Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#235
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#208
Pace60.4#359
Improvement+0.0#193

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#124
First Shot+4.4#63
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#328
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#105
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#25
Freethrows-1.6#262
Improvement+0.5#143

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#344
First Shot-5.0#332
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#255
Layups/Dunks-1.2#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#299
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement-0.5#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 15.3% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 65.1% 73.3% 50.5%
.500 or above in Conference 75.9% 79.1% 70.3%
Conference Champion 16.7% 19.2% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.3% 4.6%
First Four4.3% 3.9% 4.9%
First Round11.7% 13.3% 8.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 415 - 817 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 227 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 37%     1 - 0 +0.0 -0.2 +0.2
  Fri, Nov 7 60 @Northwestern L 52-76 7%     1 - 1 -11.8 -8.0 -7.6
  Wed, Nov 12 225 Brown W 90-77 59%     2 - 1 +6.2 +26.3 -18.9
  Sat, Nov 15 277 Merrimack L 79-91 68%     2 - 2 -21.4 +9.4 -31.8
  Tue, Nov 18 140 @Columbia L 49-54 20%     2 - 3 -0.5 -13.9 +12.5
  Sat, Nov 22 193 Harvard W 75-74 41%     3 - 3 -1.2 +8.3 -9.4
  Tue, Nov 25 96 @Penn St. L 87-96 12%     3 - 4 -0.9 +24.7 -26.5
  Sat, Nov 29 181 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 28%     3 - 5 -7.5 +0.7 -9.4
  Sat, Dec 6 344 @New Hampshire W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Dec 10 326 Maine W 69-61 77%    
  Sat, Dec 13 261 @Dartmouth L 73-75 43%    
  Sun, Dec 21 314 Umass Lowell W 78-71 75%    
  Wed, Dec 31 198 @Navy L 68-73 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 250 American W 74-71 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 331 @Lafayette W 71-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 342 Army W 77-67 81%    
  Wed, Jan 14 299 Lehigh W 73-67 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 319 @Loyola Maryland W 74-72 56%    
  Wed, Jan 21 331 Lafayette W 74-66 78%    
  Sat, Jan 24 176 @Colgate L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Jan 28 198 Navy W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 @Bucknell W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Feb 2 301 @Holy Cross W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 319 Loyola Maryland W 77-69 76%    
  Wed, Feb 11 342 @Army W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 304 Bucknell W 74-68 72%    
  Mon, Feb 16 176 Colgate L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 299 @Lehigh W 71-70 51%    
  Wed, Feb 25 301 Holy Cross W 73-67 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 250 @American L 71-74 41%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.5 3.5 4.9 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.1 16.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.9 5.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.4 6.8 4.6 1.1 0.1 16.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.0 3.5 0.6 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 4.3 2.5 0.3 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.6 0.3 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.4 6.5 9.1 11.9 12.9 14.1 12.7 10.1 7.1 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 98.2% 2.0    1.9 0.1
15-3 88.9% 3.8    3.1 0.6 0.0
14-4 68.1% 4.9    3.1 1.6 0.2
13-5 34.8% 3.5    1.4 1.6 0.5 0.0
12-6 12.1% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.7% 16.7 10.5 4.7 1.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 38.9% 38.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 43.8% 43.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.0% 37.0% 37.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.3
15-3 4.3% 35.3% 35.3% 14.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 2.8
14-4 7.1% 29.6% 29.6% 15.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 5.0
13-5 10.1% 22.8% 22.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 7.8
12-6 12.7% 17.5% 17.5% 15.7 0.1 0.6 1.6 10.5
11-7 14.1% 11.8% 11.8% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 12.4
10-8 12.9% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.1 1.2 11.6
9-9 11.9% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.0
8-10 9.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.5 8.6
7-11 6.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 6.3
6-12 4.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.3
5-13 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-15 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.2 8.1 86.2 0.0%