Maryland
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#86
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#78
Pace72.5#106
Improvement+0.9#107

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#115
First Shot+2.6#110
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#197
Layup/Dunks-0.3#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#229
Freethrows+6.1#2
Improvement+0.8#115

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#70
First Shot+4.1#60
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#198
Layups/Dunks+3.0#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#327
Freethrows+2.8#37
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 13.1% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.3% 13.0% 4.0%
Average Seed 9.4 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 18.9% 38.1% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 9.0% 21.3% 6.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.4% 6.5% 20.5%
First Four1.9% 3.5% 1.6%
First Round4.3% 10.7% 3.2%
Second Round1.8% 4.9% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 101 - 10
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 14
Quad 23 - 35 - 17
Quad 33 - 28 - 18
Quad 45 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 364 Coppin St. W 83-61 97%     1 - 0 +5.0 +6.0 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 7 85 Georgetown L 60-70 61%     1 - 1 -6.7 -11.8 +5.0
  Tue, Nov 11 333 Alcorn St. W 84-64 96%     2 - 1 +6.5 +2.8 +3.1
  Sat, Nov 15 83 @Marquette W 89-82 35%     3 - 1 +16.9 +13.6 +2.7
  Wed, Nov 19 307 Mount St. Mary's W 95-90 OT 94%     4 - 1 -6.1 +6.8 -13.4
  Mon, Nov 24 131 UNLV W 74-67 65%     5 - 1 +9.0 -2.8 +11.4
  Tue, Nov 25 4 Gonzaga L 61-100 8%     5 - 2 -17.4 -1.4 -16.0
  Wed, Nov 26 11 Alabama L 72-105 12%     5 - 3 -14.2 -1.3 -10.1
  Tue, Dec 2 297 Wagner W 89-63 93%     6 - 3 +15.4 +7.4 +6.5
  Sat, Dec 6 27 @Iowa L 65-76 15%    
  Sat, Dec 13 1 Michigan L 69-86 6%    
  Sat, Dec 20 26 @Virginia L 68-79 14%    
  Sun, Dec 28 220 Old Dominion W 81-68 88%    
  Fri, Jan 2 80 Oregon W 76-74 56%    
  Wed, Jan 7 24 Indiana L 72-77 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 31 @UCLA L 66-77 17%    
  Tue, Jan 13 32 @USC L 74-84 17%    
  Sun, Jan 18 96 Penn St. W 79-75 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 17 @Illinois L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 10 @Michigan St. L 63-79 7%    
  Sun, Feb 1 2 Purdue L 68-81 11%    
  Thu, Feb 5 25 Ohio St. L 73-78 31%    
  Sun, Feb 8 95 @Minnesota L 68-70 42%    
  Wed, Feb 11 27 Iowa L 68-73 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 120 @Rutgers L 71-72 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 60 @Northwestern L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 57 Washington L 75-76 49%    
  Wed, Feb 25 49 @Nebraska L 73-81 24%    
  Sun, Mar 1 120 Rutgers W 75-69 70%    
  Wed, Mar 4 36 @Wisconsin L 73-83 20%    
  Sun, Mar 8 17 Illinois L 74-82 24%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 2.6 0.8 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.0 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.1 12th
13th 0.2 3.0 5.5 1.7 0.1 10.5 13th
14th 0.2 2.1 5.8 2.9 0.3 11.2 14th
15th 0.1 1.4 5.5 4.4 0.6 0.0 12.0 15th
16th 0.1 1.3 4.7 5.2 1.3 0.0 12.6 16th
17th 0.1 1.2 4.1 5.0 1.6 0.2 12.1 17th
18th 0.3 1.6 3.5 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.3 18th
Total 0.3 1.7 4.7 8.9 12.7 14.6 15.3 13.9 11.4 7.4 4.5 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0%
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.3% 100.0% 100.0% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.5% 98.5% 98.5% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.5%
12-8 1.3% 84.1% 84.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 84.1%
11-9 2.5% 60.2% 0.3% 59.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 60.1%
10-10 4.5% 33.1% 33.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.1 3.0 33.1%
9-11 7.4% 5.8% 5.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 7.0 5.8%
8-12 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 11.0 0.1 11.4 0.5%
7-13 13.9% 13.9
6-14 15.3% 15.3
5-15 14.6% 14.6
4-16 12.7% 12.7
3-17 8.9% 8.9
2-18 4.7% 4.7
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 5.3% 0.0% 5.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.6 0.1 94.7 5.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%