Preseason Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#205
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#221
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.7% 26.2% 17.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.3 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 74.9% 85.8% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 83.5% 88.9% 78.5%
Conference Champion 29.1% 35.6% 23.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.1% 2.7%
First Four6.1% 5.7% 6.5%
First Round21.0% 25.9% 16.5%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 47.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 32 - 6
Quad 417 - 718 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 267   @ Presbyterian L 66-67 48%    
  Nov 07, 2025 92   Yale L 68-74 28%    
  Nov 11, 2025 90   @ Penn St. L 67-79 13%    
  Nov 18, 2025 25   @ North Carolina L 64-86 3%    
  Nov 22, 2025 357   NJIT W 74-60 89%    
  Nov 26, 2025 307   Gardner-Webb W 74-69 67%    
  Nov 28, 2025 118   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-74 21%    
  Nov 29, 2025 243   SE Louisiana W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 03, 2025 338   @ Delaware St. W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 07, 2025 280   Air Force W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 19, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 76-59 92%    
  Dec 31, 2025 277   Boston University W 68-62 69%    
  Jan 03, 2026 352   @ Holy Cross W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 07, 2026 287   Bucknell W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 10, 2026 308   Lafayette W 71-63 74%    
  Jan 12, 2026 303   @ American W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 17, 2026 306   @ Lehigh W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 21, 2026 352   Holy Cross W 75-63 84%    
  Jan 24, 2026 353   Army W 76-64 84%    
  Jan 28, 2026 277   @ Boston University L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 31, 2026 317   Loyola Maryland W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 04, 2026 308   @ Lafayette W 68-66 55%    
  Feb 07, 2026 303   American W 69-62 73%    
  Feb 09, 2026 287   @ Bucknell W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 14, 2026 216   @ Colgate L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 18, 2026 306   Lehigh W 73-65 73%    
  Feb 21, 2026 353   @ Army W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 25, 2026 317   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 28, 2026 216   Colgate W 72-69 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.6 6.5 7.2 6.1 3.4 1.1 29.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 5.3 6.3 4.1 1.5 0.2 19.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.9 1.9 0.3 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.4 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.7 0.3 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.2 5.8 8.0 9.7 11.1 12.4 11.9 10.8 8.7 6.3 3.4 1.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 100.0% 3.4    3.3 0.0
16-2 96.5% 6.1    5.4 0.6 0.0
15-3 83.0% 7.2    5.5 1.6 0.1
14-4 59.6% 6.5    3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 30.2% 3.6    1.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.6% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 29.1% 29.1 20.6 6.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 61.7% 61.7% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-1 3.4% 59.3% 59.3% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4
16-2 6.3% 48.4% 48.4% 14.4 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 3.2
15-3 8.7% 41.3% 41.3% 15.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.8 5.1
14-4 10.8% 32.9% 32.9% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.6 7.3
13-5 11.9% 25.2% 25.2% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.2 8.9
12-6 12.4% 17.2% 17.2% 18.2 0.1 0.5 1.9 10.3
11-7 11.1% 14.0% 14.0% 18.4 0.0 0.2 1.5 9.6
10-8 9.7% 10.7% 10.7% 18.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.7
9-9 8.0% 7.1% 7.1% 17.1 0.0 0.6 7.4
8-10 5.8% 4.6% 4.6% 16.2 0.3 5.6
7-11 4.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 4.1
6-12 3.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-13 1.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-15 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.7% 21.7% 0.0% 16.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.1 6.1 10.3 78.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%