1 - 7 +7.3 +9.1 -1.7
  Dec 03, 2024 288   Tennessee Martin W 83-68 63%     2 - 7 +5.0 +9.5 -3.7
  Dec 06, 2024 121   @ Davidson L 72-73 13%     2 - 8 +4.4 +1.8 +2.6
  Dec 09, 2024 243   @ South Carolina St. L 63-82 31%     2 - 9 -20.7 -9.8 -10.9
  Dec 19, 2024 163   @ North Alabama L 69-86 18%     2 - 10 -14.1 -1.0 -13.6
  Dec 22, 2024 34   @ Georgia L 65-81 3%     2 - 11 -0.5 +5.2 -6.3
  Jan 02, 2025 239   Gardner-Webb W 72-63 52%     3 - 11 1 - 0 +1.9 -7.9 +9.4
  Jan 04, 2025 199   @ Longwood L 78-83 23%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -3.9 +7.2 -11.2
  Jan 08, 2025 105   High Point L 79-93 23%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -13.1 +2.3 -15.5
  Jan 15, 2025 197   @ Winthrop L 97-102 3OT 23%     3 - 14 1 - 3 -3.9 -4.1 +1.6
  Jan 18, 2025 204   Radford W 58-54 43%     4 - 14 2 - 3 -0.9 -12.3 +11.8
  Jan 22, 2025 273   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 187   UNC Asheville L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 01, 2025 199   Longwood L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 197   Winthrop L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 239   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-77 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 273   Presbyterian W 71-69 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 187   @ UNC Asheville L 73-81 22%    
  Feb 19, 2025 105   @ High Point L 70-83 11%    
  Feb 22, 2025 338   South Carolina Upstate W 81-73 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 204   @ Radford L 65-72 24%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.4 0.1 4.9 3rd
4th 0.5 4.0 3.4 0.2 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.5 5.2 7.2 0.9 13.7 5th
6th 0.6 6.5 10.9 2.7 0.0 20.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 7.9 12.5 4.2 0.2 25.8 7th
8th 1.0 6.2 8.2 2.5 0.1 17.9 8th
9th 0.5 2.3 2.3 0.6 0.0 5.8 9th
Total 0.5 3.3 9.5 17.3 22.1 20.9 14.5 7.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 84.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 27.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-5 1.0% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.9
10-6 3.1% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.3 2.8
9-7 7.7% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.4 7.3
8-8 14.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 14.1
7-9 20.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 20.4
6-10 22.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 21.8
5-11 17.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.1
4-12 9.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.5
3-13 3.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-14 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.2 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%