SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#230
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#219
Pace65.4#287
Improvement-1.7#295

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#283
First Shot-1.6#220
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#325
Layup/Dunks-0.5#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#287
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement+0.5#135

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#163
First Shot+2.9#79
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#321
Layups/Dunks+8.5#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#271
Freethrows-1.7#278
Improvement-2.1#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.7% 19.9% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 78.4% 86.3% 66.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.0% 89.3% 70.9%
Conference Champion 24.7% 31.4% 14.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 2.4%
First Four4.1% 4.5% 3.6%
First Round14.6% 17.6% 10.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Away) - 60.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 32 - 4
Quad 415 - 917 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 277 @Texas San Antonio W 77-60 46%     1 - 0 +13.9 +1.6 +11.7
  Mon, Nov 10 198 Indiana St. L 55-64 55%     1 - 1 -14.4 -19.2 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 14 124 @Drake W 61-59 19%     2 - 1 +7.4 +0.2 +7.5
  Mon, Nov 17 30 @Wisconsin L 69-94 4%     2 - 2 -8.4 +7.5 -17.3
  Fri, Nov 21 331 @Air Force L 63-77 62%     2 - 3 -21.2 -10.6 -10.9
  Sun, Nov 23 276 Alabama St. W 83-68 58%     3 - 3 +9.0 +10.8 -1.0
  Tue, Dec 2 344 @North Florida W 72-63 67%     4 - 3 +0.4 -1.9 +3.0
  Sat, Dec 6 245 Western Michigan L 73-83 64%     4 - 4 -17.6 -2.4 -15.5
  Thu, Dec 18 329 @Eastern Illinois W 68-65 60%    
  Mon, Dec 22 361 @Western Illinois W 70-63 76%    
  Thu, Jan 1 314 Southern Indiana W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 3 325 Morehead St. W 73-64 79%    
  Tue, Jan 6 236 Lindenwood W 73-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 8 315 Arkansas Little Rock W 71-63 76%    
  Thu, Jan 15 240 @Tennessee Martin L 65-67 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 216 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69-72 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 249 Tennessee St. W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 271 Tennessee Tech W 73-68 67%    
  Thu, Jan 29 325 @Morehead St. W 70-67 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 314 @Southern Indiana W 73-71 56%    
  Tue, Feb 3 236 @Lindenwood L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 315 @Arkansas Little Rock W 68-66 56%    
  Thu, Feb 12 216 Southeast Missouri St. W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 240 Tennessee Martin W 68-64 62%    
  Thu, Feb 19 271 @Tennessee Tech L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 249 @Tennessee St. L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Feb 26 361 Western Illinois W 73-60 88%    
  Sat, Feb 28 329 Eastern Illinois W 71-62 78%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 6.3 5.9 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 24.7 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 5.4 6.3 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.2 4.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.9 4.3 1.3 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.9 1.1 0.0 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.3 1.0 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.8 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.1 4.9 7.1 9.2 11.8 12.7 12.7 12.3 9.5 6.8 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 99.2% 2.1    2.1 0.1
17-3 97.0% 3.9    3.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 86.9% 5.9    4.7 1.2 0.0
15-5 65.7% 6.3    3.7 2.2 0.4 0.0
14-6 33.7% 4.1    1.5 1.8 0.7 0.1
13-7 10.6% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 24.7% 24.7 16.6 6.1 1.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 54.8% 54.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.7% 49.8% 49.8% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.2% 48.1% 48.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1
17-3 4.0% 41.8% 41.8% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 2.3
16-4 6.8% 37.0% 37.0% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.8 4.3
15-5 9.5% 32.1% 32.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.6 6.5
14-6 12.3% 25.0% 25.0% 15.7 0.0 0.9 2.2 9.2
13-7 12.7% 16.3% 16.3% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.7 10.7
12-8 12.7% 10.8% 10.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 11.3
11-9 11.8% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.0 0.8 10.9
10-10 9.2% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.8
9-11 7.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.9
8-12 4.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.8
7-13 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
6-14 1.6% 1.6
5-15 0.8% 0.8
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.4 9.1 83.3 0.0%