Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#48
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#19
Pace72.1#119
Improvement-2.6#326

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#54
First Shot+8.7#13
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#332
Layup/Dunks+4.5#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#11
Freethrows-1.5#272
Improvement-2.7#350

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#52
First Shot+1.5#119
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#17
Layups/Dunks+10.5#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#359
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#356
Freethrows+2.5#50
Improvement+0.1#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.3% 4.5% 1.7%
Top 6 Seed 12.9% 16.4% 7.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.0% 59.1% 41.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 51.8% 58.8% 41.8%
Average Seed 8.0 7.9 8.4
.500 or above 91.2% 95.5% 85.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 45.3% 35.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.2% 4.0%
First Four8.2% 8.5% 7.7%
First Round47.5% 54.4% 37.8%
Second Round24.7% 29.1% 18.4%
Sweet Sixteen6.8% 8.6% 4.2%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.6% 1.2%
Final Four0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 58.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 318 West Georgia W 86-53 97%     1 - 0 +21.1 +7.2 +13.6
  Sat, Nov 8 189 Florida International W 96-66 92%     2 - 0 +25.1 +12.7 +9.7
  Tue, Nov 11 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-50 98%     3 - 0 +4.2 -5.4 +10.5
  Sat, Nov 15 53 Oklahoma W 105-99 52%     4 - 0 +16.2 +31.9 -15.8
  Thu, Nov 20 84 New Mexico W 84-72 66%     5 - 0 +18.5 +3.6 +13.3
  Fri, Nov 21 82 Kansas St. W 86-85 65%     6 - 0 +7.7 +9.3 -1.6
  Tue, Nov 25 118 Winthrop W 80-73 84%     7 - 0 +7.2 +5.4 +1.9
  Sat, Nov 29 274 South Carolina Upstate W 72-63 96%     8 - 0 +0.1 -5.5 +5.3
  Sun, Dec 7 43 Creighton W 77-75 59%    
  Wed, Dec 10 30 Wisconsin W 80-79 51%    
  Sat, Dec 13 15 @Illinois L 74-84 17%    
  Sun, Dec 21 337 North Dakota W 88-63 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 335 New Hampshire W 85-61 99%    
  Fri, Jan 2 12 Michigan St. L 69-74 33%    
  Mon, Jan 5 24 @Ohio St. L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 28 @Indiana L 73-79 29%    
  Tue, Jan 13 81 Oregon W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 61 @Northwestern L 76-77 46%    
  Wed, Jan 21 49 Washington W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 102 @Minnesota W 72-69 60%    
  Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 69-88 5%    
  Sun, Feb 1 15 Illinois L 77-81 35%    
  Sat, Feb 7 123 @Rutgers W 76-71 68%    
  Tue, Feb 10 7 Purdue L 72-79 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 61 Northwestern W 79-74 66%    
  Tue, Feb 17 25 @Iowa L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 96 Penn St. W 82-74 78%    
  Wed, Feb 25 93 Maryland W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 35 @USC L 78-83 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 27 @UCLA L 70-76 29%    
  Sun, Mar 8 25 Iowa L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 0.8 0.0 5.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.6 1.9 0.2 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.2 2.7 0.2 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.7 1.3 0.0 9.8 12th
13th 0.2 2.0 4.4 1.9 0.1 8.6 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 3.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.6 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.3 5.8 8.8 11.6 13.4 13.8 12.8 10.3 7.7 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 84.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 34.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 5.9% 94.1% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.5% 100.0% 3.1% 96.9% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.9% 100.0% 2.5% 97.5% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 5.0% 99.7% 1.8% 97.9% 5.9 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 7.7% 98.7% 1.3% 97.5% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.7%
11-9 10.3% 95.0% 0.5% 94.4% 8.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 2.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.5 94.9%
10-10 12.8% 86.2% 0.2% 86.0% 8.9 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.4 2.7 1.0 0.0 1.8 86.2%
9-11 13.8% 60.8% 0.1% 60.7% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.1 2.7 0.1 5.4 60.8%
8-12 13.4% 30.3% 0.1% 30.2% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 0.1 9.4 30.2%
7-13 11.6% 7.3% 7.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 10.8 7.3%
6-14 8.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.7 0.8%
5-15 5.8% 5.8
4-16 3.3% 3.3
3-17 1.5% 1.5
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 52.0% 0.5% 51.5% 8.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.8 5.7 7.0 8.1 8.6 8.2 7.0 0.3 48.0 51.8%