Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.2 321
Results Rating -9.4 313
Consistency 0.14 130
Pace 65.0 271
Improvement -0.6 211

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 349 F+ D+ D+ C- D-
Defense C- 222 C- D B D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 212 D- 50% 340 -3.5 303
2 Pt. Jumpers 60% 14 D 33% 335 +2.6 52
Three Pointers 30% 350 D 31% 308 -6.9 351
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.5 338 F+ -6.2 350
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.87 359
Second Chance D+ 26.4% 293 C- 0.99 253 D+ 0.26 295
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 134
Other Turnovers F+ 9.2% 344
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 277
Freethrows D+ 0.28 266 B- 74% 124 C- 0.21 230
Total Offense D- -8.5 349

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 218 D 13.5% 324
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 137 D 7.3% 314
Three Pointers B- 87% 118 F 2.5% 364
Total D+ 51% 277 F 8.2% 357


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 159 D+ 62% 292 +2.1 251
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 342 D 41% 299 -1.7 52
Three Pointers 46% 49 B- 32% 99 +1.3 258
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 323 C- +0.9 211
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 237
Second Chance D- 34.9% 334 C- 1.08 262 D 0.38 323
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 81
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 91
Turnovers B 18.7% 66
Freethrows C- 0.32 248 F 77% 357 D+ 0.25 294
Total Defense C- -1.7 222

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 339 D+ 8.9% 257
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 240 A- 9.6% 18
Three Pointers F 93% 360 D 0.3% 313
Total D- 65% 346 C- 5.1% 209

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 293 16.7 74
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 120 0.19 267
Consistency 0.09 8 0.14 292
Improvement +1.1 134 -1.7 268

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 326 320 312
Results Rating Rank 323 319 295
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 7% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 7% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 410 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 156 @Valparaiso L 63 - 66 11% -5  4% 0 - 1 C +0 F -10 D+ F F A +11 A+ C- A
 Fri, Nov 7 249 Nicholls St. W 65 - 57 41% +5  78% 1 - 1 C +0 F -14 F C D A+ +14 A+ A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 89 @Notre Dame L 58 - 78 5% -7  6% 1 - 2 D -11 D -6 C F+ D- D- -8 B+ F C+
 Fri, Nov 14 22 @Kentucky L 53 - 99 1% -27  0% 1 - 3 F -27 F -12 D- F C+ F -17 F F A
 Tue, Nov 25 169 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 81 13% -16  0% 1 - 4 F -19 F+ -8 F+ D+ C F -12 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 28 8 @Purdue L 62 - 109 1% -25  7% 1 - 5 F -24 D- -7 B F F F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Dec 6 269 Lindenwood L 74 - 82 46% +1  50% 1 - 6 0 - 1 F+ -17 D -5 F B A F -12 D+ F D
 Wed, Dec 10 294 Eastern Kentucky L 59 - 68 53% -5  6% 1 - 7 F -20 F -19 F D F C- -2 C D+ C
 Sun, Dec 14 10 @Iowa St. L 53 - 78 1% -15  13% 1 - 8 C- -2 F -10 F+ D+ D- A- +8 A- A- B+
 Thu, Dec 18 256 SIU Edwardsville W 76 - 72 OT 43% +0  45% 2 - 8 1 - 1 C- -4 C- -1 B- C+ F D+ -4 F A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 224 @Southeast Missouri St. L 59 - 68 18% +2  49% 2 - 9 1 - 2 D -10 F -14 D- F C B +4 B F D
 Sat, Jan 3 231 @Tennessee Martin L 61 - 65 19% +0  47% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C- -5 D- -8 F F B- B- +3 A+ F A
 Thu, Jan 8 312 Tennessee Tech W 71 - 61 58% -2  28% 3 - 10 2 - 3 C- -2 C- -2 D B- B- C+ +1 C+ C- A
 Sat, Jan 10 199 Tennessee St. W 74 - 70 31% +8  95% 4 - 10 3 - 3 C -1 D+ -3 C- C+ B+ C+ +2 C A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 13 364 Western Illinois W 57 - 55 86% +4  89% 5 - 10 4 - 3 F -20 F -25 F F F B +5 A D- B
 Thu, Jan 15 301 @Arkansas Little Rock L 63 - 74 32% +4  80% 5 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -16 F+ -9 F A F D- -8 D- F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 336 @Southern Indiana W 59 - 51 OT 46% -3  10% 6 - 11 5 - 4 C -1 F -20 F F D- A+ +19 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 282 @Morehead St. L 68 - 73 27% -0  46% 6 - 12 5 - 5 D -9 D+ -3 F A F D -6 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 231 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 76 37% -7  1% 6 - 13 5 - 6 F+ -15 D+ -4 F+ C- A+ F -11 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 224 Southeast Missouri St. L 59 - 77 37% -12  0% 6 - 14 5 - 7 F -25 F -13 D- D F F -13 F A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 199 @Tennessee St. L 68 - 77 15% -3  8% 6 - 15 5 - 8 D+ -8 D- -7 D+ B+ F C- -2 D+ A F
 Sat, Feb 7 312 @Tennessee Tech W 60 - 54 35% +7  94% 7 - 15 6 - 8 C -0 F -13 F D- D+ A+ +14 A F+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 364 @Western Illinois L 70 - 79 71% -4  25% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -25 F -14 F F+ D+ F -11 F D- D+
 Sat, Feb 14 301 Arkansas Little Rock W 78 - 72 55% +2  57% 8 - 16 7 - 9 D+ -5 C +1 F B- A+ D -6 C- F+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 282 Morehead St. L 70 - 73 48% -4  20% 8 - 17 7 - 10 D- -13 F+ -9 F B- C+ D+ -4 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 21 336 Southern Indiana L 68 - 70 68% -8  5% 8 - 18 7 - 11 F+ -17 D- -8 F B- C F+ -10 F D+ B+
 Thu, Feb 26 269 @Lindenwood W 71 - 67 25% +5  91% 9 - 18 8 - 11 C +1 C- -2 C F D+ B- +3 B+ D- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 256 @SIU Edwardsville L 50 - 77 23% -14  0% 9 - 19 8 - 12 F -29 F -14 D F F+ F -19 F F C
 Wed, Mar 4 256 SIU Edwardsville W 77 - 71 OT 32% -0  33% 10 - 19 C +1 B- +4 C+ B+ B- D+ -3 B- F+ C-
 Thu, Mar 5 231 Tennessee Martin L 59 - 65 27%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 12 -10 D- -9 D F+ D- C- -2 D B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D- D D F+ 37% 60% 30% D- F+ D+ C- D+ D+ D+ B- C- C- D+ D B- C- 39% 15% 46% D C- D- C- D B C- F D+
0.96 50% 33% 31% -6 -2 0.87 26% 1.0 .26 18% .28 74% .21 1.11 62% 41% 32% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.1 .38 19% .32 77% .21
Nov
4		 Valparaiso F A- C F+ C+ 34% 47% 18% F D+ C F F F A+ A+ A+ A C- A+ A+ A+ 27% 9% 64% F A+ D+ C+ C- A F A+ F
0.90 69% 33% 29% 0 -4 0.95 31% 0.3 .09 29% .62 81% .50 0.94 58% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.66 34% 1.1 .36 20% .62 60% .37
Nov
7		 Nicholls St. F F F F F 40% 26% 35% D- F C- B- C D A+ D+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% A- A+ F A+ A+ C- F B- F
0.93 47% 27% 27% -11 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .38 23% .54 76% .41 0.82 63% 8% 19% -15 -1 0.69 33% 0.4 .13 16% .46 63% .29
Nov
11		 Notre Dame D F A+ D+ B- 20% 38% 42% F C B- F F+ D- D A C- D- D C+ A+ A- 39% 16% 45% D- B+ F C- F C+ B- D C+
0.95 44% 53% 32% +1 -4 0.98 28% 0.4 .13 18% .24 83% .20 1.28 68% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 53% 1.0 .53 16% .29 73% .22
Nov
14		 Kentucky F C F B- D+ 18% 47% 35% F D- F F F C+ B+ D B- F F F F+ F 50% 10% 40% F F F F F A B+ D+ B
0.78 56% 22% 35% -7 -5 0.78 13% 0.6 .08 16% .33 68% .23 1.46 80% 60% 40% +17 +2 1.40 57% 1.4 .79 19% .29 75% .22
Nov
25		 Central Arkansas F+ B+ D F F+ 33% 25% 42% F+ F+ F A+ D+ C D A+ C+ F F A+ D F 36% 6% 57% F+ F F F F B+ C+ A B
0.95 69% 33% 25% -3 -1 0.94 17% 1.6 .28 19% .23 92% .21 1.28 82% 0% 37% +9 +2 1.23 35% 1.8 .62 19% .25 62% .16
Nov
28		 Purdue D- A+ A+ F B+ 27% 31% 41% C- B F F F F D- C- D F F C- F F 36% 25% 39% C+ F F F F B- C F D-
0.86 79% 50% 24% +3 -2 1.04 13% 0.8 .10 24% .16 67% .11 1.52 85% 43% 50% +20 -1 1.41 46% 1.5 .67 14% .29 89% .26
Dec
6		 Lindenwood D F+ F F F 61% 27% 12% C F C+ A- B A D- C+ D F F+ B A+ C- 53% 14% 33% F D+ F F F D F F F
1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21 1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30
Dec
10		 Eastern Kentucky F D F D- F 39% 33% 28% D- F F B D F D- A+ C- C- D- F A C+ 23% 13% 64% F+ C D C D+ C C+ F D-
0.94 56% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.83 24% 1.1 .27 19% .27 86% .24 1.08 64% 67% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 17% .25 92% .23
Dec
14		 Iowa St. F F F C- F+ 29% 33% 39% D F+ D+ D+ D+ D- C- B+ C A- F F A+ A 42% 17% 42% C- A- B A- A- B+ F D- F
0.75 43% 25% 32% -10 -2 0.78 23% 1.0 .23 26% .23 75% .17 1.11 75% 50% 20% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 SIU Edwardsville C- A- B- D+ B 34% 28% 38% D+ B- C- B+ C+ F C- B C D+ C A+ F F 32% 22% 46% D F A- A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23 1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23
Jan
1		 Southeast Missouri St. F F D+ B+ F+ 53% 18% 29% B D- F F F C D+ D+ D B B+ A+ A A 65% 4% 31% F B D- F F D C- A+ A
0.84 42% 38% 38% -7 +1 0.91 16% 0.4 .06 17% .38 73% .28 0.97 48% 0% 27% -11 +4 0.88 32% 1.9 .62 14% .33 45% .15
Jan
3		 Tennessee Martin D- B D F F+ 18% 33% 49% F F D+ F F B- A D- B+ B- A F A+ A+ 22% 15% 63% C+ A+ C F F A F F F
0.91 67% 31% 25% -7 -3 0.82 30% 0.5 .16 18% .42 65% .27 0.97 44% 67% 19% -13 0 0.76 34% 1.5 .50 27% .53 85% .45
Jan
8		 Tennessee Tech C- C F C F+ 47% 17% 36% B D B- B- B- B- B D B- C+ C+ D- A B- 33% 18% 49% D+ C+ D+ C+ C- A F F F
1.14 59% 13% 35% -3 +1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 13% .33 72% .24 0.98 54% 43% 26% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.0 .32 24% .44 90% .40
Jan
10		 Tennessee St. D+ F F A+ C- 47% 21% 32% D+ C- C+ C+ C+ B+ F A F C+ B+ F A- C+ 34% 25% 42% D+ C B- A+ A+ C+ F B- F
1.08 48% 27% 53% +2 +1 1.08 31% 1.1 .34 16% .19 82% .16 1.02 50% 54% 27% -3 -1 0.94 29% 0.6 .18 18% .39 73% .28
Jan
13		 Western Illinois F D- F F F 45% 34% 20% F F F+ F F F A+ A- A+ B A B+ A+ A+ 57% 21% 21% F A F B- D- B D F F
0.86 55% 20% 11% -15 -1 0.70 26% 0.9 .23 18% .42 78% .33 0.83 41% 30% 10% -19 +1 0.66 34% 0.9 .32 20% .34 83% .28
Jan
15		 Arkansas Little Rock F+ F C A F+ 31% 31% 38% F F D- A+ A F F A D- D- F B- C- D- 32% 30% 39% D+ D- F D+ F C+ F F F
0.98 43% 36% 41% -1 -2 0.96 30% 1.6 .47 26% .21 80% .17 1.15 71% 31% 35% +3 -2 1.05 44% 1.1 .47 19% .32 82% .27
Jan
22		 Southern Indiana F C- F F F 28% 50% 22% F F F C+ F D- B+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 18% 49% D+ A+ C F F+ A+ F D- F
0.82 57% 28% 18% -11 -5 0.72 18% 1.0 .18 18% .37 77% .29 0.71 38% 22% 8% -28 0 0.45 29% 1.1 .33 24% .49 70% .34
Jan
24		 Morehead St. D+ F F A+ F 45% 28% 28% D- F A+ C- A F A+ A+ A+ D C- F+ F F 38% 43% 20% A+ F F D+ F A+ F F F
1.09 24% 31% 46% -12 0 0.77 51% 0.9 .49 19% .48 83% .40 1.17 60% 47% 50% +9 -3 1.15 52% 1.0 .52 27% .53 88% .46
Jan
29		 Tennessee Martin D+ B- F F F 38% 28% 34% C- F+ D+ C+ C- A+ A+ F A- F F F F F 34% 7% 59% F F D- C- D A+ F C+ F
1.01 65% 20% 22% -9 -1 0.83 30% 1.0 .30 12% .49 59% .29 1.12 71% 67% 42% +13 +1 1.32 39% 0.9 .36 30% .42 65% .27
Jan
31		 Southeast Missouri St. F F F A+ F+ 49% 20% 31% C+ D- F+ C+ D F F D+ F F F A+ F F 43% 8% 49% F F D+ A+ A+ D+ A+ D- A
0.91 38% 30% 47% -6 +1 0.92 20% 1.2 .23 21% .29 73% .21 1.18 71% 25% 46% +13 +2 1.33 30% 0.6 .17 15% .20 73% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Tennessee St. D- C- D B D+ 47% 18% 36% C- D+ F+ A+ B+ F F F F C- F A- A+ C- 43% 27% 29% D D+ A+ C+ A F F D+ F
0.99 57% 38% 38% +1 +1 1.07 23% 1.8 .42 25% .29 67% .19 1.12 77% 29% 20% -1 -1 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 10% .44 78% .34
Feb
7		 Tennessee Tech F D- F D+ F 39% 37% 24% F F F+ B- D- D+ C B+ B- A+ B- D+ A+ A+ 39% 13% 47% F A F C+ F+ A+ F F F
0.93 53% 28% 33% -6 -2 0.86 22% 1.3 .28 15% .29 81% .24 0.84 53% 40% 17% -14 +1 0.76 40% 1.0 .40 33% .46 85% .39
Feb
10		 Western Illinois F D A F F+ 28% 37% 35% F F F B- F+ D+ F F F F F B- F F 25% 35% 39% A F C F D- D+ F F F
0.97 56% 48% 25% -2 -3 0.93 24% 1.2 .30 15% .23 57% .13 1.10 69% 33% 40% +5 -3 1.06 24% 1.3 .30 15% .43 73% .31
Feb
14		 Arkansas Little Rock C F F A+ F 46% 25% 29% D F A+ D- B- A+ A+ B- A+ D A F C- C- 33% 33% 33% C C- F+ D F+ D+ F B+ D-
1.17 41% 25% 43% -7 0 0.88 49% 0.8 .39 12% .51 73% .38 1.08 47% 47% 35% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 17% .32 61% .20
Feb
19		 Morehead St. F+ C D- F F 48% 22% 30% C- F D A+ B- C+ F A+ C- D+ C- F D+ F 49% 13% 38% F F A- A+ A+ A F+ C D-
1.06 58% 33% 19% -8 0 0.87 31% 1.3 .40 14% .24 93% .23 1.10 59% 100% 35% +9 +2 1.24 28% 0.6 .16 23% .37 74% .27
Feb
21		 Southern Indiana D- F B D+ F 49% 33% 18% F+ F A+ D- B- C B- B+ B F+ B B+ F F 28% 39% 33% A+ F C F+ D+ B+ F F F
1.04 40% 41% 33% -8 -1 0.84 45% 0.8 .38 15% .34 79% .27 1.07 46% 28% 53% +2 -3 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 20% .44 83% .36
Feb
26		 Lindenwood C- C F A+ B 39% 43% 18% F C D- F F D+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ A+ B- A 52% 8% 40% F B+ F A- D- B- B+ D- B-
1.03 59% 21% 75% +4 -3 1.05 26% 0.3 .06 19% .59 76% .45 0.97 42% 0% 30% -14 +3 0.80 43% 0.9 .40 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
28		 SIU Edwardsville F D A+ F C- 21% 36% 44% F D F+ F F F+ B+ F C F F D- F F 34% 14% 52% F F F D F C A+ F A+
0.83 50% 64% 18% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.5 .12 20% .37 61% .23 1.28 76% 43% 42% +13 +1 1.30 35% 1.1 .38 18% .08 75% .06
Mar
4		 SIU Edwardsville B- B C+ D B- 39% 37% 24% D- C+ D A+ B+ B- D- D D- D+ A+ A+ F+ B 26% 21% 53% D+ B- F D+ F+ C- F C+ F+
1.12 62% 40% 31% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.4 .39 14% .27 69% .19 1.03 36% 18% 39% -6 -1 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 17% .35 65% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 1.7 98.3
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 98.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 20.9%
Lose Out 73.6%