Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#314
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#338
Pace78.2#20
Improvement+1.8#62

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#325
First Shot-1.4#215
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#357
Layup/Dunks-5.0#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+0.7#143
Improvement+2.0#41

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#257
First Shot-6.0#351
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#18
Layups/Dunks-8.5#364
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#71
Freethrows-2.7#324
Improvement-0.2#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 6.1% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 12.6% 25.3% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 41.9% 53.3% 39.2%
Conference Champion 4.7% 7.7% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 6.1% 10.9%
First Four2.9% 4.2% 2.6%
First Round2.6% 4.2% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 49 - 1211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 55 @Butler L 58-88 3%     0 - 1 -16.9 -13.4 -1.5
  Fri, Nov 7 341 VMI L 74-78 71%     0 - 2 -18.3 -14.2 -3.7
  Wed, Nov 12 270 @South Dakota L 74-89 28%     0 - 3 -17.7 -13.7 -1.5
  Thu, Nov 20 188 Incarnate Word L 81-87 26%     0 - 4 -7.8 +1.9 -9.4
  Sat, Nov 22 204 Illinois-Chicago L 73-84 28%     0 - 5 -13.6 -3.9 -9.1
  Wed, Nov 26 211 @Valparaiso W 64-56 21%     1 - 5 +7.7 -6.9 +14.6
  Wed, Dec 3 245 @Western Michigan L 74-88 25%     1 - 6 -15.6 -3.0 -12.2
  Sun, Dec 7 198 @Indiana St. L 75-84 19%    
  Thu, Dec 18 315 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Dec 20 325 Morehead St. W 78-74 65%    
  Thu, Jan 1 230 @SIU Edwardsville L 68-76 24%    
  Sat, Jan 3 236 @Lindenwood L 75-82 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 216 Southeast Missouri St. L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 240 Tennessee Martin L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Jan 15 271 @Tennessee Tech L 75-81 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 249 @Tennessee St. L 74-81 27%    
  Thu, Jan 22 329 Eastern Illinois W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 361 Western Illinois W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Jan 29 236 Lindenwood L 78-79 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 230 SIU Edwardsville L 71-73 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 240 @Tennessee Martin L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 216 @Southeast Missouri St. L 74-82 24%    
  Thu, Feb 12 249 Tennessee St. L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 271 Tennessee Tech W 78-77 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 361 @Western Illinois W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 329 @Eastern Illinois L 71-73 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 325 @Morehead St. L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 @Arkansas Little Rock L 72-75 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.5 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.9 1.4 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.3 5.1 1.5 0.1 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 4.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.5 3.0 1.1 0.1 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 5.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.4 8.7 11.2 12.3 12.3 12.0 9.7 7.5 5.6 3.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 97.8% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-4 89.0% 0.9    0.7 0.2
15-5 68.1% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 36.4% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 9.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 42.1% 42.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 29.1% 29.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
16-4 1.0% 30.0% 30.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7
15-5 1.9% 26.2% 26.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 1.4
14-6 3.5% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.9
13-7 5.6% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 4.8
12-8 7.5% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.0
11-9 9.7% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.4 9.2
10-10 12.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.8
9-11 12.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.1
8-12 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.2
7-13 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-14 8.7% 8.7
5-15 6.4% 6.4
4-16 4.0% 4.0
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.6 96.1 0.0%