West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#318
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#173
Pace69.5#185
Improvement-1.5#285

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#306
First Shot-4.7#300
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#200
Layup/Dunks-3.3#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#326
Freethrows-2.1#304
Improvement-0.7#239

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#306
First Shot-2.8#264
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#265
Layups/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#76
Freethrows-0.8#242
Improvement-0.8#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 24.5% 36.3% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 30.2% 36.3% 25.6%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 11.5% 17.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 410 - 912 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 48 @Nebraska L 53-86 3%     0 - 1 -19.2 -13.9 -5.1
  Mon, Nov 10 27 @UCLA L 62-83 2%     0 - 2 -4.1 +1.4 -7.0
  Fri, Nov 14 363 The Citadel W 100-92 81%     1 - 2 -10.1 +8.0 -18.7
  Mon, Nov 17 271 @Tennessee Tech W 61-59 28%     2 - 2 -0.7 -9.5 +8.9
  Fri, Nov 21 274 South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 50%     3 - 2 -0.9 -5.0 +3.9
  Sun, Nov 23 135 @Georgia Tech L 66-82 11%     3 - 3 -11.2 -2.9 -7.8
  Mon, Dec 1 147 @Troy W 93-89 2OT 12%     4 - 3 +7.7 +5.5 +1.4
  Sat, Dec 6 271 Tennessee Tech L 59-87 49%     4 - 4 -36.7 -17.3 -19.5
  Sat, Dec 13 232 Georgia Southern L 76-78 43%    
  Mon, Dec 22 19 @Georgia L 69-96 0.5%   
  Thu, Jan 1 292 Bellarmine W 75-74 56%    
  Sat, Jan 3 269 Eastern Kentucky L 76-77 49%    
  Thu, Jan 8 344 @North Florida L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 291 @Jacksonville L 67-72 34%    
  Thu, Jan 15 347 @Stetson W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 174 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71-82 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 279 Central Arkansas W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 196 Queens L 76-80 37%    
  Wed, Jan 28 292 @Bellarmine L 72-77 34%    
  Sat, Jan 31 180 Austin Peay L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Feb 5 344 North Florida W 83-77 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 291 Jacksonville W 70-69 55%    
  Wed, Feb 11 200 @North Alabama L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 279 @Central Arkansas L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Feb 18 269 @Eastern Kentucky L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 196 @Queens L 73-83 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 161 Lipscomb L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 200 North Alabama L 70-73 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 5.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 3.2 1.1 0.1 7.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 4.7 2.0 0.1 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.7 3.8 0.6 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.4 4.6 1.1 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.7 3.6 0.9 0.1 12.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 8.7 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.6 9.0 11.5 13.6 13.7 12.4 11.0 7.9 5.2 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.3% 0.3
14-4 0.8% 0.8
13-5 1.8% 1.8
12-6 3.1% 3.1
11-7 5.2% 5.2
10-8 7.9% 7.9
9-9 11.0% 11.0
8-10 12.4% 12.4
7-11 13.7% 13.7
6-12 13.6% 13.6
5-13 11.5% 11.5
4-14 9.0% 9.0
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%