Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
2 Michigan 100.0%   1   27 - 2 17 - 1 +27.1      +13.2 5 +13.8 2 77.5 15 +29.2 1 +30.8 1
5 Illinois 100.0%   2   23 - 7 14 - 5 +22.4      +15.1 1 +7.4 26 65.5 260 +20.1 11 +20.3 4
8 Purdue 100.0%   3   23 - 7 13 - 6 +20.4      +14.0 2 +6.3 37 63.7 308 +19.9 13 +18.6 5
9 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   24 - 5 14 - 4 +20.3      +8.8 29 +11.5 5 65.3 265 +22.1 5 +21.4 2
15 Nebraska 100.0%   3   25 - 5 14 - 5 +18.5      +7.0 46 +11.5 6 67.4 208 +21.5 7 +20.8 3
24 Wisconsin 98.6%   6   21 - 9 13 - 6 +15.8      +10.5 17 +5.2 46 71.6 99 +15.9 27 +18.3 6
28 Ohio St. 86.4%   10   19 - 11 11 - 8 +15.3      +10.2 20 +5.0 50 66.7 229 +14.1 40 +15.7 8
29 Iowa 92.2%   8   20 - 9 10 - 8 +15.2      +8.7 30 +6.5 36 60.1 359 +14.7 35 +13.9 9
30 UCLA 95.1%   8   20 - 10 12 - 7 +14.8      +9.8 22 +5.0 51 63.3 320 +14.9 32 +16.4 7
39 Indiana 43.4%   11   18 - 12 9 - 10 +13.6      +8.7 31 +4.9 53 66.4 242 +12.5 44 +12.4 10
49 Washington 1.2%   15 - 15 7 - 12 +11.2      +5.7 60 +5.5 44 68.3 185 +8.7 68 +9.1 13
61 Minnesota 0.1%   14 - 16 7 - 12 +9.2      +4.8 74 +4.4 64 59.5 363 +7.5 83 +9.9 11
66 Northwestern 0.0%   13 - 17 5 - 14 +8.9      +5.1 69 +3.8 76 64.8 275 +7.2 85 +6.5 14
70 USC 3.1%   17 - 12 7 - 12 +8.7      +3.1 96 +5.6 42 75.7 25 +11.9 46 +9.2 12
83 Oregon 0.0%   11 - 19 4 - 15 +7.0      +2.2 111 +4.8 54 65.8 254 +5.0 99 +4.6 16
108 Rutgers 0.0%   12 - 17 5 - 13 +3.6      +1.9 119 +1.7 126 66.3 244 +4.8 103 +6.3 15
109 Maryland 0.0%   11 - 19 4 - 15 +3.6      +1.5 129 +2.2 116 66.6 233 +5.4 96 +4.1 17
119 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 18 3 - 16 +2.9      +4.3 81 -1.4 216 68.7 172 +4.1 107 +3.1 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Mar 1 28 Ohio St. 82 8 Purdue 74   
Sun, Mar 1 39 Indiana 64 9 Michigan St. 77   
Sun, Mar 1 109 Maryland 65 108 Rutgers 69   
Tue, Mar 3 30 UCLA 72 15 Nebraska 52   
Tue, Mar 3 5 Illinois 80 83 Oregon 54   
Wed, Mar 4 66 Northwestern 66 8 Purdue 70   
Wed, Mar 4 70 USC 72 49 Washington 91   
Wed, Mar 4 109 Maryland 45 24 Wisconsin 78   
Wed, Mar 4 39 Indiana 77 61 Minnesota 47   
Wed, Mar 4 28 Ohio St. 94 119 Penn St. 62   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 29 Iowa 70 2 Michigan 79 80%   
Thu, Mar 5 9 Michigan St. 80 108 Rutgers 60 96%   
Sat, Mar 7 8 Purdue 83 24 Wisconsin 76 77%   
Sat, Mar 7 39 Indiana 74 28 Ohio St. 79 67%   
Sat, Mar 7 61 Minnesota 70 66 Northwestern 66 63%   
Sat, Mar 7 70 USC 74 30 UCLA 77 62%   
Sat, Mar 7 83 Oregon 71 49 Washington 72 55%   
Sun, Mar 8 2 Michigan 80 9 Michigan St. 70 82%   
Sun, Mar 8 29 Iowa 65 15 Nebraska 71 73%   
Sun, Mar 8 119 Penn St. 74 108 Rutgers 78 64%   
Sun, Mar 8 5 Illinois 83 109 Maryland 67 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 97.4 0.9 1.7
Illinois 2.3 77.0 18.5 4.5
Nebraska 2.7 59.3 15.5 25.1
Purdue 5.0 0.0 2.0 23.9 50.6 23.5
Wisconsin 5.7 0.0 0.5 7.5 15.4 76.5
UCLA 6.4 62.5 37.5
Ohio St. 7.8 25.5 72.7 1.8
Iowa 8.8 2.0 15.7 82.3
Indiana 9.8 19.5 80.5
Minnesota 11.4 72.3 19.9 7.8
Washington 11.5 64.9 24.3 10.7
USC 11.7 47.9 30.7 21.4
Rutgers 14.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 84.6 13.5
Northwestern 14.4 58.3 41.7
Oregon 15.6 9.7 24.6 62.2 3.5
Maryland 16.4 1.2 3.7 52.5 42.6
Penn St. 17.5 18.4 16.4 65.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 29 - 2 4.2 30.2 65.6
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 6 2.7 79.4 17.9
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 7 6.3 93.7
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 5 27.6 72.4
Purdue 14 - 6 24 - 7 23.5 76.5
Wisconsin 13 - 7 21 - 10 76.5 23.5
UCLA 13 - 7 21 - 10 37.5 62.5
Ohio St. 12 - 8 20 - 11 33.1 66.9
Iowa 10 - 10 20 - 11 58.1 36.1 5.8
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 13 66.9 33.1
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 16 38.1 61.9
Washington 8 - 12 16 - 15 45.4 54.6
USC 7 - 13 17 - 13 62.5 37.5
Rutgers 6 - 14 13 - 18 34.6 63.3 2.1
Northwestern 5 - 15 13 - 18 61.9 38.1
Oregon 4 - 16 11 - 20 54.6 45.4
Maryland 4 - 16 11 - 20 93.7 6.3
Penn St. 3 - 17 12 - 19 64.3 35.7

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Michigan St.
Illinois
Nebraska
Purdue
Wisconsin
UCLA
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
Washington
USC
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 50.3% 49.7% 1   96.9 3.1 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2   7.1 47.4 32.9 11.5 1.1 0.1 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 3   2.6 27.6 39.4 24.2 5.8 0.5 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 13.3% 86.7% 2   8.3 49.7 30.3 10.4 1.2 0.1 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 3   2.9 23.6 34.3 27.1 10.5 1.5 0.1 100.0%
Wisconsin 98.6% 1.6% 97.1% 6   0.0 1.1 3.8 16.2 32.1 30.6 11.4 3.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 98.6%
Ohio St. 86.4% 0.6% 85.8% 10   0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.2 13.1 20.6 28.3 15.1 0.2 13.6 86.3%
Iowa 92.2% 0.7% 91.5% 8   0.0 0.1 0.2 2.2 9.6 18.3 20.7 19.9 16.7 4.6 7.8 92.1%
UCLA 95.1% 1.0% 94.1% 8   0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 10.9 23.3 26.7 19.5 9.9 1.7 5.0 95.0%
Indiana 43.4% 0.5% 42.9% 11   0.0 0.3 0.7 2.6 5.5 11.5 20.6 2.2 0.0 56.6 43.1%
Washington 1.2% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 98.8 1.1%
Minnesota 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
USC 3.1% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0 0.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 97.0 3.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.2 0.6 12.1 55.0 31.4 0.9 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.0 0.0 1.3 19.3 59.5 19.6 0.3
2nd Round 100.0% 7.2 0.4 4.3 19.9 38.0 29.3 7.6 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.6 5.5 19.1 35.6 29.7 8.4 1.1 0.1
Elite Eight 97.8% 2.4 2.2 16.1 37.9 32.9 9.8 1.0 0.0
Final Four 84.0% 1.2 16.0 51.8 27.9 4.2 0.1
Final Game 56.7% 0.6 43.3 50.9 5.8
Champion 31.8% 0.3 68.2 31.8

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 89.5% 73.1% 55.5% 36.8% 22.3%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.7% 75.5% 46.9% 22.3% 10.2% 4.3%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.1% 66.2% 32.9% 13.6% 5.4% 2.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.9% 67.7% 36.9% 14.9% 5.9% 2.1%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.4% 58.2% 24.2% 8.7% 2.9% 0.9%
Wisconsin 98.6% 0.1% 98.6% 66.8% 23.0% 7.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Ohio St. 86.4% 15.7% 80.1% 42.8% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Iowa 92.2% 5.0% 90.1% 51.1% 12.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
UCLA 95.1% 1.7% 94.3% 52.2% 12.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Indiana 43.4% 23.5% 33.1% 14.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Washington 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%