Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#95
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#132
Pace63.0#337
Improvement-0.4#216

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#99
First Shot+1.1#149
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#72
Layup/Dunks+3.0#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#138
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement+1.4#73

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#100
First Shot+2.5#95
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#200
Layups/Dunks-0.7#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement-1.8#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 4.1% 1.1%
Average Seed 9.6 9.6 9.5
.500 or above 21.8% 26.1% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.6% 16.3% 10.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 15.6% 14.0% 20.0%
First Four1.2% 1.4% 0.5%
First Round2.7% 3.3% 0.9%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 66 - 16
Quad 33 - 29 - 18
Quad 45 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 162 Youngstown St. W 74-59 80%     1 - 0 +11.4 +6.2 +6.3
  Fri, Nov 7 287 Longwood W 78-60 92%     2 - 0 +7.9 -0.3 +8.2
  Mon, Nov 10 205 Eastern Michigan W 78-66 85%     3 - 0 +6.3 +4.0 +2.4
  Thu, Nov 13 71 @West Virginia L 49-71 29%     3 - 1 -11.0 -11.3 -2.1
  Mon, Nov 17 316 Bucknell W 84-50 93%     4 - 1 +22.4 +12.4 +12.7
  Thu, Nov 20 62 Central Florida L 67-77 37%     4 - 2 -1.2 +3.8 -6.2
  Sun, Nov 23 154 Quinnipiac L 75-83 79%     4 - 3 -11.0 +3.2 -14.4
  Fri, Nov 28 24 Ohio St. W 67-66 27%     5 - 3 +12.7 +3.7 +9.1
  Tue, Dec 2 39 Texas A&M L 73-81 36%     5 - 4 +1.0 +9.1 -8.8
  Sun, Dec 7 139 Hofstra W 71-64 73%    
  Sat, Dec 13 38 @Villanova L 62-72 17%    
  Wed, Dec 17 354 Binghamton W 78-57 98%    
  Sun, Dec 21 96 Penn St. W 73-72 50%    
  Tue, Dec 30 32 @Miami (FL) L 66-77 15%    
  Sat, Jan 3 33 Clemson L 66-71 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 60 Syracuse L 69-70 47%    
  Wed, Jan 14 135 @Georgia Tech W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 13 Louisville L 70-80 18%    
  Wed, Jan 21 145 @Boston College W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 36 North Carolina St. L 73-78 34%    
  Tue, Jan 27 50 Wake Forest L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 33 @Clemson L 63-74 16%    
  Tue, Feb 3 23 @Virginia L 64-77 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 40 SMU L 72-76 37%    
  Tue, Feb 10 3 Duke L 62-76 10%    
  Sat, Feb 14 22 @North Carolina L 66-79 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 58 Notre Dame L 67-68 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 85 @Stanford L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 76 @California L 68-73 32%    
  Wed, Mar 4 101 Florida St. W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Mar 7 60 @Syracuse L 66-73 27%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.1 0.1 3.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.4 1.4 0.0 5.7 10th
11th 0.3 2.8 2.9 0.3 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 4.8 1.4 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 4.9 3.5 0.3 0.0 9.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.5 1.1 0.0 11.2 14th
15th 0.3 3.3 6.0 2.4 0.1 12.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.9 16th
17th 0.3 2.2 4.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.2 17th
18th 0.5 1.9 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.1 18th
Total 0.5 2.1 5.7 9.5 13.4 15.1 15.6 13.3 10.1 6.7 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 61.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 7.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 95.3% 2.3% 93.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
13-5 0.5% 88.2% 5.9% 82.4% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 87.5%
12-6 0.9% 67.1% 0.4% 66.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 67.0%
11-7 2.2% 41.8% 0.2% 41.6% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 41.7%
10-8 4.1% 17.4% 0.4% 17.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 3.4 17.1%
9-9 6.7% 5.4% 0.3% 5.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 6.4 5.1%
8-10 10.1% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.0 1.0%
7-11 13.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 13.3 0.1%
6-12 15.6% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 15.6
5-13 15.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.1
4-14 13.4% 13.4
3-15 9.5% 9.5
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.4% 0.1% 3.3% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 96.6 3.3%