SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#246
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#241
Pace66.2#232
Improvement+0.7#169

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#280
First Shot-5.1#310
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#122
Layup/Dunks-2.3#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#135
Freethrows-4.3#360
Improvement+2.0#91

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#195
First Shot-1.0#212
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks+1.7#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#297
Freethrows-0.5#224
Improvement-1.3#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.8% 47.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four17.8% 30.2% 0.0%
First Round18.8% 31.9% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 21 - 4
Quad 417 - 718 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 44   @ Indiana L 61-80 5%     0 - 1 -4.5 -6.5 +2.7
  Nov 08, 2024 19   @ Illinois L 58-90 2%     0 - 2 -12.9 -5.6 -8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 192   @ Indiana St. W 77-72 29%     1 - 2 +6.0 +2.1 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2024 304   @ Western Michigan W 79-60 52%     2 - 2 +13.5 +6.7 +7.6
  Nov 16, 2024 355   Canisius W 76-58 80%     3 - 2 +4.1 -3.2 +8.1
  Nov 19, 2024 334   @ Green Bay L 57-82 63%     3 - 3 -33.2 -21.8 -11.0
  Nov 29, 2024 278   North Florida L 73-78 66%     3 - 4 -14.1 -10.1 -3.9
  Dec 08, 2024 267   Ball St. W 82-69 64%     4 - 4 +4.5 +9.0 -3.6
  Dec 19, 2024 240   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 56-60 38%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -5.8 -11.5 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2024 212   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 64-80 32%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -16.1 -4.9 -11.7
  Jan 02, 2025 342   Western Illinois W 77-66 82%     5 - 6 1 - 2 -3.8 +12.1 -13.6
  Jan 04, 2025 333   Lindenwood W 58-47 80%     6 - 6 2 - 2 -2.6 -17.1 +14.9
  Jan 07, 2025 323   @ Eastern Illinois W 60-57 58%     7 - 6 3 - 2 -3.9 -4.6 +1.1
  Jan 11, 2025 315   Tennessee Tech W 67-59 75%     8 - 6 4 - 2 -3.8 -9.7 +6.1
  Jan 16, 2025 266   @ Tennessee St. W 87-80 2OT 43%     9 - 6 5 - 2 +4.0 +0.6 +2.3
  Jan 18, 2025 308   @ Tennessee Martin L 82-85 54%     9 - 7 5 - 3 -8.8 +13.0 -22.0
  Jan 23, 2025 337   Southern Indiana W 82-76 81%     10 - 7 6 - 3 -8.3 +3.0 -11.2
  Jan 25, 2025 327   Morehead St. W 65-54 78%     11 - 7 7 - 3 -1.8 -7.0 +6.2
  Jan 30, 2025 333   @ Lindenwood L 63-65 63%     11 - 8 7 - 4 -10.2 -11.4 +1.2
  Feb 01, 2025 342   @ Western Illinois W 69-65 67%     12 - 8 8 - 4 -5.3 -0.7 -4.1
  Feb 04, 2025 323   Eastern Illinois W 66-41 76%     13 - 8 9 - 4 +12.6 -1.7 +17.0
  Feb 06, 2025 315   @ Tennessee Tech W 75-58 56%     14 - 8 10 - 4 +10.6 +1.3 +9.8
  Feb 13, 2025 308   Tennessee Martin L 71-76 73%     14 - 9 10 - 5 -16.3 -5.1 -11.3
  Feb 15, 2025 266   Tennessee St. W 84-72 64%     15 - 9 11 - 5 +3.5 +3.6 -0.7
  Feb 20, 2025 327   @ Morehead St. W 80-62 60%     16 - 9 12 - 5 +10.6 +14.1 -1.4
  Feb 22, 2025 337   @ Southern Indiana L 68-82 65%     16 - 10 12 - 6 -22.8 -9.8 -12.8
  Feb 27, 2025 212   Southeast Missouri St. L 68-83 52%     16 - 11 12 - 7 -20.5 -4.6 -16.2
  Mar 01, 2025 240   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-65 59%     17 - 11 13 - 7 +0.8 +1.1 -0.2
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 27.8% 27.8% 15.9 1.4 26.4 72.2
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 27.8% 27.8% 0.0% 15.9 1.4 26.4 72.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 27.8% 100.0% 15.9 5.0 95.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 31.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 41.0%