Preseason Rankings
Penn
Ivy League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#278
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#193
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.7% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 17.7% 27.9% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 24.1% 31.4% 18.3%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.6% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 35.9% 28.7% 41.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.5% 3.7% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 47 - 59 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2025 303   @ American L 67-68 45%    
  Nov 11, 2025 59   @ Providence L 63-82 4%    
  Nov 19, 2025 111   Saint Joseph's L 69-76 26%    
  Nov 21, 2025 227   @ Drexel L 63-69 30%    
  Nov 28, 2025 257   Merrimack W 67-65 56%    
  Nov 29, 2025 196   La Salle L 73-74 46%    
  Nov 30, 2025 178   Hofstra L 65-67 44%    
  Dec 08, 2025 308   Lafayette W 72-67 66%    
  Dec 20, 2025 81   @ Rutgers L 65-81 8%    
  Dec 28, 2025 99   @ George Mason L 61-75 10%    
  Dec 31, 2025 357   NJIT W 75-64 82%    
  Jan 05, 2026 171   @ Princeton L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 10, 2026 168   Brown L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 17, 2026 230   @ Dartmouth L 72-78 32%    
  Jan 19, 2026 172   @ Harvard L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 24, 2026 92   Yale L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 30, 2026 265   @ Columbia L 77-81 36%    
  Jan 31, 2026 160   @ Cornell L 75-84 23%    
  Feb 07, 2026 171   Princeton L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 13, 2026 265   Columbia W 80-78 57%    
  Feb 14, 2026 160   Cornell L 78-81 40%    
  Feb 21, 2026 92   @ Yale L 66-81 11%    
  Feb 27, 2026 230   Dartmouth W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 28, 2026 172   Harvard L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 06, 2026 168   @ Brown L 65-73 25%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 4.8 2.0 0.1 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.4 3.7 6.5 2.3 0.2 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.1 7.5 2.5 0.2 16.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 7.4 7.6 2.7 0.2 20.7 7th
8th 2.7 6.7 8.4 5.8 1.6 0.1 25.3 8th
Total 2.7 7.0 11.0 14.2 14.7 14.2 12.1 9.3 6.7 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 89.9% 0.4    0.4 0.1
11-3 67.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
10-4 30.7% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 40.2% 40.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 41.7% 41.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.5% 39.8% 39.8% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
11-3 1.2% 30.1% 30.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
10-4 2.2% 19.9% 19.9% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
9-5 4.0% 12.5% 12.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.5
8-6 6.7% 9.2% 9.2% 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 6.1
7-7 9.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.0
6-8 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 18.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
5-9 14.2% 14.2
4-10 14.7% 14.7
3-11 14.2% 14.2
2-12 11.0% 11.0
1-13 7.0% 7.0
0-14 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%