Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#306
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#321
Pace67.7#193
Improvement+0.0#189

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#295
First Shot-7.1#345
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#31
Layup/Dunks+6.5#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-14.1#364
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#253
Freethrows+2.8#40
Improvement+3.2#47

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#296
First Shot-1.0#211
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#349
Layups/Dunks+0.5#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#342
Freethrows+1.3#98
Improvement-3.2#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.4% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 52.0% 69.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% 2.4% 1.4%
First Round0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 74.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 42 - 6
Quad 49 - 1211 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 127   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 12%     1 - 0 +6.3 -14.1 +20.2
  Nov 11, 2024 134   @ North Alabama L 69-87 13%     1 - 1 -14.1 -4.2 -9.7
  Nov 16, 2024 200   @ Longwood L 62-64 20%     1 - 2 -1.6 -9.9 +8.2
  Nov 21, 2024 199   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-81 20%     1 - 3 -3.6 +5.3 -8.9
  Nov 22, 2024 357   Le Moyne L 53-65 70%     1 - 4 -25.8 -30.5 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2024 5   @ Tennessee L 35-78 1%     1 - 5 -20.5 -19.0 -7.5
  Dec 03, 2024 285   @ Charleston Southern L 68-83 35%     1 - 6 -19.4 -2.5 -17.7
  Dec 11, 2024 311   @ Alabama St. L 93-103 OT 42%     1 - 7 -16.2 +5.9 -21.0
  Dec 19, 2024 329   @ Morehead St. L 69-70 OT 48%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -8.8 -8.4 -0.4
  Dec 21, 2024 343   @ Southern Indiana W 77-46 55%     2 - 8 1 - 1 +21.3 +6.8 +17.4
  Jan 02, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock L 56-57 43%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -7.5 -9.9 +2.3
  Jan 04, 2025 217   Southeast Missouri St. W 66-63 40%     3 - 9 2 - 2 -2.7 +0.8 -3.1
  Jan 09, 2025 351   @ Western Illinois W 85-83 OT 58%     4 - 9 3 - 2 -8.4 +1.7 -10.2
  Jan 11, 2025 335   @ Lindenwood L 81-82 50%     4 - 10 3 - 3 -9.4 +7.6 -17.1
  Jan 16, 2025 338   Eastern Illinois W 68-63 71%     5 - 10 4 - 3 -9.0 -7.0 -2.0
  Jan 18, 2025 234   SIU Edwardsville W 85-82 43%     6 - 10 5 - 3 -3.5 +17.4 -20.7
  Jan 21, 2025 269   @ Tennessee St. L 80-81 OT 31%     6 - 11 5 - 4 -4.1 -5.5 +1.5
  Jan 25, 2025 308   Tennessee Tech L 85-89 OT 60%     6 - 12 5 - 5 -15.0 +2.3 -17.1
  Jan 30, 2025 217   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 79-90 23%     6 - 13 5 - 6 -11.6 +7.5 -19.1
  Feb 01, 2025 233   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 57-75 25%     6 - 14 5 - 7 -19.4 -10.2 -9.9
  Feb 06, 2025 335   Lindenwood L 51-52 69%     6 - 15 5 - 8 -14.5 -21.9 +7.2
  Feb 08, 2025 351   Western Illinois W 81-70 75%     7 - 15 6 - 8 -4.5 -1.1 -3.6
  Feb 13, 2025 234   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-71 25%     8 - 15 7 - 8 +3.6 +6.5 -2.8
  Feb 15, 2025 338   @ Eastern Illinois W 72-68 52%     9 - 15 8 - 8 -4.9 +0.4 -5.2
  Feb 18, 2025 269   Tennessee St. L 75-86 49%     9 - 16 8 - 9 -19.2 -0.4 -19.0
  Feb 20, 2025 308   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-71 OT 40%     9 - 17 8 - 10 -10.9 -11.3 +0.6
  Feb 27, 2025 343   Southern Indiana W 75-69 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 329   Morehead St. W 70-66 69%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 7.8 7.8 5th
6th 1.9 33.4 35.3 6th
7th 15.8 10.1 25.9 7th
8th 8.6 21.8 0.7 31.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 8.6 39.4 52.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 52.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 1.5 50.5
9-11 39.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.7 38.8
8-12 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.5
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.1%
Lose Out 5.0%