Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#50
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#66
Pace73.4#88
Improvement-2.1#312

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#61
First Shot+2.4#109
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#35
Layup/Dunks+2.9#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#137
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#47
First Shot+5.9#28
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#240
Layups/Dunks+3.3#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#191
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-2.2#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 4.7% 5.0% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.4% 40.7% 22.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.5% 39.7% 21.2%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.2
.500 or above 85.4% 86.9% 65.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 60.6% 47.1%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.4% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.6% 3.1%
First Four8.6% 8.9% 5.8%
First Round34.9% 36.1% 18.7%
Second Round17.0% 17.6% 8.3%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 4.2% 1.3%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 93.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 26 - 49 - 13
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 242 American W 88-74 94%     1 - 0 +6.5 +5.9 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 7 325 Morehead St. W 81-65 97%     2 - 0 +3.3 -7.8 +9.2
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 8%     2 - 1 +25.4 +9.9 +15.7
  Sun, Nov 16 317 Umass Lowell W 109-75 97%     3 - 1 +22.3 +21.5 -1.9
  Thu, Nov 20 29 Texas Tech L 83-84 38%     3 - 2 +12.7 +10.2 +2.5
  Fri, Nov 21 69 Memphis W 69-68 59%     4 - 2 +9.2 +4.3 +4.9
  Tue, Nov 25 217 Campbell W 99-51 94%     5 - 2 +41.4 +20.4 +19.7
  Fri, Nov 28 228 Northeastern W 86-73 94%     6 - 2 +6.1 +7.6 -2.1
  Tue, Dec 2 53 Oklahoma L 68-86 63%     6 - 3 -10.8 -6.3 -3.9
  Sat, Dec 6 71 West Virginia W 75-66 60%     7 - 3 +17.0 +19.0 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 14 196 Queens W 89-73 93%    
  Wed, Dec 17 287 Longwood W 88-67 97%    
  Sun, Dec 21 11 Vanderbilt L 79-84 32%    
  Wed, Dec 31 36 @North Carolina St. L 79-84 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 67 Virginia Tech W 80-75 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 32 Miami (FL) W 78-77 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 22 @North Carolina L 75-82 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 101 @Florida St. W 83-80 59%    
  Tue, Jan 20 40 SMU W 81-79 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 3 @Duke L 67-82 9%    
  Tue, Jan 27 95 @Pittsburgh W 73-71 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 36 North Carolina St. W 82-81 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 13 Louisville L 79-84 33%    
  Wed, Feb 11 135 @Georgia Tech W 78-72 70%    
  Sat, Feb 14 85 Stanford W 82-75 74%    
  Wed, Feb 18 33 Clemson W 74-73 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 67 @Virginia Tech L 77-78 46%    
  Tue, Feb 24 145 @Boston College W 75-68 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 60 Syracuse W 77-73 65%    
  Tue, Mar 3 23 @Virginia L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 76 California W 79-73 70%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.5 1.4 0.1 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 4.1 0.8 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 5.0 2.0 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.2 3.8 0.4 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 5.1 1.2 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.8 2.8 0.2 8.7 10th
11th 0.2 2.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 1.7 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.4 0.3 5.6 13th
14th 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.0 0.1 3.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.6 7.6 10.7 13.5 14.6 13.8 12.2 9.0 5.6 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 77.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 40.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 14.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 10.4% 89.6% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.2% 100.0% 9.2% 90.8% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.9% 98.4% 8.3% 90.1% 6.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.2%
13-5 5.6% 95.8% 5.2% 90.6% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 95.5%
12-6 9.0% 88.8% 3.7% 85.1% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.1 1.5 0.5 1.0 88.4%
11-7 12.2% 73.3% 1.6% 71.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.4 2.9 1.4 0.0 3.2 72.9%
10-8 13.8% 50.3% 0.9% 49.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 2.3 0.1 6.8 49.9%
9-9 14.6% 29.2% 0.5% 28.7% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.2 0.1 10.3 28.9%
8-10 13.5% 9.1% 0.3% 8.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.2 8.8%
7-11 10.7% 1.9% 0.2% 1.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.7%
6-12 7.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.1%
5-13 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 39.4% 1.5% 37.9% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.0 6.2 7.5 9.1 7.5 0.3 0.0 60.6 38.5%