Preseason Rankings
Patriot League
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
216 Colgate 23.2%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 13 12 - 6 -3.2      -1.3 212 -2.0 237 67.4 202 0.0 1 0.0 1
224 Navy 21.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 12 12 - 6 -3.5      -2.0 230 -1.5 221 67.4 205 0.0 1 0.0 1
277 Boston University 11.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 15 10 - 8 -6.4      -4.4 300 -1.9 236 60.4 351 0.0 1 0.0 1
287 Bucknell 9.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 17 9 - 9 -7.0      -4.4 297 -2.7 267 68.8 154 0.0 1 0.0 1
303 American 7.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 9 - 9 -8.0      -5.3 320 -2.7 269 60.8 349 0.0 1 0.0 1
306 Lehigh 7.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 9 -8.1      -4.7 308 -3.4 286 67.5 200 0.0 1 0.0 1
308 Lafayette 7.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -8.2      -6.1 339 -2.1 243 65.9 239 0.0 1 0.0 1
317 Loyola Maryland 6.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 10 -8.8      -5.0 314 -3.8 296 66.4 221 0.0 1 0.0 1
352 Holy Cross 2.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 12 -12.4      -5.4 324 -6.9 353 65.1 263 0.0 1 0.0 1
353 Army 2.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 12 -12.5      -6.6 344 -5.9 345 69.0 149 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 3.2 31.2 20.0 13.7 10.2 8.1 5.8 4.5 3.3 2.1 1.0
Navy 3.3 29.1 19.4 14.4 11.0 8.4 6.2 5.0 3.3 2.2 1.0
Boston University 4.5 14.1 14.0 13.4 12.6 11.1 10.4 8.6 7.0 5.4 3.3
Bucknell 4.8 11.6 12.3 12.7 11.9 11.7 10.8 9.8 8.1 6.6 4.4
American 5.3 9.0 10.0 11.4 11.4 11.8 11.2 10.7 9.9 8.7 6.0
Lehigh 5.3 8.6 10.0 11.0 11.4 11.6 11.4 10.9 10.0 8.7 6.5
Lafayette 5.4 8.3 10.0 10.9 11.2 11.7 11.2 11.0 10.4 8.9 6.4
Loyola Maryland 5.7 6.9 8.7 9.7 10.8 11.4 11.3 11.8 11.5 10.2 7.9
Holy Cross 7.3 1.7 3.0 4.5 6.2 7.4 9.7 12.2 15.1 18.1 22.1
Army 7.3 1.8 2.8 4.4 5.9 7.9 9.6 11.7 14.9 18.4 22.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 4.0 5.5 7.7 9.3 10.7 11.9 12.3 11.4 9.3 6.9 3.7 1.3
Navy 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.2 5.8 8.0 9.7 11.1 12.4 11.9 10.8 8.7 6.3 3.4 1.1
Boston University 10 - 8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.1 6.0 8.3 9.5 10.6 11.6 11.2 9.8 8.6 6.7 4.3 2.4 1.1 0.3
Bucknell 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.6 5.3 7.1 8.9 10.4 11.2 10.9 10.6 9.3 7.6 5.5 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.2
American 9 - 9 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.7 6.6 8.6 9.9 10.7 11.5 10.6 9.5 8.1 6.0 4.3 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
Lehigh 9 - 9 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.1 6.6 8.6 9.7 11.0 11.1 10.8 9.5 7.8 6.0 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
Lafayette 9 - 9 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.0 7.0 8.6 10.0 11.2 11.0 10.5 9.3 8.0 5.7 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.8 5.8 7.6 9.7 10.7 10.9 11.3 9.7 8.5 7.1 5.3 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
Holy Cross 6 - 12 1.2 3.7 6.8 9.1 11.4 12.2 12.2 11.2 9.7 7.4 5.7 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Army 6 - 12 1.3 3.9 7.0 9.4 11.4 12.1 12.2 11.0 9.4 7.7 5.5 4.0 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 31.2% 22.4 7.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Navy 29.1% 20.6 6.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Boston University 14.1% 9.2 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Bucknell 11.6% 7.3 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
American 9.0% 5.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
Lehigh 8.6% 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lafayette 8.3% 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Loyola Maryland 6.9% 4.0 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Holy Cross 1.7% 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Army 1.8% 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 23.2% 23.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 4.9 7.1 9.3 76.8 0.0%
Navy 21.7% 21.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.1 6.1 10.3 78.3 0.0%
Boston University 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.4 7.5 88.1 0.0%
Bucknell 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 6.4 90.1 0.0%
American 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 5.6 92.1 0.0%
Lehigh 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 5.3 92.5 0.0%
Lafayette 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 5.6 92.5 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.8 93.8 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 97.8 0.0%
Army 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.1 97.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 23.2% 5.3% 22.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 21.7% 6.1% 21.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 11.9% 5.0% 10.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 9.9% 4.4% 8.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 7.9% 3.9% 6.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 7.5% 3.6% 6.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 7.5% 3.9% 6.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 6.2% 3.5% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.6% 0.9 16.4 76.1 7.5
2nd Round 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0