SMU
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.1 41
Results Rating +11.9 47
Consistency 0.15 155
Pace 71.7 95
Improvement -3.5 306

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 19 A B B C D+
Defense B- 95 B- B- B- B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 176 B+ 66% 37 +3.2 73
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 111 A 47% 16 +3.9 30
Three Pointers 36% 281 A 41% 6 +1.2 145
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 266 A +8.7 4
1st FG Attempt A 1.19 15
Second Chance B+ 37.1% 23 C 1.04 168 B 0.38 47
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 91
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 57
Turnovers B 14.6% 55
Freethrows C- 0.29 216 B- 74% 118 C 0.22 190
Total Offense A- +10.3 19

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 61% 24 B+ 7.6% 29
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 53 C 5.1% 192
Three Pointers C- 82% 221 B- 0.5% 88
Total B 61% 67 B 4.4% 48


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 332 B- 55% 93 -5.1 39
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 81 B 34% 44 +0.1 206
Three Pointers 45% 63 C 34% 178 +2.0 282
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 50 B- -2.1 95
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 72
Second Chance C+ 29.5% 151 B 0.95 63 B- 0.28 90
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 99
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 116
Turnovers B- 18.3% 87
Freethrows B 0.26 70 C+ 72% 136 B 0.19 66
Total Defense B- +2.8 95

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 313 B- 14.3% 61
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 357 B 7.1% 59
Three Pointers C- 85% 227 C- 0.7% 188
Total D- 64% 342 C+ 6.5% 107

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 22 18.8 346
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 45 0.14 80
Consistency 0.11 79 0.12 189
Improvement -0.3 202 -3.2 323

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 46 42 36
Results Rating Rank 57 48 41
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 11 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None 11 8
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Four 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58% 68% 45%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58% 68% 45%
Average Seed 10.0 9.8 10.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 59% 100% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four24% 21% 28%
First Round47% 58% 32%
Second Round20% 25% 12%
Sweet Sixteen4% 5% 2%
Elite Eight1% 2% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 59.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 45 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 12
Quad 36 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 220 Tarleton St. W 96 - 76 96% +7  94% 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +16 A F+ A+ D+ -3 B+ B- C+
 Thu, Nov 6 188 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69 - 58 94% +2  63% 2 - 0 B- +6 D -5 F F A+ A+ +12 A A- D+
 Tue, Nov 11 124 Murray St. W 102 - 91 89% +9  97% 3 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 C+ B+ B+ C +0 D+ D+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 84 Butler W 87 - 85 81% -0  41% 4 - 0 B- +6 B +7 A+ B F C -1 F B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 106 - 60 99% +24  99% 5 - 0 A+ +31 B+ +9 A+ F+ C+ A+ +17 A- A+ B
 Fri, Nov 21 147 Arkansas St. W 100 - 69 91% +15  89% 6 - 0 A+ +29 A- +10 A+ F A A+ +15 A- F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 243 Radford W 89 - 72 96% +11  100% 7 - 0 B +9 C +0 D+ A D- A- +8 A+ D+ D-
 Fri, Nov 28 93 @Mississippi St. W 87 - 81 OT 66% -1  33% 8 - 0 A- +15 B- +5 C- A+ C A +9 A+ A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 18 @Vanderbilt L 69 - 88 22% -9  4% 8 - 1 C+ +2 B- +4 C- A+ C C- -3 D- A F
 Sun, Dec 7 33 Texas A&M W 93 - 80 OT 45% +5  73% 9 - 1 A+ +27 B +7 C A+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A- A
 Sat, Dec 13 58 LSU L 77 - 89 63% -7  8% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +11 A B+ C F -14 F F A-
 Sun, Dec 21 169 Central Arkansas W 99 - 82 93% +11  98% 10 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +21 A A+ B D- -8 D- F A
 Sun, Dec 28 203 Cal St. Fullerton W 110 - 63 95% +25  99% 11 - 2 A+ +42 A+ +22 A+ A- A- A+ +16 A+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 3 27 North Carolina W 97 - 83 53% +5  83% 12 - 2 1 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +27 A+ C A C -1 D- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 40 @Clemson L 70 - 74 37% -7  0% 12 - 3 1 - 1 B+ +13 A- +10 C- A+ D+ B- +2 B+ C- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 1 @Duke L 75 - 82 6% -4  21% 12 - 4 1 - 2 A+ +23 A+ +16 A+ B+ F A- +8 C A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 76 72% -0  43% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B- +8 B- +6 B C- B B- +3 B- B C
 Sat, Jan 17 21 Virginia L 68 - 72 45% -1  41% 13 - 5 2 - 3 B +10 B+ +9 B- A+ A C+ +1 A F B+
 Tue, Jan 20 69 @Wake Forest W 91 - 79 55% +8  89% 14 - 5 3 - 3 A+ +24 A +13 A+ B+ C+ A +10 B A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 75 Florida St. W 83 - 80 79% +4  72% 15 - 5 4 - 3 B- +8 A +11 B+ C+ A+ D+ -4 B- C D
 Sat, Jan 31 13 @Louisville L 74 - 88 21% +1  56% 15 - 6 4 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 A B- F+ B +5 C A C-
 Tue, Feb 3 36 North Carolina St. L 83 - 84 58% +1  55% 15 - 7 4 - 5 B +10 A- +11 A+ F+ A+ C -0 C+ B+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 95 @Pittsburgh W 86 - 67 67% +7  66% 16 - 7 5 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +20 A+ B- A- A +9 A+ B- B-
 Tue, Feb 10 89 Notre Dame W 89 - 81 82% +5  83% 17 - 7 6 - 5 B +11 A+ +15 A+ A+ F D+ -3 F B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 77 @Syracuse L 78 - 79 59% +5  92% 17 - 8 6 - 6 B +10 A +13 F A+ A+ C- -3 D+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 17 13 Louisville W 95 - 85 40% +2  67% 18 - 8 7 - 6 A+ +26 A+ +18 A+ F A B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 137 Boston College W 94 - 70 91% +8  76% 19 - 8 8 - 6 A +22 A+ +27 A+ C A+ D+ -4 A- D D+
 Wed, Feb 25 73 @California L 69 - 73 57% -3  13% 19 - 9 8 - 7 B- +7 C +1 B- A+ D- B+ +7 A- A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 60 @Stanford L 75 - 95 53% -10  1% 19 - 10 8 - 8 D+ -8 A +12 A D+ A F -21 F C F+
 Wed, Mar 4 34 Miami (FL) L 69 - 77 56% -7  0% 19 - 11 8 - 9 C+ +3 C- -0 C B- C- B +4 C+ C+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 75 @Florida St. W 86 - 84 59%
Totals 20 - 11 9 - 9 +13 A- +10 A- A D+ B- +3 A B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ A A A 39% 44% 36% D+ A B+ C B B C- B- C B- B- B C B- 32% 24% 45% B B- C+ B B- B- B C+ B
1.23 66% 47% 41% +9 -1 1.19 37% 1.0 .38 15% .29 74% .22 1.05 55% 34% 34% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.0 .28 18% .26 72% .21
Nov
3		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A+ A A+ 30% 33% 37% F A D F F+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F A+ D- C+ 22% 43% 35% A+ B+ C+ B B- C+ F F F
1.32 79% 53% 41% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.9 .25 15% .68 79% .53 1.04 80% 15% 38% -3 -4 0.87 30% 0.9 .27 21% .61 83% .50
Nov
6		 TX A&M Corpus Christi D D- F F+ F 40% 30% 30% D- F C+ F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A 29% 23% 48% A- A C- A+ A- D+ B- C C+
1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38 0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21
Nov
11		 Murray St. B+ D B- A+ B 40% 35% 25% F+ C+ A C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F C+ D+ 39% 17% 44% C D+ A F D+ B+ D+ C D+
1.25 50% 43% 47% +3 -2 1.05 43% 1.0 .43 14% .43 83% .36 1.12 52% 78% 33% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.6 .39 18% .36 75% .27
Nov
15		 Butler B A- A+ C A 63% 15% 22% A+ A+ A+ F+ B F B B- B C D- A+ F F 35% 17% 48% B+ F F A+ B A+ D+ A+ B-
1.17 68% 50% 33% +8 +2 1.22 42% 0.8 .32 21% .26 73% .19 1.14 67% 22% 48% +10 0 1.23 43% 0.8 .32 23% .40 61% .24
Nov
18		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 46% D+ A+ D- D- F+ C+ C+ C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A 39% 23% 39% D+ A- C A+ A+ B B- A+ A
1.32 76% 45% 44% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.0 .30 15% .38 77% .29 0.75 73% 15% 18% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.2 .04 21% .28 56% .16
Nov
21		 Arkansas St. A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 27% 32% D+ A+ B- F F A F F F A+ D- F A+ A- 31% 20% 49% B+ A- F C+ F A+ C B+ B-
1.25 81% 56% 38% +16 -1 1.33 31% 0.2 .05 10% .22 63% .14 0.86 67% 50% 17% -8 -1 0.86 54% 1.0 .54 40% .33 69% .23
Nov
24		 Radford C C+ F C D+ 37% 16% 47% C- D+ B- A+ A D- A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 15% 56% C+ A+ A F D+ D- A F B
1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40 0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22
Nov
28		 Mississippi St. B- C- A F C+ 21% 40% 39% F C- B A+ A+ C A F B A B+ C A+ A+ 29% 29% 43% A- A+ A+ F+ A- F D- F F
1.09 54% 48% 25% -2 -4 0.90 31% 1.6 .49 14% .33 65% .22 1.01 56% 39% 26% -6 -2 0.87 20% 1.2 .24 9% .34 76% .26
Dec
3		 Vanderbilt B- A+ D+ F C 33% 41% 25% F C- A+ A A+ C A C- A- C- F F A D- 45% 17% 38% D+ D- A+ F+ A F A+ D- A+
1.02 71% 33% 15% -5 -3 0.86 40% 1.2 .48 19% .42 74% .31 1.30 81% 60% 27% +10 +1 1.24 21% 1.3 .29 7% .19 83% .16
Dec
7		 Texas A&M B A- B+ F C+ 34% 31% 34% D C D A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% A+ A+ D+ A+ A- A F A+ F
1.10 65% 44% 25% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.9 .44 13% .38 93% .35 0.94 67% 40% 27% -3 0 0.95 36% 0.7 .24 19% .49 65% .32
Dec
13		 LSU A- B- A A+ A+ 41% 27% 33% C A A+ D B+ C C+ F D+ F C F F F 42% 28% 30% B+ F F F F A- A+ F+ A+
1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18 1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19
Dec
21		 Central Arkansas A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 36% 12% 53% C+ A A+ A- A+ B F A F D- A- C- F F 31% 27% 42% A D- F D F A D C D+
1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14 1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22
Dec
28		 Cal St. Fullerton A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 26% 43% D- A+ A+ F A- A- C- C+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 25% 27% 47% A A+ F A+ C A+ F+ B D
1.44 84% 31% 54% +19 -1 1.38 50% 0.9 .43 14% .29 74% .21 0.83 31% 50% 25% -10 -2 0.78 36% 0.7 .24 25% .38 68% .26
Jan
3		 North Carolina A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% A- A+ D+ B+ C A A- D+ B+ C D+ C F F+ 29% 20% 51% B+ D- A- A+ A+ B- B- C B-
1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18 1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22
Jan
7		 Clemson A- D F+ C- C- 34% 27% 39% C- C- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B- D A+ A A 38% 2% 60% F+ B+ C- C C- C- F B- D-
1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 -1 0.85 35% 1.3 .44 20% .55 90% .49 1.13 67% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .42 71% .30
Jan
10		 Duke A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 40% 29% F+ A+ A+ C- B+ F C- A+ B- A- C- A+ F C- 32% 14% 55% A C A+ A+ A+ A- F D- F
1.08 60% 58% 50% +15 -3 1.27 35% 0.8 .26 30% .19 89% .16 1.18 64% 17% 46% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 19% .48 78% .37
Jan
14		 Virginia Tech B- C+ A+ F B+ 41% 35% 24% D B C+ D C- B A+ D+ A+ B- D D+ B B- 36% 20% 44% C B- B- B+ B C C+ A+ B+
1.11 60% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 16% .39 70% .27 1.10 67% 40% 32% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 61% .19
Jan
17		 Virginia B+ F A A+ B+ 40% 40% 19% D B- A- A+ A+ A C- B C C+ A+ A+ D+ A 29% 22% 49% A+ A D- F F B+ A F B
1.09 38% 48% 40% -2 -2 0.92 33% 1.2 .39 13% .26 79% .20 1.16 46% 30% 36% -4 -1 0.93 44% 1.4 .61 18% .23 83% .20
Jan
20		 Wake Forest A D+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 25% 47% F+ A+ B+ B- B+ C+ C C- C- A B B- C B+ 38% 17% 45% C B A+ C+ A+ C B- B+ B+
1.20 53% 57% 46% +12 -1 1.24 35% 1.1 .39 19% .29 72% .21 1.05 55% 40% 35% -1 0 1.02 22% 1.1 .24 15% .28 72% .20
Jan
24		 Florida St. A B- A+ C+ B+ 34% 17% 49% B- B+ B C- C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ F A+ C C 30% 21% 48% A B- F A+ C D B+ A- A-
1.22 61% 56% 35% +4 0 1.11 34% 0.8 .29 10% .38 74% .28 1.18 71% 25% 33% +1 -1 1.02 42% 0.9 .37 12% .25 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Louisville C+ A+ A C+ A+ 22% 33% 44% D- A C+ B B- F+ F D F B F A+ B C- 35% 11% 54% B C A B+ A C- D- A C-
0.99 75% 44% 33% +5 -3 1.07 26% 1.1 .29 21% .15 67% .10 1.18 90% 33% 32% +9 +1 1.23 26% 0.9 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
3		 North Carolina St. A- C- D+ A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% B A+ B F F+ A+ F F F C A B F C 29% 11% 60% C+ C+ A F+ B+ D C A+ A-
1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12 1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19
Feb
7		 Pittsburgh A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 27% 35% D A+ B- B B- A- B C+ B A C+ A A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% B+ A+ C- B+ B- B- F+ F F
1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23 1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28
Feb
10		 Notre Dame A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% B A+ A+ A A+ F C C C D+ F B F F 37% 17% 46% D F A+ F B+ B- A A+ A+
1.29 56% 50% 48% +11 0 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 20% .29 75% .22 1.17 74% 33% 46% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.1 .26 17% .25 57% .14
Feb
14		 Syracuse A F C+ F F+ 37% 31% 31% D- F A A+ A+ A+ C B C+ C- A F F D 31% 21% 48% B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ D- B- F D+
1.19 40% 35% 24% -13 -2 0.74 40% 1.7 .68 9% .29 76% .22 1.21 50% 55% 44% +8 -1 1.17 31% 0.5 .17 12% .31 78% .24
Feb
17		 Louisville A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 37% 30% D A+ D- F F A F A+ D- B+ A+ A- C+ A+ 35% 14% 51% A- A+ C- F F A+ B+ D+ B+
1.24 65% 68% 50% +21 -2 1.38 17% 0.4 .07 13% .18 83% .15 1.11 45% 38% 34% -4 +1 0.95 36% 1.6 .56 22% .25 80% .20
Feb
21		 Boston College A+ A+ A- A A+ 42% 18% 40% B A+ A+ F C A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ B+ A+ D+ A- 23% 27% 50% B+ A- F A- D D+ F+ C D-
1.43 90% 44% 40% +18 +1 1.40 41% 0.6 .24 6% .41 72% .29 1.07 50% 14% 35% -8 -2 0.83 43% 0.9 .37 14% .35 65% .23
Feb
25		 California C D F A+ B 30% 26% 43% D- B- A- A A+ D- A+ F C B+ B F+ B+ B+ 23% 26% 51% A- A- B+ A+ A+ D- A D+ A-
0.99 50% 25% 40% -2 -1 0.96 35% 1.2 .43 20% .47 42% .20 1.05 54% 47% 31% -1 -2 0.96 23% 0.7 .15 11% .24 80% .19
Feb
28		 Stanford A B+ C- A A 46% 23% 31% B- A B+ F D+ A B- F+ C F C- A+ F F 38% 11% 51% B- F C C C F+ F F F
1.17 64% 36% 40% +5 0 1.13 33% 0.7 .24 14% .36 70% .25 1.48 59% 20% 57% +16 +1 1.36 35% 1.0 .35 11% .56 91% .51
Mar
4		 Miami (FL) C- D B C- C- 39% 20% 41% B C A F B- C- D- A+ C- B A+ B+ F B- 54% 18% 28% C- C+ B- D+ C+ A+ C B- C+
0.99 50% 40% 33% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 20% .20 82% .16 1.11 41% 33% 64% +2 +1 1.10 36% 1.2 .42 23% .34 67% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 36.3 36.3 8th
9th 22.7 22.7 9th
10th 26.4 26.4 10th
11th 13.2 13.2 11th
12th 1.5 1.5 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 41.1 59.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 59.0% 67.7% 0.7% 67.0% 9.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.2 7.4 16.5 11.4 0.0 19.0 67.5%
8-10 41.1% 44.8% 0.5% 44.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.5 10.7 0.4 22.6 44.6%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 58.3% 0.6% 57.7% 10.0 41.7 58.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 6.5 9.8 43.9 34.1 9.8 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.6% 92.0% 8.1 0.4 6.9 19.8 33.2 22.1 8.4 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3% 85.8% 9.1 0.7 4.2 17.9 31.2 26.0 5.8
Lose Out 13.2% 29.4% 10.9 0.4 4.6 23.3 1.2