Penn
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#208
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#262
Pace64.4#318
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#142
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#309
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.3% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 37.3% 55.4% 28.0%
.500 or above in Conference 47.9% 56.4% 43.6%
Conference Champion 6.9% 9.4% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 13.0% 9.2% 15.0%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round6.1% 8.1% 5.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Home) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 49 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 354   @ NJIT W 58-57 78%     1 - 0 -9.7 -13.2 +3.6
  Nov 07, 2024 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 87-84 91%     2 - 0 -14.5 +5.9 -20.4
  Nov 12, 2024 216   @ Lafayette L 63-65 39%     2 - 1 -2.0 +5.3 -7.6
  Nov 15, 2024 106   Saint Joseph's L 71-75 34%    
  Nov 19, 2024 77   @ Villanova L 64-77 11%    
  Nov 29, 2024 259   Navy W 74-69 69%    
  Nov 30, 2024 243   Maine W 70-66 66%    
  Dec 01, 2024 272   Elon W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 09, 2024 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-77 9%    
  Dec 20, 2024 227   Rider W 74-70 62%    
  Dec 22, 2024 95   @ George Mason L 65-76 16%    
  Dec 29, 2024 36   @ Penn St. L 67-84 7%    
  Jan 11, 2025 329   @ Dartmouth W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 183   Cornell W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 20, 2025 236   @ Harvard L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 182   Columbia W 76-75 56%    
  Jan 31, 2025 199   Brown W 72-69 58%    
  Feb 01, 2025 110   Yale L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 07, 2025 107   Princeton L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 14, 2025 110   @ Yale L 68-78 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 199   @ Brown L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 21, 2025 329   Dartmouth W 73-63 80%    
  Feb 22, 2025 236   Harvard W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 28, 2025 183   @ Cornell L 76-80 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 182   @ Columbia L 73-78 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 107   @ Princeton L 69-79 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.5 1.0 0.1 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 6.3 3.8 0.7 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 7.7 4.2 0.5 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 8.1 4.3 0.4 16.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 7.3 3.7 0.3 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.9 2.6 0.2 14.2 7th
8th 0.3 1.4 2.6 2.2 0.9 0.1 7.4 8th
Total 0.3 1.5 3.8 7.0 11.1 13.4 15.1 14.9 12.4 9.2 6.3 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 94.2% 1.4    1.1 0.2
11-3 69.7% 2.2    1.3 0.9 0.1
10-4 32.6% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 7.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.6 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 30.4% 30.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.5% 38.5% 38.5% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.4% 30.3% 30.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-3 3.2% 26.1% 26.1% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
10-4 6.3% 19.1% 19.1% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 5.1
9-5 9.2% 14.6% 14.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 7.8
8-6 12.4% 11.1% 11.1% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 11.0
7-7 14.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 14.0
6-8 15.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.9
5-9 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-10 11.1% 11.1
3-11 7.0% 7.0
2-12 3.8% 3.8
1-13 1.5% 1.5
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.2 93.6 0.0%