Navy
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.5 166
Expected Predictive Rating +0.5 153
Pace 65.2 274
Improvement +4.5 33

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #240 C- C D+ B- C-
Defense C+ #111 C+ C+ C B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 137 55% 259 -0.3 185
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 88 40% 117 +2.1 76
Three Pointers 35% 307 32% 243 -3.9 313
1st FG Attempt 0.98 239 -2.1 239
Second Chance 30.3% 187 1.07 120 0.32 147
Turnovers 18.8% 296
Freethrows 0.33 117 74% 131 0.24 102
Total Offense -2.5 240

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 348 63% 301 +3.2 75
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 59 40% 262 -2.1 331
Three Pointers 45% 71 30% 33 +0.8 147
1st FG Attempt 0.98 117 +1.9 116
Second Chance 30.4% 176 0.98 101 0.30 134
Turnovers 17.3% 156
Freethrows 0.25 29 75% 324 0.19 49
Total Defense +2.1 111

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 248 -1.1 29
Shot Type Accuracy -1.7 232 -0.8 156
Possession Length 18.2 273 17.5 216
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 259 0.15 109
Improvement +2.2 #77 +2.3 #65

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42% 44% 41%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 95% 100% 90%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round42% 44% 41%
Second Round1% 1% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 46.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 11 - 5
Quad 422 - 323 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 272 @Presbyterian W 76 - 55 61% +16  88% 1 - 0 A +18 B +6 B- C+ B A+ +14 A- A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 7 81 Yale L 68 - 97 34% -14  17% 1 - 1 F -25 F -15 D+ D F D- -8 C- F D+
 Tue, Nov 11 109 @Penn St. L 71 - 80 24% -6  6% 1 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D+ C F C -1 A- F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 26 @North Carolina L 61 - 73 5% -10  0% 1 - 3 B- +6 D- -7 F+ D A+ A+ +14 B A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 315 NJIT W 86 - 70 86% +10  92% 2 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +8 B+ C- C+ D+ -4 B+ F+ F+
 Wed, Nov 26 363 Gardner-Webb W 84 - 51 94% +16  96% 3 - 3 A- +14 B- +4 D+ A+ F A +12 B+ B- B+
 Fri, Nov 28 113 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 87 26% -21  0% 3 - 4 F -24 F -12 F F+ D+ F -14 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 270 SE Louisiana L 65 - 69 71% -7  21% 3 - 5 D -10 D -5 F+ D+ B- D -6 F D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 359 @Delaware St. W 66 - 59 86% +9  98% 4 - 5 D+ -5 F -11 F A- F B+ +6 B C- F
 Sun, Dec 7 349 Air Force W 61 - 56 91% -0  39% 5 - 5 D -11 F -13 F F B+ B- +3 A- C+ F+
 Fri, Dec 19 364 Coppin St. W 88 - 55 97% +12  94% 6 - 5 B +10 B +6 D+ A D+ B +5 C+ A D+
 Wed, Dec 31 275 Boston University W 82 - 77 80% +5  88% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C- -4 C +1 B D- C- D+ -5 C+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 321 @Holy Cross W 65 - 58 73% +6  92% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -0 D -4 D+ F+ D B +5 A+ F B
 Wed, Jan 7 324 Bucknell W 76 - 55 88% +7  59% 9 - 5 3 - 0 B- +8 C +1 C A- F+ A- +9 B A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 319 Lafayette W 76 - 50 88% +20  97% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B+ +13 C- -0 B D+ C- A+ +15 B+ A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 12 258 @American L 51 - 65 58% -11  0% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -17 F -19 F F+ F C+ +1 B B F
 Sat, Jan 17 306 @Lehigh W 82 - 79 2OT 68% -0  36% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 D- B+ F C +0 B B F
 Wed, Jan 21 321 Holy Cross W 85 - 68 88% +6  85% 12 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +4 A- +9 C+ A A D+ -4 D F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 341 Army W 84 - 56 91% +12  92% 13 - 6 7 - 1 B+ +13 A- +9 A+ A+ F B+ +7 C- A+ B
 Wed, Jan 28 275 @Boston University W 58 - 50 61% -2  34% 14 - 6 8 - 1 C+ +5 F+ -9 C F F A+ +15 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 312 Loyola Maryland W 87 - 71 86% +8  87% 15 - 6 9 - 1 C+ +4 A +12 A+ A+ D D -7 D C C
 Wed, Feb 4 319 @Lafayette W 65 - 50 73% +4  82% 16 - 6 10 - 1 B +8 D -5 F+ D- C A+ +15 C A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 258 American W 82 - 73 78% +3  73% 17 - 6 11 - 1 C +0 A- +10 A- C+ A D- -8 D C- B-
 Mon, Feb 9 324 @Bucknell W 76 - 60 74% +9  87% 18 - 6 12 - 1 B +9 C- -1 F+ A D+ A- +9 B+ B F+
 Sat, Feb 14 209 @Colgate L 69 - 70 47%
 Wed, Feb 18 306 Lehigh W 74 - 63 84%
 Sat, Feb 21 341 @Army W 75 - 66 79%
 Wed, Feb 25 312 @Loyola Maryland W 74 - 68 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 209 Colgate W 72 - 67 70%
Totals 22 - 7 16 - 2 +0 C- -3 C- C D+ C+ +2 C+ C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C+ C- C- 40% 25% 35% C- C- C C+ C D+ B- C+ B- C+ D D+ B+ C+ 31% 25% 45% B+ C+ C B- C+ C B+ D B
1.05 55% 40% 32% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.1 .32 19% .33 74% .24 1.06 63% 40% 30% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 17% .25 75% .25
Nov
3		 Presbyterian B B F C+ C+ 54% 15% 30% B B- C+ C C+ B A+ C- A A+ F A+ A+ A 36% 18% 45% D+ A- B- A+ A+ B+ F B F+
1.18 64% 29% 36% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 12% .43 67% .28 0.85 75% 25% 15% -9 0 0.84 29% 0.5 .15 23% .45 64% .28
Nov
7		 Yale F A F F D+ 41% 30% 30% D+ D+ F B+ D F A+ B A+ D- C- A- F C- 39% 16% 45% C- C- C F F D+ D+ D- D
0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37 1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29
Nov
11		 Penn St. C- C+ C+ D D+ 41% 27% 33% D+ D+ C- B+ C F B+ A+ A+ C D+ B- A B+ 36% 30% 34% A+ A- D F F D+ C+ D C
1.03 60% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.4 .38 23% .27 93% .25 1.17 63% 38% 28% -1 -1 0.96 33% 1.5 .52 13% .30 78% .23
Nov
18		 North Carolina D- F F C F 42% 28% 30% B- F+ C+ F D A+ B A+ A- A+ A+ F F A 53% 6% 40% F B A A+ A+ A+ D+ F F+
0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20 1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30
Nov
22		 NJIT B+ D A+ A+ A- 48% 25% 27% C- B+ C- D+ C- C+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ C- B B 21% 34% 45% A+ B+ D- D- F+ F+ F B- F
1.25 52% 50% 46% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.0 .32 13% .55 73% .40 1.02 27% 39% 29% -9 -3 0.77 31% 1.1 .33 15% .43 68% .29
Nov
26		 Gardner-Webb B- B D+ B C- 28% 26% 46% F D+ A- A+ A+ F B+ A+ A A D- F A+ B 27% 23% 50% A B+ A- D+ B- B+ B- F+ C+
1.26 69% 33% 38% +5 -1 1.09 43% 1.6 .70 21% .34 83% .29 0.77 62% 45% 17% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 24% .24 75% .18
Nov
28		 UNC Wilmington F F F F F 39% 19% 43% B+ F B F F+ D+ D A+ C F C- F F F 26% 35% 39% A F F F F A+ C+ D- C-
0.87 48% 30% 22% -13 0 0.76 32% 0.6 .18 15% .20 91% .18 1.34 58% 56% 44% +13 -3 1.22 57% 1.4 .79 23% .34 76% .26
Nov
29		 SE Louisiana D C+ F F F+ 43% 29% 29% C- F+ F+ B+ D+ B- A+ F+ A D F D+ F F 26% 42% 33% A+ F B- F D+ A+ C F D
1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36 1.07 73% 39% 57% +16 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25
Dec
3		 Delaware St. F F+ A+ F F 45% 16% 39% C F C- A+ A- F A+ D+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ B 28% 40% 32% B+ B A- F C- F C- B+ C
0.93 53% 50% 20% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.6 .47 25% .60 69% .41 0.83 53% 24% 24% -12 -3 0.72 19% 1.1 .21 11% .30 63% .19
Dec
7		 Air Force F F+ F C+ F 42% 29% 29% D+ F F C- F B+ D A+ B B- B- D- A+ A- 27% 21% 52% A A- A- F C+ F+ B A- B
0.96 50% 29% 36% -5 -1 0.90 18% 1.0 .18 13% .27 93% .25 0.88 54% 40% 24% -8 -1 0.83 17% 1.3 .22 17% .27 57% .15
Dec
19		 Coppin St. B C- A B- C- 33% 22% 46% D D+ A B A D+ A+ A- A+ B D D+ A+ C- 21% 44% 35% A+ C+ B- A+ A D+ B D B-
1.31 60% 50% 38% +6 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .57 18% .53 83% .44 0.82 60% 38% 24% -5 -4 0.83 26% 0.6 .16 21% .28 73% .21
Dec
31		 Boston University C B- C+ A+ B+ 30% 20% 50% D+ B C- F D- C- A+ C+ A+ D+ C- F B D+ 27% 34% 39% A+ C+ A+ F B F A F B
1.22 62% 44% 45% +11 -1 1.23 29% 0.8 .24 13% .51 73% .38 1.14 60% 58% 32% +6 -3 1.09 13% 1.5 .19 12% .20 83% .17
Jan
3		 Holy Cross D C F F D- 64% 16% 20% A D+ C F F+ D A A+ A+ B A+ B B A+ 28% 30% 43% B- A+ F F F B C- D D+
1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29 0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22
Jan
7		 Bucknell C B- F A+ C 37% 24% 39% C- C B A- A- F+ B- B+ B A- D A+ A B 27% 17% 56% B- B A- A+ A+ C C+ D+ C+
1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27 0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21
Jan
10		 Lafayette C- B+ A+ B- B+ 33% 26% 41% D+ B F A+ D+ C- A+ F B- A+ D A+ B B 27% 23% 50% A B+ A A+ A+ A- D B C-
1.14 67% 50% 37% +8 -1 1.15 21% 1.6 .32 15% .47 48% .23 0.75 62% 9% 29% -9 -1 0.81 19% 0.3 .05 21% .32 65% .21
Jan
12		 American F F D- F F 38% 23% 40% D+ F D- F F+ F A+ C- A C+ F F A+ B+ 35% 6% 59% D B F A+ B F A D+ A
0.82 47% 33% 19% -14 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .19 22% .50 71% .35 1.04 68% 67% 22% -5 +2 0.94 37% 0.5 .17 11% .16 78% .13
Jan
17		 Lehigh D+ F A A+ F+ 49% 19% 32% B D- A C- B+ F C D C- C F F A+ B- 22% 35% 43% A+ B A- C B F B F C+
1.06 31% 50% 47% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.0 .45 21% .33 70% .23 1.03 71% 48% 21% -2 -3 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 10% .23 81% .19
Jan
21		 Holy Cross A- B+ A D+ B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ F A+ A A A+ B+ A+ D+ F D B- F 25% 42% 33% A+ D F+ F+ F B+ B F C+
1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35 1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19
Jan
24		 Army A- C A+ A+ A+ 24% 33% 43% F A+ A A A+ F B+ C+ B+ B+ D- F B- D 17% 20% 63% A+ C- A- A+ A+ B C+ A+ B
1.33 60% 50% 56% +18 -3 1.33 43% 1.4 .61 21% .40 75% .30 0.89 63% 44% 31% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 21% .24 58% .14
Jan
28		 Boston University F+ D+ A+ D+ C 44% 22% 33% C C D+ F F F F A+ F A+ A C A- A+ 44% 13% 44% D- A+ F A+ C- A+ A B A
1.03 55% 70% 33% +5 0 1.13 27% 0.7 .19 20% .04 100% .04 0.89 47% 40% 29% -7 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .27 25% .21 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Loyola Maryland A A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 35% 24% F+ A+ A+ A A+ D F F F D B- B+ F F+ 22% 20% 59% A D D- B+ C C A- F C+
1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09 1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17
Feb
4		 Lafayette D C+ B+ F D- 41% 39% 20% F+ F+ D D D- C D B D+ A+ F+ F A+ C+ 36% 6% 57% D C A A+ A+ A- A+ F A
1.02 62% 45% 10% -3 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 14% .24 77% .18 0.79 65% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 18% 0.0 .00 20% .12 100% .12
Feb
7		 American A- C A+ A+ A- 45% 25% 30% C- A- C- B+ C+ A A+ D+ A D- F F+ C- F+ 21% 17% 62% A D F A- C- B- B A+ A-
1.27 60% 55% 46% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 14% .52 69% .36 1.13 73% 44% 34% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 19% .21 64% .13
Feb
9		 Bucknell C- D+ B- F D- 38% 33% 29% D- F+ B+ A A D+ C B+ C+ A- F A+ A+ A- 35% 11% 55% D+ B+ B+ D+ B F+ A+ F A
1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25 0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.8 10.3 29.9 36.5 17.0 94.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.2 2.9 5.4 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.3 3.1 13.2 29.9 36.5 17.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 17.0    17.0
16-2 100.0% 36.5    36.5
15-3 100.0% 29.9    27.2 2.8
14-4 78.3% 10.3    5.1 5.3
13-5 27.1% 0.8    0.2 0.7
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 94.6% 94.6 85.9 8.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 17.0% 47.1% 47.1% 13.7 0.2 2.8 4.4 0.6 0.0 9.0
16-2 36.5% 44.3% 44.3% 14.5 0.9 7.2 7.7 0.4 20.3
15-3 29.9% 42.4% 42.4% 14.8 0.1 3.2 7.9 1.5 17.2
14-4 13.2% 34.7% 34.7% 15.1 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.2 8.6
13-5 3.1% 31.4% 31.4% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 2.1
12-6 0.3% 23.3% 23.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 42.5% 42.5% 0.0% 14.5 57.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.0% 100.0% 13.7 1.9 35.2 55.1 7.7 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.2%