Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.3 162
Results Rating +0.8 146
Consistency 0.12 35
Pace 71.8 93
Improvement +3.3 64

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 209 C C C C+ D
Defense C+ 137 C C+ C A- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 250 D- 51% 324 -3.9 319
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 70 C 37% 197 +2.2 68
Three Pointers 37% 259 A- 39% 12 +1.0 148
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 305 C +0.3 155
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 193
Second Chance C 30.8% 167 C- 0.98 258 C 0.30 191
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 213
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 150
Turnovers C 16.7% 181
Freethrows B- 0.33 101 D+ 69% 276 C+ 0.23 147
Total Offense C- -1.6 209

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 256 D 13.7% 327
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 19 C+ 4.1% 118
Three Pointers C- 83% 217 C 0.9% 193
Total C 57% 156 D+ 6.4% 274


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 65 D+ 62% 290 +4.3 322
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 149 D+ 41% 287 +0.9 265
Three Pointers 36% 327 B+ 30% 40 -4.6 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 214 C +0.3 194
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 195
Second Chance C 30.5% 194 B 0.94 52 C+ 0.29 105
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 278
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 66
Turnovers C 16.4% 196
Freethrows B 0.26 46 A+ 65% 2 A- 0.17 16
Total Defense C+ +1.2 137

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 136 C- 9.3% 235
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 106 D 2.4% 315
Three Pointers B- 81% 97 D- -0.1% 359
Total B 50% 63 D+ 4.5% 263

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 61 17.5 220
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 318 0.18 226
Consistency 0.10 33 0.09 4
Improvement -2.2 295 +5.5 10

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 180 163 141
Results Rating Rank 174 147 114
Conference Record 8 - 6 9 - 5 9 - 5
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 15% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.8 14.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round14% 15% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Brown (Away) - 62.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 35 - 55 - 10
Quad 410 - 215 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 255 @American L 78 - 84 57% -3  13% 0 - 1 D -8 D -5 D+ D- F C- -3 D- C+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 61 @Providence L 81 - 106 12% -10  5% 0 - 2 D- -13 C- -2 F+ C+ B D- -8 D- F A
 Mon, Nov 17 116 Saint Joseph's W 83 - 74 48% +1  55% 1 - 2 B +9 B +6 A D D- B- +2 D A+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 214 @Drexel W 84 - 68 49% +9  98% 2 - 2 A- +16 A+ +15 B+ A+ C- C+ +1 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 28 173 Merrimack W 77 - 65 64% +4  60% 3 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 B C B+ B+ +6 A C+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 210 La Salle W 73 - 71 70% -3  28% 4 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 B A C D- -8 A F D
 Sun, Nov 30 103 Hofstra L 60 - 77 44% -4  32% 4 - 3 F+ -16 F -12 F B+ C- D+ -5 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 38 Villanova L 63 - 90 10% -15  0% 4 - 4 D- -13 C- -2 C- B- C- F -13 F B+ C+
 Mon, Dec 8 324 Lafayette W 74 - 72 89% +6  96% 5 - 4 D- -12 F+ -9 D- F+ B- C- -2 F A B-
 Sat, Dec 20 109 @Rutgers L 69 - 70 25% +4  89% 5 - 5 B- +6 C- -1 F A+ D- A- +7 B- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 105 @George Mason L 79 - 83 24% -3  21% 5 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 A+ D- A- D -5 D F F
 Wed, Dec 31 331 NJIT W 80 - 61 90% +6  52% 6 - 6 C+ +4 C -0 A F+ C- B +5 B- B+ B
 Mon, Jan 5 239 @Princeton L 76 - 78 54% +1  61% 6 - 7 0 - 1 C- -3 C+ +4 F+ A+ F D- -7 F A- D
 Sat, Jan 10 282 Brown W 81 - 73 81% +1  57% 7 - 7 1 - 1 C- -2 B +7 B+ F+ A F+ -9 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 267 @Dartmouth W 84 - 74 60% +1  44% 8 - 7 2 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 C+ B- A+ B- +2 B C- C-
 Mon, Jan 19 153 @Harvard L 63 - 64 36% -1  27% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +2 C- -1 C- F C- B- +3 C- B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 88 Yale L 60 - 77 36% -5  15% 8 - 9 2 - 3 D- -14 F -14 D- D- D+ C -0 B- C+ A
 Fri, Jan 30 190 @Columbia L 67 - 72 45% -5  2% 8 - 10 2 - 4 C- -4 D -5 D C- B C+ +1 F A- A
 Sat, Jan 31 163 @Cornell W 91 - 81 39% +11  97% 9 - 10 3 - 4 B+ +13 B+ +8 A+ F F B +4 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 239 Princeton W 61 - 60 75% +5  90% 10 - 10 4 - 4 D+ -6 D- -6 D+ D B- C +0 B B F
 Fri, Feb 13 190 Columbia W 76 - 67 67% -2  7% 11 - 10 5 - 4 C+ +4 C- -2 C C C B+ +6 C- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 163 Cornell W 82 - 76 62% +3  72% 12 - 10 6 - 4 C+ +3 D- -8 F D+ B A +10 A- D+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 88 @Yale L 70 - 74 18% +2  56% 12 - 11 6 - 5 B- +5 C- -1 C F+ B- B+ +6 A+ C+ C
 Fri, Feb 27 267 Dartmouth W 80 - 71 79% -3  23% 13 - 11 7 - 5 C +0 C +1 C+ D C+ C -1 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 153 Harvard W 64 - 61 59% -2  27% 14 - 11 8 - 5 C +0 F -12 D- C D+ A+ +12 A B- A+
 Fri, Mar 6 282 @Brown W 71 - 68 62%
Totals 15 - 11 9 - 5 +0 C- -2 B- C D C+ +1 A- D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- C A- C 36% 48% 37% D C C C- C C B- D+ C+ C+ D+ D+ B+ C 43% 21% 36% C- C C B C+ C B A+ A-
1.06 51% 37% 39% 0 -1 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 17% .33 69% .23 1.07 62% 41% 30% 0 0 1.03 31% 0.9 .29 16% .26 65% .21
Nov
9		 American D C F A+ C- 31% 27% 42% F+ D+ F+ C D- F A+ A- A+ C- C F B- D- 41% 9% 50% D D- C- B+ C+ C+ F A+ D
1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42 1.09 57% 100% 32% +3 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
11		 Providence C- F F A+ D- 23% 36% 41% F F+ D+ A- C+ B A- A A D- F+ A+ F F+ 43% 16% 41% C D- F F F A C- F F
1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27 1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33
Nov
17		 Saint Joseph's B C- C A+ A 47% 22% 31% B+ A B- F D D- A+ A+ A+ B- D- C- C+ D 36% 14% 50% C+ D D A+ A+ C B- A B
1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 0 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31 0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16
Nov
21		 Drexel A+ D+ A+ B- A- 36% 21% 43% C B+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ C+ C- A- B+ B 49% 26% 25% C B D C+ C- F D+ A+ A-
1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39 1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12
Nov
28		 Merrimack C+ C A+ F B+ 46% 29% 25% D+ B D+ B C B+ B+ F D- B+ D D- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% C+ A C B C+ F A+ A- A+
1.13 55% 64% 25% +3 -1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .40 52% .21 0.96 61% 44% 12% -12 +1 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 7% .24 73% .17
Nov
29		 La Salle B- D- B+ A+ A- 31% 31% 38% F B C+ A+ A C A- D+ B D- B+ C+ A+ A 28% 36% 36% A+ A F F F D A+ A+ A+
1.14 50% 43% 47% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.6 .47 17% .32 65% .21 1.11 47% 37% 21% -11 -3 0.75 46% 1.5 .68 16% .15 63% .09
Nov
30		 Hofstra F F F F F 27% 50% 23% F F B- A- B+ C- C C- C D+ F B- B- F 43% 29% 29% C- F C- F F+ A+ D- F F
0.90 29% 23% 25% -19 -5 0.56 33% 1.2 .40 15% .30 71% .21 1.15 83% 33% 33% +9 -1 1.19 35% 1.3 .43 22% .35 94% .33
Dec
6		 Villanova C- F F A+ C+ 27% 37% 37% F C- B- B- B- C- C F F F C- F F F 32% 15% 53% C+ F C+ A- B+ C+ A- B- A-
0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08 1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16
Dec
8		 Lafayette F+ C+ D- F D- 46% 29% 25% C D- C F F+ B- C+ F C- C- D A+ F F 55% 13% 32% F+ F B+ A+ A B- A- F B-
1.03 62% 31% 29% -2 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .24 13% .30 63% .19 1.01 62% 14% 41% +2 +2 1.11 20% 0.5 .10 18% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Rutgers C- B- B+ F F 37% 28% 35% D+ F B A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A+ A- A F A+ B- 32% 34% 34% B- B- A+ A+ A+ F F A- F
1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33 1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34
Dec
28		 George Mason B+ B- A- A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% D+ A+ D+ F D- A- C F D D F F A+ D 48% 26% 26% C D F D F F F A+ B
1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13 1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23
Dec
31		 NJIT C B+ A A+ A+ 23% 21% 56% F+ A D+ F F+ C- D+ F F+ B B+ C+ B C+ 32% 36% 32% A- B- D A+ B+ B A F B+
1.15 67% 45% 41% +10 -1 1.19 31% 0.8 .26 16% .32 58% .19 0.87 47% 37% 29% -6 -2 0.85 29% 0.5 .16 20% .21 83% .18
Jan
5		 Princeton C+ F A+ B+ F 52% 24% 24% C+ F+ A+ A A+ F B+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F F 53% 11% 36% F F A- B+ A- D F A+ D
1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36 1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
10		 Brown B F A+ A+ A 31% 40% 29% F B+ B- F F+ A A+ C+ A+ F+ D B C- F+ 48% 19% 33% C- D- C+ F+ D+ F B B B+
1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37 1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
17		 Dartmouth B- F C- A+ C+ 44% 20% 35% C C+ B- C B- A+ A+ F A+ B- A- F A- B+ 31% 11% 57% D B D B C- C- F C+ F
1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28 1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32
Jan
19		 Harvard C- F+ A C C 40% 21% 38% D+ C- C F F C- A- B A B- F+ A+ B C+ 47% 10% 43% F C- C+ A- B C+ A A+ A+
1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25 1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08
Jan
24		 Yale F F A D D 29% 24% 47% D D- D F+ D- D+ A- F C+ C C- A+ F+ B+ 56% 19% 25% D- B- F A+ C+ A B- F C-
0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20 1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
30		 Columbia D C- F A+ C- 32% 41% 27% F D D+ C+ C- B F F F C+ F A F F 48% 22% 30% B- F B A A- A A+ B+ A+
1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10 1.07 71% 27% 47% +9 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08
Jan
31		 Cornell B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% C+ A+ B- F F F A+ B- A+ B B+ C F C 35% 9% 56% C+ C A- A+ A+ F C- A+ B+
1.26 74% 38% 50% +16 +1 1.36 35% 0.6 .19 19% .52 73% .38 1.12 53% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 25% 0.8 .19 12% .30 58% .17
Feb
7		 Princeton D- C D- B C 37% 33% 30% F D+ B F D B- C- D D+ C B- F A+ B+ 49% 17% 34% F+ B D+ A+ B F C A+ B
1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19 1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Columbia C- F B+ A- C 37% 24% 39% D+ C C- C+ C C C- C- C- B+ D A+ B- C 52% 10% 38% F+ C- B B- B A+ C+ A+ A-
1.08 45% 46% 38% -1 -1 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .30 72% .22 0.95 64% 20% 33% +1 +2 1.08 32% 0.9 .29 28% .26 54% .14
Feb
14		 Cornell D- D A+ F F 49% 21% 30% C F C F+ D+ B A+ D- A+ A B- F A A+ 55% 4% 41% F A- D+ C D+ B+ D- A+ B+
1.08 54% 55% 13% -8 +1 0.87 31% 0.9 .28 12% .61 66% .40 1.00 57% 50% 29% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .38 21% .35 48% .17
Feb
21		 Yale C- F F+ A+ C+ 39% 25% 35% C- C D+ F F+ B- C- C C- B+ C+ F A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% A+ A+ C+ C+ C+ C C C- C
1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17 1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25
Feb
27		 Dartmouth C B+ F B C+ 42% 20% 38% C- C+ B+ F D C+ A+ F A+ C D- B+ D D+ 38% 20% 42% C D+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C+
1.16 67% 20% 37% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.7 .23 12% .60 59% .36 1.03 63% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 14% .42 56% .24
Feb
28		 Harvard F F F B+ F+ 52% 17% 31% B- D- D A C D+ F F F A+ C- C+ A+ A+ 42% 15% 42% D A B C+ B- A+ A- B A
0.89 44% 22% 38% -8 +1 0.88 26% 1.2 .31 18% .17 60% .10 0.85 59% 38% 23% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.9 .21 27% .17 78% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 19.1 19.1 2nd
3rd 37.6 43.3 80.9 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 37.6 62.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 62.4% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8 0.2 2.6 5.5 1.1 0.0 53.1
8-6 37.6% 13.0% 13.0% 14.6 0.1 1.7 2.9 0.1 32.7
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 14.1 85.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.4% 100.0% 13.8 1.7 27.9 58.1 12.2 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 20.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.8%