Preseason Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#61
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.2#332
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#45
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 2.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 5.7% 5.9% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.9% 26.6% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.4% 26.1% 8.2%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 8.7
.500 or above 68.7% 70.0% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 36.4% 17.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 9.5% 19.5%
First Four4.9% 5.0% 1.7%
First Round23.2% 23.9% 7.4%
Second Round12.6% 12.9% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen3.8% 4.0% 0.5%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 96.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 269   Mount St. Mary's W 75-57 96%    
  Nov 06, 2025 203   Campbell W 72-57 91%    
  Nov 09, 2025 306   Lehigh W 76-55 97%    
  Nov 13, 2025 77   Pittsburgh W 69-64 68%    
  Nov 17, 2025 308   Lafayette W 74-53 97%    
  Nov 21, 2025 42   Clemson L 62-65 39%    
  Nov 30, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 77-49 99%    
  Dec 03, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 80-50 99%    
  Dec 06, 2025 67   Wake Forest W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 09, 2025 177   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-59 88%    
  Dec 13, 2025 27   Ohio St. L 66-72 31%    
  Dec 22, 2025 365   Mississippi Valley W 81-43 99.9%   
  Jan 02, 2026 20   @ Iowa St. L 62-72 20%    
  Jan 06, 2026 45   Cincinnati W 64-63 52%    
  Jan 10, 2026 13   Kansas L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 13, 2026 1   @ Houston L 51-69 6%    
  Jan 17, 2026 82   Colorado W 69-63 68%    
  Jan 21, 2026 68   @ Arizona St. L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 24, 2026 10   @ Arizona L 65-77 17%    
  Jan 27, 2026 57   Kansas St. W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 31, 2026 23   Baylor L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 05, 2026 45   @ Cincinnati L 61-67 32%    
  Feb 08, 2026 12   Texas Tech L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 14, 2026 74   @ Central Florida L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 18, 2026 88   Utah W 72-65 70%    
  Feb 21, 2026 55   @ TCU L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 24, 2026 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 28, 2026 9   BYU L 67-73 31%    
  Mar 03, 2026 57   @ Kansas St. L 64-67 39%    
  Mar 06, 2026 74   Central Florida W 74-69 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 2.5 1.2 0.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.9 2.0 0.2 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.4 4.0 1.0 0.1 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.5 1.9 0.2 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.1 0.9 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.2 2.4 4.5 1.6 0.1 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.5 13th
14th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.1 14th
15th 0.2 1.1 2.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.2 15th
16th 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.4 16th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.4 8.1 10.6 11.6 12.0 11.7 10.7 8.3 6.5 4.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 84.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 76.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 40.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 13.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 23.0% 77.0% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 7.8% 92.2% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.9% 96.8% 5.4% 91.3% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.6%
12-6 4.6% 92.6% 2.8% 89.8% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 92.4%
11-7 6.5% 79.2% 0.7% 78.5% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 79.0%
10-8 8.3% 58.4% 0.6% 57.8% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.5 58.2%
9-9 10.7% 36.4% 0.3% 36.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.0 0.0 6.8 36.2%
8-10 11.7% 15.0% 0.2% 14.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 9.9 14.8%
7-11 12.0% 4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.5 4.0%
6-12 11.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6 0.5%
5-13 10.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.0%
4-14 8.1% 8.1
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 25.9% 0.7% 25.2% 8.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.9 4.7 5.6 2.9 0.1 74.1 25.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0