Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#285
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#275
Pace68.7#168
Improvement+3.0#63

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#296
First Shot-4.9#311
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#147
Layup/Dunks-0.6#207
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#210
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement+1.2#117

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#246
First Shot-5.3#333
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#12
Layups/Dunks-5.3#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#30
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+1.8#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.0% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.1% 20.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% 2.0% 1.7%
First Round1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 79.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 48 - 79 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   @ Clemson L 64-91 2%     0 - 1 -8.9 -0.3 -8.5
  Nov 07, 2024 266   @ North Florida L 66-90 35%     0 - 2 -27.0 -17.2 -8.1
  Nov 15, 2024 262   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 44%     0 - 3 -15.5 -7.8 -6.5
  Nov 16, 2024 309   VMI L 69-80 56%     0 - 4 -19.5 -8.9 -10.3
  Nov 19, 2024 72   @ LSU L 68-77 6%     0 - 5 +1.4 +3.9 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2024 159   Furman L 46-67 33%     0 - 6 -23.4 -25.7 +0.9
  Nov 27, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech L 67-91 10%     0 - 7 -16.6 -4.9 -10.2
  Nov 30, 2024 152   @ Miami (FL) W 83-79 17%     1 - 7 +7.1 +9.6 -2.3
  Dec 03, 2024 306   Tennessee Martin W 83-68 65%     2 - 7 +4.1 +9.3 -4.5
  Dec 06, 2024 129   @ Davidson L 72-73 15%     2 - 8 +3.3 +1.6 +1.7
  Dec 09, 2024 210   @ South Carolina St. L 63-82 25%     2 - 9 -19.0 -7.3 -11.7
  Dec 19, 2024 134   @ North Alabama L 69-86 16%     2 - 10 -13.1 -1.0 -12.7
  Dec 22, 2024 44   @ Georgia L 65-81 4%     2 - 11 -1.8 +3.3 -5.8
  Jan 02, 2025 257   Gardner-Webb W 72-63 53%     3 - 11 1 - 0 +1.2 -9.1 +9.9
  Jan 04, 2025 200   @ Longwood L 78-83 24%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -4.6 +5.8 -10.5
  Jan 08, 2025 96   High Point L 79-93 19%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -11.5 +3.2 -14.9
  Jan 15, 2025 196   @ Winthrop L 97-102 3OT 24%     3 - 14 1 - 3 -4.5 -4.3 +1.1
  Jan 18, 2025 177   Radford W 58-54 37%     4 - 14 2 - 3 +0.5 -12.3 +13.3
  Jan 22, 2025 270   @ Presbyterian L 61-71 36%     4 - 15 2 - 4 -13.2 -8.9 -5.2
  Jan 25, 2025 184   UNC Asheville L 61-69 38%     4 - 16 2 - 5 -11.8 -17.5 +5.9
  Jan 29, 2025 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-75 61%     5 - 16 3 - 5 -2.8 +1.0 -4.0
  Feb 01, 2025 200   Longwood W 89-85 41%     6 - 16 4 - 5 -0.7 +12.1 -12.9
  Feb 05, 2025 196   Winthrop L 65-83 41%     6 - 17 4 - 6 -22.6 -12.5 -9.8
  Feb 08, 2025 257   @ Gardner-Webb W 79-72 34%     7 - 17 5 - 6 +4.3 +13.4 -8.2
  Feb 12, 2025 270   Presbyterian W 71-70 55%     8 - 17 6 - 6 -7.3 -3.0 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2025 184   @ UNC Asheville L 72-75 22%     8 - 18 6 - 7 -1.7 +0.2 -2.1
  Feb 19, 2025 96   @ High Point L 60-83 9%     8 - 19 6 - 8 -15.4 -11.9 -4.3
  Feb 22, 2025 345   South Carolina Upstate W 82-74 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 177   @ Radford L 65-74 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.2 8.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.8 24.8 7.3 33.0 5th
6th 11.1 40.0 0.9 51.9 6th
7th 5.1 1.9 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 17.0 66.9 16.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 16.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.7
7-9 66.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 1.3 65.6
6-10 17.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 16.7
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 12.2%