West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +10.1 56
Expected Predictive Rating +10.7 56
Pace 60.4 357
Improvement +1.8 114

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #109 C+ B C+ C B-
Defense B+ #23 B+ B B- B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 145 59% 139 +1.2 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 270 41% 89 -1.2 244
Three Pointers 44% 122 34% 172 +1.7 117
1st FG Attempt 1.05 122 +1.7 121
Second Chance 31.8% 144 1.17 33 0.37 64
Turnovers 15.9% 120
Freethrows 0.33 114 67% 326 0.22 172
Total Offense +2.4 109

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 213 51% 38 +3.1 78
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 158 26% 1 +2.4 21
Three Pointers 41% 168 34% 191 -0.3 198
1st FG Attempt 0.92 42 +5.2 42
Second Chance 24.4% 18 1.02 170 0.25 42
Turnovers 18.5% 92
Freethrows 0.24 18 73% 234 0.17 27
Total Defense +7.6 23

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.6 97 -0.1 144
Shot Type Accuracy +1.0 137 -4.9 34
Possession Length 18.8 326 18.4 329
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 224 0.13 42
Improvement +0.2 #165 +1.6 #99

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25% 38% 17%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25% 38% 17%
Average Seed 10.3 10.2 10.5
.500 or above 99% 100% 99%
.500 or above in Conference 76% 92% 66%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four13% 16% 11%
First Round18% 29% 11%
Second Round6% 10% 3%
Sweet Sixteen1% 2% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 37.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 53 - 9
Quad 24 - 48 - 13
Quad 33 - 111 - 14
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 289 Mount St. Mary's W 70 - 54 96% +6  79% 1 - 0 B- +6 D -6 C- F C A +12 A+ D A+
 Thu, Nov 6 192 Campbell W 73 - 65 91% +6  98% 2 - 0 C+ +3 D -5 F B- B- A- +8 A C C-
 Sun, Nov 9 306 Lehigh W 69 - 47 97% +18  95% 3 - 0 B +11 D -6 C- C+ F A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 99 Pittsburgh W 71 - 49 77% +9  79% 4 - 0 A+ +24 B- +4 C- C+ A+ A+ +22 B+ A+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 319 Lafayette W 81 - 59 97% +11  93% 5 - 0 B +9 B- +5 B B C- B +5 D C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 38 Clemson L 67 - 70 35% +2  67% 5 - 1 B +11 B- +5 C- A- A+ B+ +6 C A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 83 Xavier L 68 - 78 63% -3  31% 5 - 2 C- -3 C- -2 D B- B- C- -2 F+ A- B
 Sun, Nov 30 304 Mercyhurst W 70 - 38 97% +18  97% 6 - 2 A +21 C +2 C- B+ B- A+ +24 A+ B A+
 Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. W 91 - 49 99% +14  81% 7 - 2 A +19 B +6 D+ C- A+ A+ +14 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 63 Wake Forest L 66 - 75 56% -6  7% 7 - 3 C -1 B- +4 C A F D -6 F+ B B+
 Tue, Dec 9 301 Arkansas Little Rock W 90 - 58 96% +22  99% 8 - 3 A +21 A+ +20 A+ C+ B+ B +5 A D+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 39 Ohio St. L 88 - 89 2OT 36% +4  67% 8 - 4 B+ +13 C+ +2 B+ C+ C- A +11 A+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 86 - 51 100% +20  98% 9 - 4 B +8 A+ +16 B A+ A+ C -1 A D- F
 Fri, Jan 2 8 @Iowa St. L 59 - 80 11% -10  27% 9 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 C+ C+ B+ D -6 F B- B+
 Tue, Jan 6 45 Cincinnati W 62 - 60 55% +3  79% 10 - 5 1 - 1 B +11 C+ +2 A+ F+ F+ A- +9 A- A- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 12 Kansas W 86 - 75 28% +1  43% 11 - 5 2 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +24 A+ A+ B- B- +3 A- B+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 5 @Houston L 48 - 77 8% -16  0% 11 - 6 2 - 2 C- -3 F+ -8 B- D C- C+ +1 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 17 77 Colorado W 72 - 61 71% +6  94% 12 - 6 3 - 2 A- +15 A- +10 B+ A+ C+ B+ +8 A+ A- F+
 Wed, Jan 21 69 @Arizona St. W 75 - 63 46% -1  37% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A+ +23 A- +9 A C+ C+ A+ +15 B- A A
 Sat, Jan 24 2 @Arizona L 53 - 88 6% -19  0% 13 - 7 4 - 3 D+ -7 D- -6 D+ C- B+ C- -2 D A+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 101 Kansas St. W 59 - 54 78% +0  44% 14 - 7 5 - 3 B- +7 F+ -8 D- B- D- A+ +16 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 42 Baylor L 53 - 63 52% -5  6% 14 - 8 5 - 4 C -0 F -12 D- C+ F A +10 B B A+
 Thu, Feb 5 45 @Cincinnati W 65 - 59 33% -6  18% 15 - 8 6 - 4 A +21 B+ +8 C- A+ C+ A+ +13 A+ F A-
 Sun, Feb 8 16 Texas Tech L 63 - 70 31% -8  0% 15 - 9 6 - 5 B +8 C- -0 D+ A- A- A- +8 D+ A+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 52 @Central Florida L 70 - 73 37%
 Wed, Feb 18 110 Utah W 73 - 64 80%
 Sat, Feb 21 50 @TCU L 63 - 67 37%
 Tue, Feb 24 59 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 73 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 21 BYU L 70 - 75 33%
 Tue, Mar 3 101 @Kansas St. W 72 - 70 58%
 Fri, Mar 6 52 Central Florida W 73 - 70 60%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +10 C+ +2 C+ B C+ B+ +8 B+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ B- C C+ 40% 16% 44% B- C+ C+ B+ B C+ B- D- C B+ B+ A+ C B+ 37% 21% 41% C B+ A- C B B- B+ C- B+
1.12 59% 41% 34% +1 +1 1.05 32% 1.2 .37 16% .33 67% .22 0.98 51% 26% 34% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .25 18% .24 73% .24
Nov
4		 Mount St. Mary's D C+ B- F D+ 43% 16% 41% B C- F F+ F C A+ F A+ A B A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ B- F D A+ F C- F+
1.04 58% 43% 28% -3 +1 0.98 17% 0.8 .14 13% .60 66% .39 0.80 52% 0% 20% -15 +2 0.78 26% 1.4 .35 30% .40 68% .27
Nov
6		 Campbell D F D F F 49% 19% 32% B- F C B- B- B- A+ C A+ A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 11% 30% F+ A D B C C- F F+ F
1.07 48% 33% 27% -9 +1 0.85 32% 1.3 .39 16% .47 74% .35 0.96 56% 20% 14% -12 +3 0.83 37% 0.9 .34 18% .57 78% .45
Nov
9		 Lehigh D F A+ B+ C- 36% 21% 43% C- C- D- A+ C+ F A+ F A A+ F+ A+ C+ B+ 20% 33% 47% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ B C- B
1.07 40% 56% 39% +1 0 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 20% .48 64% .31 0.73 67% 20% 33% -5 -3 0.87 9% 0.0 .00 25% .23 73% .16
Nov
13		 Pittsburgh B- C+ C D- C- 40% 17% 43% B- C- C- A- C+ A+ A C A A+ D+ B- A- B 33% 29% 38% A B+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ C A+
1.13 58% 38% 30% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 10% .37 76% .28 0.78 63% 36% 28% -3 -1 0.94 19% 0.0 .00 19% .12 67% .08
Nov
17		 Lafayette B- D- B+ A+ B 45% 19% 36% B B B+ C- B C- A F+ B B A+ F F C- 51% 4% 44% F D A- D- C+ A+ B- F+ C
1.21 52% 44% 47% +6 +1 1.15 39% 1.1 .42 15% .37 67% .25 0.88 35% 50% 45% -4 +3 1.00 20% 1.0 .20 28% .25 75% .19
Nov
21		 Clemson B- A+ F D+ C 22% 38% 40% F C- C A+ A- A+ B F C B+ F+ C+ C- C- 36% 21% 43% A- C A+ A+ A+ B+ C F+ D+
1.01 73% 21% 30% -6 -3 0.84 23% 1.4 .33 12% .33 63% .21 1.06 71% 40% 35% +6 0 1.13 20% 0.3 .07 18% .35 79% .28
Nov
23		 Xavier C- B D+ F+ D+ 27% 33% 40% F D D- A+ B- B- C- A+ C+ C- A A+ F F 20% 33% 47% A+ F+ A+ F A- B B F D+
1.00 64% 35% 29% -2 -2 0.92 21% 1.3 .26 16% .26 80% .21 1.15 50% 18% 63% +12 -3 1.20 13% 1.3 .17 15% .21 100% .21
Nov
30		 Mercyhurst C C A+ F D+ 54% 10% 35% B+ C- B B B+ B- B- F C- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 35% 37% 28% C+ A+ A+ F B A+ B- A+ A+
1.15 58% 60% 24% -3 +2 1.00 40% 1.1 .46 16% .39 65% .26 0.63 33% 25% 33% -14 -2 0.70 17% 1.3 .22 25% .18 13% .02
Dec
3		 Coppin St. B A+ D- F D 41% 6% 53% B+ D+ C C- C- A+ A+ F B A+ A+ C- A- A+ 44% 31% 24% C- A+ A- B- B+ D+ C+ C- C+
1.30 76% 33% 30% +4 +2 1.14 36% 1.1 .38 10% .52 61% .32 0.70 25% 36% 27% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.9 .21 21% .31 71% .22
Dec
6		 Wake Forest B- B A+ F C- 42% 3% 55% A C A+ F A F A+ C+ A+ D C+ D- F D- 44% 8% 48% F F+ F A+ B B+ A A+ A+
1.09 63% 100% 24% -5 +3 0.97 58% 0.8 .45 30% .56 75% .42 1.23 57% 50% 43% +8 +2 1.21 45% 0.7 .32 18% .22 64% .14
Dec
9		 Arkansas Little Rock A+ B A+ A+ A+ 41% 4% 54% B+ A+ A+ F C+ B+ B- F D B B A+ C A 27% 37% 37% B+ A D+ C- D+ D+ F+ B D
1.43 68% 100% 56% +25 +2 1.57 48% 0.7 .35 16% .32 53% .17 0.92 54% 17% 33% -9 -3 0.78 33% 1.0 .33 18% .31 63% .19
Dec
13		 Ohio St. C+ F D+ A+ A- 31% 27% 42% C+ B+ C B C+ C- A+ B- A+ A B+ D+ A+ A+ 35% 32% 33% B A+ B F F D- B- F C
1.06 38% 36% 50% +3 -1 1.06 29% 1.1 .32 18% .50 76% .38 1.07 57% 47% 15% -7 -2 0.85 32% 1.9 .62 12% .33 88% .29
Dec
22		 Mississippi Valley A+ D+ D A+ B- 46% 6% 48% A B B- A+ A+ A+ D B- D+ C C- A+ A+ A- 32% 55% 14% A A F C- D- F C- F F
1.47 59% 33% 48% +10 +2 1.27 41% 1.5 .63 10% .34 78% .27 0.87 57% 25% 17% -11 -5 0.70 32% 0.9 .29 15% .28 100% .28
Jan
2		 Iowa St. B A+ F F C 31% 18% 51% B+ C+ D+ A+ C+ B+ C A+ B D F A- F F 30% 23% 47% A- F D B+ B- B+ B- A B+
0.98 71% 25% 26% -4 0 0.93 23% 1.3 .30 20% .25 83% .21 1.32 85% 30% 55% +21 -1 1.42 43% 0.9 .39 18% .30 60% .18
Jan
6		 Cincinnati C+ D B- A+ A+ 31% 17% 52% B- A+ C- F F+ F+ C+ F D A- D A+ C A- 23% 21% 57% B+ A- A C+ A- D- A+ A+ A+
0.97 46% 43% 50% +10 0 1.21 21% 0.7 .14 24% .27 54% .14 0.94 67% 9% 33% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 13% .16 44% .07
Jan
10		 Kansas A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 39% 17% 43% B+ A+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+ B- D A+ B A 35% 18% 47% C- A- B+ C+ B+ F B- F+ C
1.29 44% 75% 45% +8 0 1.20 33% 1.2 .39 14% .50 72% .36 1.13 68% 20% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.2 .32 9% .30 83% .25
Jan
13		 Houston F+ C F B+ B 21% 26% 52% D B- F B D C- F F F C+ C- A+ B- A 19% 17% 65% D- A- B+ F F C F B- F
0.78 56% 18% 36% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 24% .22 50% .11 1.25 67% 25% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 1.6 .54 11% .39 76% .29
Jan
17		 Colorado A- A+ A+ F B+ 33% 23% 44% C B+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 12% 47% D- A+ A B- A- F+ A- B A-
1.22 71% 60% 26% +4 -1 1.09 46% 1.5 .71 15% .44 64% .28 1.03 65% 17% 22% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .22 10% .26 71% .19
Jan
21		 Arizona St. A- A- B A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% F+ A F A+ C+ C+ D B- D A+ C F A- C+ 38% 31% 31% A- B- A B- A A B- A+ A+
1.15 67% 43% 43% +10 -2 1.18 21% 1.7 .36 20% .25 77% .19 0.96 59% 50% 29% +2 -1 1.02 26% 1.1 .29 20% .34 56% .19
Jan
24		 Arizona D- F+ D+ F D+ 30% 37% 33% C- D+ D C+ C- B+ F A F C- F A F+ D+ 40% 19% 42% D D A+ B A+ F C+ B B-
0.78 41% 33% 26% -11 -3 0.75 19% 0.9 .16 16% .07 75% .05 1.30 81% 30% 41% +12 0 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 7% .37 70% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Kansas St. F+ B- F+ F F+ 32% 21% 47% C- D- D+ A+ B- D- F D F A+ A+ A- D A+ 44% 14% 42% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ F A+
0.96 60% 30% 23% -9 -1 0.83 29% 1.5 .44 21% .19 67% .12 0.88 41% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 20% 0.6 .11 16% .08 100% .08
Jan
31		 Baylor F F F D+ F 49% 10% 41% A+ D- B D C+ F A+ F+ A A B+ D+ C A- 43% 20% 37% F B B+ C- B A+ A+ F+ A+
0.88 47% 0% 31% -11 +2 0.85 34% 0.8 .29 22% .38 67% .25 1.04 55% 44% 35% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.2 .40 23% .11 80% .09
Feb
5		 Cincinnati B+ C A+ F D+ 37% 20% 44% B- C- B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 29% 31% 40% A A+ C+ F F A- A+ F B+
1.01 53% 63% 17% -8 0 0.85 29% 1.8 .53 19% .52 56% .29 0.92 43% 27% 26% -12 -2 0.73 31% 1.6 .51 20% .18 78% .14
Feb
8		 Texas Tech C- A+ B- F D- 41% 20% 39% A D+ C+ A+ A- A- A+ F A- A- A+ C F C- 35% 15% 50% D- D+ A+ C+ A+ B B- F C-
0.98 75% 40% 5% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.3 .34 14% .41 57% .23 1.08 41% 43% 54% +10 +1 1.23 7% 1.0 .07 17% .24 85% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.2 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.5 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.5 2.9 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 1.3 11.2 9.3 0.9 22.7 6th
7th 0.3 9.5 11.6 0.9 22.3 7th
8th 0.1 5.5 13.0 2.1 20.7 8th
9th 1.5 9.6 2.9 0.0 14.0 9th
10th 0.1 3.0 2.0 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.5 1.1 0.1 1.6 11th
12th 0.3 0.2 0.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.9 5.8 17.4 26.7 25.8 16.4 6.1 0.8 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.8% 88.0% 1.2% 86.7% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 87.8%
12-6 6.1% 72.7% 0.8% 71.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 0.8 1.7 72.5%
11-7 16.4% 48.9% 0.4% 48.4% 10.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 3.5 0.0 8.4 48.7%
10-8 25.8% 30.8% 0.1% 30.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.6 0.0 17.9 30.7%
9-9 26.7% 12.0% 0.1% 11.9% 10.9 0.0 0.3 2.7 0.1 23.5 11.9%
8-10 17.4% 2.0% 0.1% 2.0% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 17.1 2.0%
7-11 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 5.8 0.2%
6-12 0.9% 0.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.7% 0.2% 24.5% 10.3 75.3 24.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 95.8% 8.0 4.2 29.2 29.2 29.2 4.2
Lose Out 0.6%