SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#269
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#165
Pace66.8#261
Improvement-1.7#334

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#297
First Shot-8.7#359
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#23
Layup/Dunks-3.9#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows-6.0#358
Improvement-1.4#345

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot-2.8#269
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#87
Layups/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
Freethrows-2.8#317
Improvement-0.2#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.7% 18.6% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 72.8% 83.5% 64.3%
.500 or above in Conference 78.0% 83.2% 73.9%
Conference Champion 19.9% 24.3% 16.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 2.9%
First Four5.8% 5.7% 5.9%
First Round12.6% 15.6% 10.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 43.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 21 - 4
Quad 415 - 917 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 22   @ Indiana L 61-80 3%     0 - 1 -2.2 -6.0 +4.5
  Nov 08, 2024 26   @ Illinois L 58-90 3%     0 - 2 -15.5 -6.2 -10.2
  Nov 12, 2024 180   @ Indiana St. W 77-72 23%     1 - 2 +7.0 +3.8 +3.1
  Nov 15, 2024 319   @ Western Michigan W 79-60 51%     2 - 2 +13.3 +6.4 +7.7
  Nov 16, 2024 351   Canisius W 76-58 76%     3 - 2 +5.1 -1.0 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2024 252   @ Green Bay L 57-82 35%     3 - 3 -26.6 -19.3 -6.9
  Nov 29, 2024 175   North Florida L 73-75 44%    
  Dec 08, 2024 246   Ball St. W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 19, 2024 247   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 21, 2024 322   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 02, 2025 325   Western Illinois W 68-61 73%    
  Jan 04, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 74-63 85%    
  Jan 07, 2025 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 332   Tennessee Tech W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 16, 2025 297   @ Tennessee St. L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 302   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 23, 2025 323   Southern Indiana W 71-65 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 279   Morehead St. W 67-63 62%    
  Jan 30, 2025 355   @ Lindenwood W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 325   @ Western Illinois W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 04, 2025 315   Eastern Illinois W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 06, 2025 332   @ Tennessee Tech W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 13, 2025 302   Tennessee Martin W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 297   Tennessee St. W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 20, 2025 279   @ Morehead St. L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 323   @ Southern Indiana W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 322   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-68 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 247   Arkansas Little Rock W 71-69 56%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.8 4.9 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 19.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 5.5 3.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.7 5.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.2 1.2 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.1 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.8 5.8 7.9 10.0 11.5 11.9 12.3 10.6 8.8 6.2 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 98.9% 1.9    1.8 0.1
17-3 94.2% 3.8    3.3 0.5 0.0
16-4 78.8% 4.9    3.6 1.2 0.1
15-5 54.3% 4.8    2.6 1.8 0.4 0.0
14-6 26.4% 2.8    0.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.9% 19.9 13.0 5.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 51.4% 51.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 61.7% 61.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3
18-2 1.9% 46.7% 46.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0
17-3 4.0% 44.7% 44.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 2.2
16-4 6.2% 38.4% 38.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.0 3.8
15-5 8.8% 32.7% 32.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 6.0
14-6 10.6% 24.0% 24.0% 15.8 0.0 0.4 2.1 8.1
13-7 12.3% 16.5% 16.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.9 10.2
12-8 11.9% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.1 1.2 10.6
11-9 11.5% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.7
10-10 10.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 9.6
9-11 7.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.7
8-12 5.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.7
7-13 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
6-14 2.2% 2.2
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.1 9.8 84.3 0.0%