Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#248
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#329
Pace67.0#249
Improvement-0.5#211

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#295
First Shot-3.0#253
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#286
Layup/Dunks-5.2#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#94
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement-1.2#270

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#174
First Shot-1.0#203
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks-4.2#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#83
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement+0.7#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 31.1% 23.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.8% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.3% 25.6% 32.7%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 1.5%
First Round1.5% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 47.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 102 - 14
Quad 46 - 68 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 59 @Akron L 69-104 7%     0 - 1 -23.1 -9.7 -10.1
  Tue, Nov 11 308 Bucknell W 73-63 73%     1 - 1 -1.4 -2.0 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 15 17 @Kansas L 57-76 2%     1 - 2 +1.4 -4.2 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 165 @Iona L 69-89 24%     1 - 3 -17.4 -9.4 -6.0
  Thu, Nov 20 205 Northeastern W 70-57 54%     2 - 3 +7.1 -2.5 +10.2
  Mon, Nov 24 108 Bradley L 64-88 20%     2 - 4 -20.1 -5.4 -14.8
  Tue, Nov 25 151 Temple L 75-79 30%     2 - 5 -3.5 +2.2 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 26 178 Vermont L 74-79 36%     2 - 6 -6.3 +4.7 -11.5
  Sun, Nov 30 188 Saint Joseph's L 58-60 38%     2 - 7 -3.8 -5.7 +1.7
  Wed, Dec 3 224 @Monmouth L 58-63 35%     2 - 8 -5.9 -12.8 +6.7
  Sat, Dec 6 270 @Loyola Chicago L 68-73 42%     2 - 9 -7.9 -2.2 -6.2
  Wed, Dec 10 263 Merrimack L 56-59 64%     2 - 10 -11.7 -7.9 -4.4
  Mon, Dec 22 151 @Temple L 61-65 21%     2 - 11 -0.5 -3.2 +2.1
  Tue, Dec 30 178 Vermont L 69-70 47%    
  Mon, Jan 5 240 Penn W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 76 Yale L 69-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 192 @Harvard L 64-70 29%    
  Mon, Jan 19 247 @Dartmouth L 71-74 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 226 Brown W 66-64 58%    
  Fri, Jan 30 159 @Cornell L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 142 @Columbia L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 240 @Penn L 71-74 38%    
  Fri, Feb 13 159 Cornell L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 142 Columbia L 69-72 38%    
  Fri, Feb 20 226 @Brown L 63-67 36%    
  Fri, Feb 27 192 Harvard W 68-67 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 247 Dartmouth W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 76 @Yale L 66-81 9%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.3 3rd
4th 0.3 4.4 6.5 1.9 0.1 13.2 4th
5th 0.4 4.8 8.2 2.3 0.1 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.9 9.5 3.2 0.1 18.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.9 9.0 3.4 0.2 18.3 7th
8th 0.4 2.5 5.9 6.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 18.3 8th
Total 0.4 2.5 6.8 11.9 17.0 18.1 16.3 12.4 7.8 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 87.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 60.8% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
10-4 32.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 7.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 13.0% 13.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.6% 15.5% 15.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
10-4 1.8% 14.0% 14.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5
9-5 4.2% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.5 3.7
8-6 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.6 7.2
7-7 12.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 12.0
6-8 16.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.2
5-9 18.1% 18.1
4-10 17.0% 17.0
3-11 11.9% 11.9
2-12 6.8% 6.8
1-13 2.5% 2.5
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%