Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -19.6 364
Expected Predictive Rating -18.4 357
Pace 71.0 114
Improvement +1.7 119

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F #362 F+ D+ F C D
Defense F+ #360 F F+ C- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 239 49% 351 -4.3 320
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 44 31% 350 +1.1 119
Three Pointers 36% 297 31% 295 -4.3 318
1st FG Attempt 0.86 358 -7.5 357
Second Chance 28.9% 230 0.96 275 0.28 256
Turnovers 22.9% 364
Freethrows 0.33 119 69% 291 0.23 159
Total Offense -10.9 362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 251 66% 349 -1.8 244
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 331 40% 261 +1.8 57
Three Pointers 48% 19 40% 363 -8.3 363
1st FG Attempt 1.19 364 -8.4 364
Second Chance 36.5% 351 1.12 305 0.41 351
Turnovers 16.5% 205
Freethrows 0.37 334 76% 346 0.28 352
Total Defense -8.7 360

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.1 312 +0.5 262
Shot Type Accuracy -6.6 355 +7.7 364
Possession Length 18.3 283 15.4 1
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 235 0.28 365
Improvement +1.4 #107 +0.2 #175

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 1% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 60% 34% 64%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: NC Central (Away) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 44 - 154 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 104 Maryland L 61 - 83 2% -13  1% 0 - 1 F -18 F -11 C B- F D -7 D C- C
 Wed, Nov 5 226 @La Salle L 59 - 87 5% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -28 F -18 F D F D- -9 F B+ C+
 Sun, Nov 9 222 @James Madison L 70 - 84 5% -13  0% 0 - 3 D- -14 D- -7 D A F D -7 F A C
 Wed, Nov 12 62 @South Florida L 50 - 100 1% -28  0% 0 - 4 F -38 F -19 F B- F F -20 F F D
 Fri, Nov 14 296 Central Michigan L 59 - 82 14% -13  1% 0 - 5 F -31 F -22 F C D D- -8 D+ F D
 Sat, Nov 15 191 South Alabama L 62 - 72 6% -5  12% 0 - 6 D- -12 F+ -9 F A D C- -3 D+ C C
 Sat, Nov 22 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 58 - 101 1% -23  0% 0 - 7 F -29 F -16 D F+ F F+ -11 F A F
 Tue, Nov 25 354 @Rider W 68 - 65 21% -5  8% 1 - 7 D+ -8 F -14 F C F B+ +6 B A B-
 Sun, Nov 30 312 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 95 11% -7  0% 1 - 8 F+ -17 B- +5 B F+ F+ F -22 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 3 56 @West Virginia L 49 - 91 1% -14  17% 1 - 9 F -29 F -17 F D+ D- F -12 D C F
 Sat, Dec 6 95 @Liberty L 50 - 92 1% -34  0% 1 - 10 F -34 F -23 F F F F -12 F F B+
 Tue, Dec 9 136 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 87 2% -14  9% 1 - 11 F+ -17 D+ -3 B- F C- F -15 F D+ D-
 Sun, Dec 14 233 @Radford L 77 - 107 5% -12  0% 1 - 12 F -31 F+ -8 C+ D+ F F -20 F F C+
 Fri, Dec 19 166 @Navy L 55 - 88 3% -12  0% 1 - 13 F -30 F -14 F+ F F+ F -18 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 76 @Georgetown L 67 - 97 1% -22  0% 1 - 14 F -19 D -5 C- B- D F -13 F B- F+
 Mon, Dec 29 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59 - 93 15% -18  0% 1 - 15 F -43 F -22 F F F F -19 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 3 359 @Delaware St. W 53 - 51 24% -1  28% 2 - 15 1 - 0 D -10 F -20 F B F A- +10 C+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 339 NC Central L 77 - 88 31% +3  64% 2 - 16 1 - 1 F -26 C- -1 A F D+ F -26 F F F+
 Mon, Jan 12 358 South Carolina St. L 72 - 74 44% -4  3% 2 - 17 1 - 2 F -20 D -6 F C F F -15 F D D+
 Sat, Jan 17 348 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 70 17% +0  42% 2 - 18 1 - 3 D- -12 C- -0 D+ B F F -12 C+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 24 307 @Norfolk St. L 76 - 103 10% -15  3% 2 - 19 1 - 4 F -33 F -10 D+ C F F -19 F C+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 352 Morgan St. L 80 - 89 39% -12  0% 2 - 20 1 - 5 F -26 F -11 D F F+ F -14 D- F C-
 Mon, Feb 2 237 Howard L 53 - 72 13% -8  1% 2 - 21 1 - 6 F -26 F -15 F C- D+ F -13 D- F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 359 Delaware St. W 65 - 47 45% +4  51% 3 - 21 2 - 6 C -0 F -11 F+ B F A +12 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Feb 14 339 @NC Central L 68 - 79 14%
 Mon, Feb 16 358 @South Carolina St. L 71 - 78 24%
 Sat, Feb 21 348 Maryland Eastern Shore L 65 - 69 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 307 Norfolk St. L 69 - 77 24%
 Mon, Mar 2 237 @Howard L 63 - 81 5%
 Thu, Mar 5 352 @Morgan St. L 74 - 83 19%
Totals 4 - 26 3 - 11 -20 F -11 F+ D+ F F+ -9 F F+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F D- D- D F+ 36% 28% 36% D F+ C- D+ D+ F B- D C F+ F+ D+ F F 36% 15% 48% D+ F F+ D F+ C- D- D- F+
0.93 49% 31% 31% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.0 .28 23% .33 69% .23 1.21 66% 40% 40% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.1 .41 17% .37 76% .25
Nov
3		 Maryland F F C A C- 44% 18% 38% B- C C- A B- F B B+ B+ D F A+ B- D+ 40% 6% 54% F D C+ D+ C- C F F F
0.89 45% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 29% .33 75% .25 1.22 74% 0% 31% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.2 .41 18% .44 92% .41
Nov
5		 La Salle F C+ F+ F F 32% 19% 49% C- F F A+ D F B+ A+ A+ D- F A+ F F 40% 27% 33% C+ F C- A B+ C+ F D- F
0.80 59% 30% 15% -15 0 0.72 18% 1.4 .25 22% .31 83% .26 1.18 67% 25% 53% +10 -1 1.20 34% 0.7 .25 19% .59 77% .45
Nov
9		 James Madison D- F F A+ D 40% 24% 36% D+ D B- A+ A F A+ C A+ D F F D F 31% 8% 62% D+ F C- A+ A C D F F
1.00 35% 10% 53% -5 0 0.90 34% 1.3 .46 26% .69 72% .50 1.19 69% 50% 38% +8 +1 1.19 30% 0.6 .18 17% .34 80% .27
Nov
12		 South Florida F F F F F 50% 27% 23% B- F C B B- F A+ B A+ F F F B F 30% 7% 63% B+ F F D+ F D F+ A- D+
0.73 36% 17% 20% -21 0 0.59 31% 1.1 .33 26% .43 73% .32 1.46 81% 100% 29% +7 +1 1.19 56% 1.3 .69 13% .45 67% .30
Nov
14		 Central Michigan F F F F F 42% 23% 35% D+ F D- A+ C D D C+ D+ D- D+ F A D 38% 26% 36% C D+ F D F D B- D C+
0.83 41% 17% 17% -21 0 0.60 30% 1.5 .43 18% .31 72% .22 1.16 60% 57% 26% +2 -1 1.04 40% 1.2 .49 16% .25 73% .18
Nov
15		 South Alabama F+ D+ F F F 38% 2% 60% A- F D- A+ A D A+ C+ A+ C- C A+ D- D 43% 15% 42% C- D+ F A+ C C B+ F C+
0.93 58% 0% 17% -16 +2 0.74 26% 1.9 .49 20% .32 76% .24 1.08 57% 25% 36% -1 +1 1.02 36% 0.8 .28 14% .26 73% .19
Nov
22		 Virginia Commonwealth F D- D+ D- D 40% 27% 33% D+ D D F F+ F F F F F+ F F D+ F 54% 6% 41% F F B A A F F D F
0.78 48% 36% 29% -7 -1 0.87 25% 0.7 .18 23% .17 60% .10 1.36 72% 67% 36% +11 +3 1.30 31% 0.9 .28 11% .48 78% .38
Nov
25		 Rider F D- F D+ F 58% 25% 17% D+ F A F C F B F D+ B+ A+ B+ D- A 51% 20% 29% F B F A+ A B- F F+ F
0.96 50% 31% 33% -7 +1 0.90 43% 0.8 .36 23% .33 50% .16 0.92 32% 30% 36% -14 +1 0.76 40% 0.4 .18 20% .56 75% .42
Nov
30		 Loyola Maryland B- B- A+ B- B+ 42% 29% 29% D B D F F+ F+ A+ C A+ F F F F 43% 0% 57% F F F F F B+ F F F
1.19 65% 57% 36% +9 -1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 18% .54 74% .40 1.35 75% 44% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.3 .56 21% .43 88% .38
Dec
3		 West Virginia F F B- F F 44% 31% 24% D+ F C- D- D+ D- A- D+ B+ F F B+ B+ D+ 41% 6% 53% F+ D D B C F F A- F
0.70 25% 36% 27% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.9 .21 21% .31 71% .22 1.30 76% 33% 30% +4 +2 1.14 36% 1.1 .38 10% .52 61% .32
Dec
6		 Liberty F D- F F F 31% 31% 39% F+ F D+ F F F A+ D- A- F F B F F 40% 6% 55% B- F F D F B+ A+ A+ A+
0.74 47% 20% 26% -13 -2 0.71 28% 0.5 .13 22% .34 67% .23 1.35 76% 33% 52% +22 +2 1.49 31% 1.1 .34 16% .12 57% .07
Dec
9		 Saint Joseph's D+ A+ A- F B+ 27% 43% 29% F B- F F F C- C A+ B F F F D F 23% 6% 70% C F A F D+ D- F F F
0.96 71% 45% 27% +4 -4 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 16% .23 85% .19 1.28 73% 67% 36% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 15% .42 88% .36
Dec
14		 Radford F+ D F A+ B- 34% 18% 48% D+ C+ D C+ D+ F C A- B- F F F F F 33% 9% 58% D+ F D- F F C+ B- C+ B-
0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27 1.37 83% 60% 47% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23
Dec
19		 Navy F C C- F D 21% 44% 35% F F+ D+ F F F+ B C- B- F D+ F D- F 33% 22% 46% C F F D- F C- F F F
0.82 60% 38% 24% -5 -4 0.83 26% 0.6 .16 21% .28 73% .21 1.31 60% 50% 38% +6 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .57 18% .53 83% .44
Dec
22		 Georgetown D D+ F+ A- C 31% 33% 35% D C- C- A B- D B- F D- F F F F F 42% 11% 47% F F A- D- B- F+ F B D-
0.93 50% 29% 39% -3 -2 0.92 28% 1.2 .33 19% .31 50% .15 1.34 70% 50% 42% +12 +1 1.29 28% 1.3 .34 10% .43 71% .31
Dec
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F C F D F 38% 19% 42% C F F B F F B C- B- F A D+ F D- 43% 10% 47% F F+ F F F D F A+ C-
0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17 1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21
Jan
3		 Delaware St. F D- F D- F 28% 30% 43% F F D+ A+ B F C F F A- A- A- B- B 50% 29% 21% F C+ F B D+ B B- A+ A+
0.81 55% 25% 29% -8 -2 0.83 28% 1.6 .44 29% .32 40% .13 0.78 42% 29% 30% -12 0 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 23% .26 38% .10
Jan
10		 NC Central C- D- B A+ A+ 27% 38% 35% F A F F F D+ F B- F+ F A- B F F 27% 32% 41% A+ F C- F F F+ F D+ F
1.18 54% 44% 65% +18 -3 1.31 29% 0.8 .21 20% .23 75% .17 1.35 45% 31% 53% +6 -2 1.10 30% 1.9 .56 14% .64 78% .50
Jan
12		 South Carolina St. D F C+ B- F 26% 16% 58% F F C+ C- C F A+ C+ A+ F F F+ F F 17% 44% 39% A F C+ F D D+ F C+ F
1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51 1.13 71% 44% 50% +15 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40
Jan
17		 Maryland Eastern Shore C- C B- D+ C- 26% 26% 49% F D+ A+ F B F A+ A+ A+ F B C+ C+ C+ 34% 27% 39% C+ C+ F F F D- F F F
1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49 1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Norfolk St. F A F D- D+ 37% 17% 46% D+ D+ D+ B- C F A+ F B+ F F A+ F F 39% 7% 54% F F D- A C+ A F F F
0.95 76% 25% 29% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 24% .62 47% .29 1.28 72% 0% 56% +21 +2 1.48 35% 0.8 .27 24% .70 77% .54
Jan
31		 Morgan St. F C- F A D+ 48% 23% 29% D D C+ F F F+ A+ F C F F A- C+ F+ 34% 28% 38% C- D- D- F F C- F B- F
1.05 60% 25% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 18% .57 57% .32 1.17 71% 29% 32% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.6 .54 18% .61 71% .44
Feb
2		 Howard F D C- F F 41% 26% 33% D- F A F C- D+ B- F D+ F D+ D+ C F+ 38% 12% 50% C- D- F C- F B- F D+ F
0.86 53% 33% 13% -13 0 0.74 44% 0.8 .33 21% .37 61% .23 1.17 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 47% 1.1 .53 23% .44 76% .33
Feb
7		 Delaware St. F F+ A- D D- 44% 26% 30% D F+ A- D+ B F A+ F B A A B A+ A+ 31% 45% 24% A A+ C- C- C- A+ F F F
0.98 53% 45% 31% -2 0 0.98 40% 1.1 .43 26% .47 57% .26 0.71 38% 32% 10% -17 -4 0.60 26% 0.8 .21 27% .43 81% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 1.2 2.8 0.9 4.9 6th
7th 9.2 25.2 20.1 5.5 0.2 60.2 7th
8th 17.7 13.1 3.0 0.1 33.9 8th
Total 26.8 38.4 24.3 8.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0% 0.0
7-7 0.2% 0.2
6-8 1.7% 1.7
5-9 8.6% 8.6
4-10 24.3% 24.3
3-11 38.4% 38.4
2-12 26.8% 26.8
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 26.8%