Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#302
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#339
Pace68.1#207
Improvement+0.4#155

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#242
First Shot-2.1#236
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#211
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#237
Freethrows+2.1#73
Improvement+1.0#96

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#328
First Shot-4.6#323
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#232
Layups/Dunks+1.1#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
Freethrows-3.4#344
Improvement-0.7#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 5.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 9.9% 12.0% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 40.3% 43.0% 31.6%
Conference Champion 5.5% 6.2% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 19.5% 17.9% 24.9%
First Four4.5% 4.8% 3.4%
First Round3.1% 3.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 76.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 411 - 1412 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 7%     0 - 1 +1.6 -5.8 +7.6
  Nov 08, 2024 231   Harvard W 85-80 46%     1 - 1 -1.7 +7.1 -9.0
  Nov 12, 2024 300   Rider L 79-90 61%     1 - 2 -21.4 +1.9 -23.5
  Nov 17, 2024 295   Campbell L 66-86 60%     1 - 3 -30.2 -11.3 -18.6
  Nov 19, 2024 245   Quinnipiac L 63-74 50%     1 - 4 -18.8 -9.6 -9.6
  Nov 29, 2024 274   @ Penn W 86-78 33%     2 - 4 +4.8 +9.7 -4.9
  Nov 30, 2024 179   Elon L 63-69 26%     2 - 5 -6.9 -8.6 +1.5
  Dec 01, 2024 212   Maine L 66-71 31%     2 - 6 -7.5 -2.2 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 352   @ NJIT L 64-69 57%     2 - 7 -14.5 -7.2 -7.5
  Dec 15, 2024 126   @ Virginia Tech L 72-80 12%     2 - 8 -2.7 +13.7 -17.6
  Dec 21, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 29, 2024 222   @ William & Mary L 77-85 24%    
  Jan 02, 2025 242   American L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 05, 2025 246   Lafayette W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 08, 2025 310   @ Holy Cross L 72-74 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 313   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 15, 2025 223   Colgate L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 264   @ Bucknell L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 22, 2025 256   Boston University W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 26, 2025 299   @ Army L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 29, 2025 244   @ Lehigh L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 264   Bucknell W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 05, 2025 256   @ Boston University L 66-71 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 246   @ Lafayette L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 244   Lehigh W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 299   Army W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 223   @ Colgate L 67-74 25%    
  Feb 23, 2025 310   Holy Cross W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 26, 2025 242   @ American L 66-72 30%    
  Mar 01, 2025 313   Loyola Maryland W 73-69 63%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.4 4.4 1.2 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 5.8 1.9 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.9 2.8 0.2 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.5 4.3 0.3 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.9 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.1 4.8 4.2 1.1 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 3.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 12.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.6 5.9 9.3 11.5 13.5 13.9 12.7 10.2 7.5 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 97.6% 0.6    0.5 0.0
14-4 84.1% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 59.8% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 27.6% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 30.8% 30.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 25.9% 25.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
14-4 1.5% 19.4% 19.4% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.2
13-5 2.8% 18.2% 18.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 2.3
12-6 4.8% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.2
11-7 7.5% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 6.6
10-8 10.2% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.8 9.4
9-9 12.7% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.0 11.8
8-10 13.9% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 13.4
7-11 13.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 13.3
6-12 11.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.3
5-13 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
4-14 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-15 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.1 94.7 0.0%