Kansas
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#18
Expected Predictive Rating+15.8#27
Pace68.9#200
Improvement+1.1#102

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#49
First Shot+5.9#37
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#146
Layup/Dunks+5.5#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#214
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement-0.7#237

Defense
Total Defense+9.6#8
First Shot+6.6#24
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#32
Layups/Dunks+2.4#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#101
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement+1.7#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
#1 Seed 3.5% 4.2% 1.6%
Top 2 Seed 11.2% 13.1% 5.9%
Top 4 Seed 39.2% 43.5% 27.6%
Top 6 Seed 65.7% 70.5% 52.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.8% 92.4% 83.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.0% 91.7% 82.0%
Average Seed 5.2 5.0 5.9
.500 or above 94.5% 96.6% 88.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.9% 83.7% 77.1%
Conference Champion 8.4% 9.2% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four4.2% 3.6% 5.7%
First Round88.0% 90.9% 80.4%
Second Round68.7% 72.5% 58.8%
Sweet Sixteen35.6% 38.9% 26.9%
Elite Eight15.5% 17.1% 11.0%
Final Four6.3% 7.1% 4.3%
Championship Game2.5% 2.8% 1.6%
National Champion0.8% 0.9% 0.7%

Next Game: Missouri (Home) - 72.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b5 - 29 - 10
Quad 25 - 114 - 12
Quad 34 - 018 - 12
Quad 43 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 264 Green Bay W 94-51 98%     1 - 0 +34.2 +23.3 +14.6
  Fri, Nov 7 21 @North Carolina L 74-87 42%     1 - 1 +5.1 +9.3 -4.2
  Tue, Nov 11 237 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-46 98%     2 - 1 +23.5 +1.2 +21.7
  Sat, Nov 15 247 Princeton W 76-57 98%     3 - 1 +11.3 +0.4 +10.6
  Tue, Nov 18 3 Duke L 66-78 29%     3 - 2 +9.9 +8.0 +1.2
  Mon, Nov 24 56 Notre Dame W 71-61 73%     4 - 2 +19.5 +7.4 +12.8
  Tue, Nov 25 61 Syracuse W 71-60 75%     5 - 2 +20.1 +9.2 +11.8
  Wed, Nov 26 16 Tennessee W 81-76 46%     6 - 2 +22.2 +17.8 +4.4
  Tue, Dec 2 5 Connecticut L 56-61 44%     6 - 3 +12.5 -1.5 +13.4
  Sun, Dec 7 37 Missouri W 77-71 73%    
  Sat, Dec 13 35 @North Carolina St. W 79-78 50%    
  Tue, Dec 16 129 Towson W 76-59 94%    
  Mon, Dec 22 137 Davidson W 78-61 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 63 @Central Florida W 79-75 65%    
  Tue, Jan 6 48 TCU W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 65 @West Virginia W 68-64 67%    
  Tue, Jan 13 6 Iowa St. L 74-75 45%    
  Fri, Jan 16 28 Baylor W 79-74 69%    
  Tue, Jan 20 64 @Colorado W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 71 @Kansas St. W 81-76 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 8 BYU L 73-74 49%    
  Mon, Feb 2 30 @Texas Tech L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 117 Utah W 82-66 92%    
  Mon, Feb 9 9 Arizona L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 6 @Iowa St. L 71-78 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 47 @Oklahoma St. W 81-79 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 68 Cincinnati W 76-65 83%    
  Mon, Feb 23 7 Houston L 65-66 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 9 @Arizona L 72-78 29%    
  Tue, Mar 3 82 @Arizona St. W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Mar 7 71 Kansas St. W 84-73 85%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.0 2.2 0.7 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.1 4.2 1.8 0.2 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.4 2.1 0.2 12.1 3rd
4th 0.4 3.3 6.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 6.3 3.5 0.3 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 3.6 1.2 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.1 1.5 0.1 5.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 1.7 0.2 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.0 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.1 8.0 11.0 13.3 14.6 14.4 11.7 8.6 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
16-2 91.7% 2.2    1.6 0.5 0.0
15-3 59.4% 3.0    1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0
14-4 23.2% 2.0    0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 4.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 37.8% 62.2% 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.7% 100.0% 30.8% 69.2% 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.4% 100.0% 28.3% 71.7% 1.8 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 100.0%
15-3 5.0% 100.0% 19.1% 80.9% 2.3 1.0 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 8.6% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 2.8 0.8 2.4 3.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.7% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 3.5 0.3 1.4 4.2 3.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
12-6 14.4% 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 4.4 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 14.6% 99.9% 5.0% 94.8% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.6 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
10-8 13.3% 99.6% 3.4% 96.2% 6.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 4.0 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.5%
9-9 11.0% 95.7% 2.3% 93.4% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 95.6%
8-10 8.0% 76.2% 1.5% 74.7% 9.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 75.9%
7-11 5.1% 40.3% 0.8% 39.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.0 39.8%
6-12 3.0% 10.7% 0.5% 10.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 10.3%
5-13 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.5%
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 89.8% 7.6% 82.2% 5.2 3.5 7.6 13.6 14.5 14.2 12.3 7.9 5.1 3.9 3.5 3.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.2 89.0%