Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#101
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#120
Pace81.6#8
Improvement-6.7#364

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#127
First Shot-0.1#178
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#80
Layup/Dunks+1.6#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#71
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement-4.0#364

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#81
First Shot+1.4#121
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#69
Layups/Dunks+1.1#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#250
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement-2.6#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 2.5% 0.9%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 9.9
.500 or above 26.1% 31.6% 12.7%
.500 or above in Conference 14.0% 15.8% 9.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 13.7% 19.8%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
First Round1.7% 2.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Neutral) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 12
Quad 23 - 54 - 17
Quad 32 - 17 - 18
Quad 47 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 334 Alcorn St. W 108-76 95%     1 - 0 +18.6 +21.0 -4.9
  Fri, Nov 7 276 Alabama St. W 101-64 90%     2 - 0 +28.0 +12.2 +11.9
  Tue, Nov 11 14 @Florida L 76-78 7%     2 - 1 +19.0 +4.0 +15.3
  Tue, Nov 18 240 Tennessee Martin W 87-73 87%     3 - 1 +6.5 +5.6 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 21 232 Georgia Southern W 98-72 87%     4 - 1 +18.9 +5.5 +9.3
  Tue, Nov 25 295 Cal St. Bakersfield W 89-59 92%     5 - 1 +19.6 -1.3 +16.8
  Fri, Nov 28 39 Texas A&M L 59-95 25%     5 - 2 -24.0 -13.5 -7.9
  Tue, Dec 2 19 Georgia L 73-107 23%     5 - 3 -21.5 -2.6 -15.4
  Sat, Dec 6 8 Houston L 67-82 9%     5 - 4 +4.7 +5.5 -1.0
  Sat, Dec 13 167 Massachusetts W 84-78 71%    
  Tue, Dec 16 70 @Dayton L 76-82 28%    
  Fri, Dec 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 92-62 99.7%   
  Mon, Dec 22 291 Jacksonville W 82-67 92%    
  Tue, Dec 30 22 @North Carolina L 75-88 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 3 Duke L 70-85 9%    
  Sat, Jan 10 36 North Carolina St. L 82-87 32%    
  Tue, Jan 13 60 @Syracuse L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 50 Wake Forest L 80-83 41%    
  Tue, Jan 20 32 @Miami (FL) L 75-86 15%    
  Sat, Jan 24 40 @SMU L 78-88 18%    
  Wed, Jan 28 76 California W 79-78 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 85 Stanford W 83-81 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 58 @Notre Dame L 71-79 25%    
  Tue, Feb 10 23 Virginia L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 67 @Virginia Tech L 77-84 27%    
  Tue, Feb 17 145 Boston College W 77-70 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 33 @Clemson L 71-82 16%    
  Tue, Feb 24 32 Miami (FL) L 78-83 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 135 @Georgia Tech W 78-77 51%    
  Wed, Mar 4 95 @Pittsburgh L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Mar 7 40 SMU L 81-85 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.0 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 2.1 0.2 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.3 1.3 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.3 2.8 3.0 0.3 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.9 1.4 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.3 0.2 9.7 13th
14th 0.5 4.4 5.2 1.0 0.0 11.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.2 2.5 0.1 12.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.8 3.5 0.3 12.6 16th
17th 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.2 17th
18th 0.4 1.8 3.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.1 18th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.7 9.9 13.5 16.0 15.4 13.1 10.0 6.4 3.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 14.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 15.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 93.1% 6.9% 86.2% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.6%
13-5 0.4% 79.2% 3.1% 76.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 78.6%
12-6 1.1% 50.6% 1.5% 49.1% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 49.8%
11-7 2.0% 25.2% 0.5% 24.8% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5 24.9%
10-8 3.8% 8.0% 0.3% 7.7% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.5 7.7%
9-9 6.4% 1.7% 0.2% 1.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3 1.6%
8-10 10.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.2%
7-11 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 15.4% 15.4
5-13 16.0% 16.0
4-14 13.5% 13.5
3-15 9.9% 9.9
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.1% 0.1% 2.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.0 97.9 2.0%