Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.1 221
Expected Predictive Rating -5.5 251
Pace 62.7 333
Improvement +4.2 37

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #232 D+ D+ C C C
Defense C #198 C+ C D C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 316 52% 311 -5.1 342
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 245 39% 128 -1.0 234
Three Pointers 50% 27 33% 219 +3.8 61
1st FG Attempt 0.97 247 -2.3 247
Second Chance 26.1% 303 1.04 154 0.27 267
Turnovers 17.3% 204
Freethrows 0.30 192 74% 125 0.23 166
Total Offense -2.4 232

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 83 61% 259 -3.4 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 203 41% 291 -0.3 212
Three Pointers 38% 266 28% 11 +4.7 22
1st FG Attempt 1.00 139 +1.0 141
Second Chance 28.6% 100 1.09 284 0.31 192
Turnovers 14.2% 330
Freethrows 0.30 184 72% 178 0.22 176
Total Defense -0.7 198

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.0 188 +0.4 245
Shot Type Accuracy -2.3 256 -1.4 123
Possession Length 19.6 353 16.8 107
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.05 365 0.18 211
Improvement +4.2 #15 +0.0 #189

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 7% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 62% 80% 44%
Conference Champion 2% 3% 0%
Last Place in Conference 2% 1% 4%
First Four4% 6% 3%
First Round4% 6% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 50.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 32 - 103 - 14
Quad 47 - 510 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 72 @Akron L 69 - 104 10% -20  1% 0 - 1 F -24 F+ -10 C- F C- F -11 D- C- F
 Tue, Nov 11 324 Bucknell W 73 - 63 83% +5  93% 1 - 1 C- -3 D -6 D D C B- +3 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 12 @Kansas L 57 - 76 2% -6  19% 1 - 2 C+ +3 D- -7 D C+ D- A +10 B+ A+ A
 Tue, Nov 18 247 @Iona L 69 - 89 44% -18  1% 1 - 3 F -22 F -13 F F C- D -7 F+ D D+
 Thu, Nov 20 269 Northeastern W 70 - 57 72% +10  97% 2 - 3 C+ +4 F+ -9 F A+ F A+ +14 A+ C+ B-
 Mon, Nov 24 120 Bradley L 64 - 88 29% -8  13% 2 - 4 F -21 F -10 C B F F -11 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 25 148 Temple L 75 - 79 36% +1  61% 2 - 5 C- -3 C +2 B+ D C+ D+ -5 F A+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 224 Vermont L 74 - 79 51% -7  18% 2 - 6 D -8 C+ +3 B C+ A F -12 D+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 30 136 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 60 33% -1  24% 2 - 7 C -0 D- -6 B- C F B +5 A F B+
 Wed, Dec 3 208 @Monmouth L 58 - 63 37% -3  11% 2 - 8 C- -5 F -13 C- F F B+ +8 B- A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 277 @Loyola Chicago L 68 - 73 52% +1  52% 2 - 9 D -9 D+ -4 D- D A D -6 D+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 182 Merrimack L 56 - 59 55% -2  14% 2 - 10 D+ -7 F+ -8 F B- B- C +0 B- A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 148 @Temple L 61 - 65 26% -3  13% 2 - 11 C -0 D+ -4 D- D C+ B- +3 C B- C
 Tue, Dec 30 224 Vermont W 75 - 69 OT 62% +4  75% 3 - 11 C -0 C- -2 B+ F F+ C+ +2 A F C-
 Mon, Jan 5 185 Penn W 78 - 76 56% -1  37% 4 - 11 1 - 0 C- -3 B- +4 A F+ C+ D -7 A- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 81 Yale W 76 - 60 25% +2  60% 5 - 11 2 - 0 A +20 B- +4 B+ C+ F+ A+ +17 A+ C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 153 @Harvard L 80 - 87 OT 28% +7  82% 5 - 12 2 - 1 C- -4 B+ +9 D A+ A F -13 D+ C+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 240 @Dartmouth L 69 - 71 44% +3  71% 5 - 13 2 - 2 C- -3 B- +5 C D A+ D- -9 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 278 Brown W 63 - 53 74% +1  42% 6 - 13 3 - 2 C +0 D- -7 F D A+ B+ +8 A+ F F
 Fri, Jan 30 159 @Cornell L 64 - 87 29% -16  0% 6 - 14 3 - 3 F -20 F+ -8 F C- D+ F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 31 200 @Columbia W 80 - 68 36% +1  53% 7 - 14 4 - 3 B+ +12 A+ +14 A+ B- D+ C -0 B A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 185 @Penn L 60 - 61 33% -5  7% 7 - 15 4 - 4 C +0 D+ -3 D- D A- B- +3 C+ B F
 Fri, Feb 13 159 Cornell W 82 - 81 51%
 Sat, Feb 14 200 Columbia W 72 - 70 59%
 Fri, Feb 20 278 @Brown W 65 - 64 52%
 Fri, Feb 27 153 Harvard L 65 - 66 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 240 Dartmouth W 74 - 70 66%
 Sat, Mar 7 81 @Yale L 66 - 79 11%
Totals 10 - 18 7 - 7 -3 C- -2 D+ D+ C C -1 C+ C D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D C+ C- D+ 33% 17% 50% C D+ D C D+ C C C+ C C D+ D+ A- C+ 42% 20% 38% C- C+ B- D+ C D C C C
1.05 52% 39% 33% -2 0 0.97 26% 1.0 .27 17% .30 74% .23 1.10 61% 41% 28% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.1 .31 14% .30 72% .22
Nov
8		 Akron F+ F C+ B C- 36% 15% 49% C+ C- F+ F F C- B- F C F D- A+ F D- 40% 11% 49% D+ D- B- D- C- F D D- D-
0.89 45% 38% 37% -2 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21 1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24
Nov
11		 Bucknell D D+ B C C- 19% 27% 54% F D D- C+ D C A+ F A+ B- B+ F B- C- 48% 10% 42% F D+ A A+ A+ C- F B+ F+
1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34 0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27
Nov
15		 Kansas D- F C F D 14% 24% 63% D- D D- A+ C+ D- B+ B- B+ A F A+ A+ B+ 35% 25% 40% B- B+ B A+ A+ A F B- F
0.80 29% 33% 25% -13 -2 0.71 19% 1.3 .24 18% .28 69% .19 1.07 88% 17% 26% +1 -1 1.02 28% 0.9 .25 20% .49 75% .37
Nov
18		 Iona F C- C+ F F 41% 25% 34% D F D- F F C- A D- B+ D F F C F+ 36% 15% 49% C- F+ B+ F D D+ F F F
0.89 58% 40% 15% -9 0 0.83 28% 0.5 .13 17% .36 65% .23 1.15 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 16% .41 78% .32
Nov
20		 Northeastern F+ F F C+ F 35% 27% 38% F+ F C+ A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% D- A+ F+ A+ C+ B- D A C-
1.04 38% 30% 36% -8 -1 0.84 34% 1.5 .50 22% .71 76% .54 0.85 54% 29% 12% -15 +2 0.76 33% 0.8 .26 19% .33 61% .20
Nov
24		 Bradley F B A+ F+ C 28% 18% 54% B C C A B F A+ F B+ F F C- F F 30% 15% 55% D+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ C B+ C+
0.92 64% 57% 29% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .38 34% .46 62% .28 1.26 81% 38% 45% +16 0 1.34 14% 0.8 .10 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Temple C C A+ A- A 24% 22% 55% D- B+ F A+ D C+ D+ D+ D+ D+ F F F F 37% 18% 45% C F A+ C- A+ B F A F
1.12 58% 55% 39% +8 -1 1.16 14% 1.8 .24 15% .28 69% .19 1.18 79% 57% 41% +16 0 1.34 8% 1.0 .08 16% .73 68% .50
Nov
26		 Vermont C+ A+ C+ C B+ 21% 25% 55% D- B F+ A+ C+ A F F F F C F A- D 38% 21% 40% C+ D+ D- F F D- B B B
1.16 91% 38% 34% +7 -2 1.13 19% 1.6 .30 8% .20 33% .07 1.24 60% 73% 29% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .39 13% .23 69% .16
Nov
30		 Saint Joseph's D- F A+ B- B 18% 27% 56% D- B- F A+ C F F F F B D C+ A+ A 40% 14% 47% C- A C+ F F B+ C+ D+ C
0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06 0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20
Dec
3		 Monmouth F B- F D- D 48% 4% 48% A C- F F F F F F+ F B+ D A A+ B 43% 31% 27% C+ B- A+ C+ A+ F+ D+ F F+
0.86 61% 0% 30% -3 +3 1.02 20% 0.5 .10 28% .19 67% .12 0.94 62% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 13% .33 84% .28
Dec
6		 Loyola Chicago D+ D B- F+ F+ 30% 13% 57% B- D- C- D- D A C- A+ B D F A+ A D+ 48% 9% 43% D- D+ A F F F F B- F
1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25 1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31
Dec
10		 Merrimack F+ F F D+ F 55% 9% 36% A+ F B C B- B- A A+ A+ C C- A+ A B 43% 14% 43% C- B- A+ C A+ F D F F
0.97 25% 0% 31% -23 +3 0.61 45% 1.0 .45 17% .44 81% .36 1.02 58% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.89 10% 1.0 .10 9% .38 90% .34
Dec
22		 Temple D+ C F F F 52% 9% 39% A D- C- F+ D C+ C+ B B- B- B+ F C C+ 55% 19% 26% F+ C C- A- B- C A B A
1.02 58% 25% 22% -8 +3 0.91 27% 0.9 .24 15% .31 75% .24 1.09 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.8 .24 13% .29 73% .21
Dec
30		 Vermont C- B+ F A+ A- 25% 17% 58% C B+ D- F F F+ C A+ B C+ A- B+ A A+ 46% 12% 42% F A F+ F F C- C F D+
1.11 67% 13% 46% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.6 .12 16% .34 84% .28 1.03 50% 33% 27% -8 +2 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 15% .28 81% .23
Jan
5		 Penn B- B- A+ A+ A 53% 11% 36% A A F D+ F+ C+ A+ C- A+ D A+ F C- A+ 52% 24% 24% F A- F F F B D+ F F
1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27 1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36
Jan
10		 Yale B- B B- A A- 26% 16% 58% C- B+ B- C- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 25% 46% A A+ B- C- C+ D- B+ A+ A+
1.17 64% 43% 40% +8 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40 0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16
Jan
17		 Harvard B+ F A+ D D- 37% 10% 53% C+ D A A+ A+ A A B A+ F B- D+ F C- 48% 13% 39% D- D+ F A+ C+ F F C F
1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28 1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30
Jan
19		 Dartmouth B- B+ D C+ B- 28% 22% 50% F+ C F A+ D A+ F A+ C- D- F A+ C- C+ 37% 18% 45% C- C+ B F F F C+ D+ C+
1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19 1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22
Jan
24		 Brown D- F D F+ F 28% 24% 48% D- F C- D- D A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ B+ B A+ A+ 39% 29% 33% A A+ C- F F F C B- C+
0.99 31% 36% 27% -13 -1 0.74 28% 0.8 .23 11% .39 100% .39 0.83 47% 29% 6% -20 -1 0.59 30% 1.4 .43 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
30		 Cornell F+ D- A F F 36% 21% 43% D+ F A+ F C- D+ F B F+ F F F C- F 41% 4% 55% D F D- F F B- A+ A A+
1.04 53% 50% 25% -5 0 0.91 43% 0.8 .35 16% .23 75% .17 1.41 90% 100% 37% +18 +2 1.43 36% 1.4 .50 20% .18 67% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Columbia A+ C B A+ A+ 51% 16% 33% B+ A+ D A+ B- D+ A B- A C B D- B B+ 49% 14% 37% D B F A+ A- F D+ A+ A
1.29 57% 43% 53% +10 +2 1.24 25% 1.3 .33 15% .40 76% .30 1.10 52% 43% 32% -4 +2 0.98 43% 0.6 .24 10% .30 41% .12
Feb
7		 Penn D+ D- A F F+ 49% 17% 34% B D- C- F D A- B+ D- B- B- D+ B C C+ 37% 33% 30% B- C+ D+ A+ B F B- B B
1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19 1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 0.7 1.7 1st
2nd 0.2 4.8 5.6 0.2 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 7.6 13.4 1.5 22.6 3rd
4th 0.0 3.2 17.1 3.1 23.5 4th
5th 0.5 11.9 6.6 0.0 19.0 5th
6th 0.1 5.2 8.3 0.3 13.8 6th
7th 2.0 5.3 1.0 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.3 0.1 0.3 8th
Total 2.3 11.0 24.6 31.8 21.4 8.1 0.9 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 77.0% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.0
9-5 12.1% 1.0    0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.9% 19.5% 19.5% 15.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
9-5 8.1% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0 7.1
8-6 21.4% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9 19.5
7-7 31.8% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 1.8 30.0
6-8 24.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 24.3
5-9 11.0% 11.0
4-10 2.3% 2.3
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 94.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 2.3%