Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#271
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#272
Pace73.3#89
Improvement+2.4#40

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#261
First Shot-1.0#206
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#326
Layup/Dunks+2.4#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#286
Freethrows-1.5#269
Improvement+3.4#10

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#237
First Shot-2.4#249
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#177
Layups/Dunks+2.7#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#291
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement-1.0#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 12.4% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 39.7% 51.5% 26.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 73.9% 49.3%
Conference Champion 9.1% 13.7% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.9% 5.9%
First Four4.0% 4.7% 3.1%
First Round7.5% 10.0% 4.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 128 @Western Kentucky L 70-82 16%     0 - 1 -6.9 -5.8 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 7 181 @Charlotte L 65-70 25%     0 - 2 -3.6 -4.4 +0.5
  Mon, Nov 17 318 West Georgia L 59-61 72%     0 - 3 -13.9 -16.3 +2.3
  Wed, Nov 19 274 @South Carolina Upstate W 88-84 39%     1 - 3 +1.1 +7.2 -6.5
  Wed, Nov 26 21 @Kentucky L 54-104 2%     1 - 4 -31.9 -12.0 -18.0
  Sat, Nov 29 19 @Georgia L 81-123 2%     1 - 5 -23.5 +0.4 -15.8
  Wed, Dec 3 161 @Lipscomb L 80-83 22%     1 - 6 -0.5 +5.3 -5.6
  Sat, Dec 6 318 @West Georgia W 87-59 51%     2 - 6 +22.1 +12.1 +10.1
  Thu, Dec 18 216 Southeast Missouri St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Dec 20 240 Tennessee Martin W 73-71 56%    
  Thu, Jan 1 315 @Arkansas Little Rock L 72-73 49%    
  Thu, Jan 8 329 @Eastern Illinois W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 361 @Western Illinois W 74-68 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 314 Southern Indiana W 81-75 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 325 Morehead St. W 78-71 73%    
  Thu, Jan 22 236 @Lindenwood L 75-79 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 230 @SIU Edwardsville L 68-73 33%    
  Tue, Jan 27 249 @Tennessee St. L 74-78 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 315 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-69 70%    
  Thu, Feb 5 361 Western Illinois W 77-65 85%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 Eastern Illinois W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Feb 12 325 @Morehead St. W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 314 @Southern Indiana L 77-78 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 230 SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Feb 21 236 Lindenwood W 78-76 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 240 @Tennessee Martin L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 216 @Southeast Missouri St. L 74-79 32%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.1 3.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 4.7 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.9 4.6 1.0 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.6 5.1 1.1 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.5 1.2 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.0 3.7 1.4 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 1.1 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.6 4.5 7.0 9.5 11.8 13.0 13.2 11.8 9.7 6.9 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-3 97.0% 0.9    0.8 0.0
16-4 86.7% 1.9    1.4 0.4 0.0
15-5 63.9% 2.7    1.6 0.9 0.2
14-6 33.0% 2.3    0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
13-7 9.7% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 5.2 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 51.6% 51.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.9% 39.1% 39.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6
16-4 2.2% 39.0% 39.0% 15.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 1.3
15-5 4.2% 32.5% 32.5% 15.5 0.0 0.6 0.7 2.9
14-6 6.9% 25.8% 25.8% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.3 5.2
13-7 9.7% 18.1% 18.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 8.0
12-8 11.8% 11.3% 11.3% 15.9 0.1 1.2 10.5
11-9 13.2% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 12.3
10-10 13.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.5
9-11 11.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 11.6
8-12 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.4
7-13 7.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.0
6-14 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-15 2.6% 2.6
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 6.8 90.6 0.0%