Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#317
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#343
Pace73.1#91
Improvement+0.4#163

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#282
First Shot-3.6#277
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#206
Layup/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#267
Freethrows-0.5#211
Improvement-1.6#301

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#329
First Shot-3.4#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#267
Layups/Dunks-3.2#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#193
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement+1.9#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 11.1% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 9.8% 22.6% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 66.3% 53.5%
Conference Champion 7.2% 10.7% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 6.3% 11.1%
First Four7.3% 9.3% 6.9%
First Round4.2% 6.4% 3.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 410 - 1010 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 6 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -39.3 -17.2 -18.0
  Mon, Nov 10 332 New Haven L 67-73 67%     0 - 2 -19.3 -8.5 -10.9
  Thu, Nov 13 130 @Columbia L 72-86 10%     0 - 3 -8.9 +1.1 -10.2
  Sun, Nov 16 50 @Wake Forest L 75-109 3%     0 - 4 -20.5 +2.9 -20.7
  Wed, Nov 19 115 @Bradley L 77-87 9%     0 - 5 -3.6 +11.7 -15.7
  Sat, Nov 22 326 @St. Peter's L 66-68 42%     0 - 6 -8.7 -10.1 +1.4
  Wed, Nov 26 339 @Stonehill W 75-64 48%     1 - 6 +2.8 +2.1 +0.9
  Sat, Dec 6 167 @Massachusetts L 60-80 15%     1 - 7 -17.8 -14.4 -1.7
  Sat, Dec 13 154 @Quinnipiac L 73-85 14%    
  Tue, Dec 16 256 Sacred Heart L 81-82 48%    
  Sun, Dec 21 253 @Boston University L 71-78 27%    
  Mon, Dec 29 25 @Iowa L 60-86 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 330 Albany W 78-74 66%    
  Thu, Jan 8 297 @Bryant L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 354 @Binghamton W 73-72 55%    
  Thu, Jan 15 348 NJIT W 78-71 72%    
  Thu, Jan 22 185 Vermont L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-78 29%    
  Thu, Jan 29 335 @New Hampshire L 73-74 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 328 @Maine L 67-69 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 348 @NJIT W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 330 @Albany L 75-77 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 297 Bryant W 74-72 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 335 New Hampshire W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 354 Binghamton W 76-69 75%    
  Thu, Feb 26 185 @Vermont L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-76 49%    
  Tue, Mar 3 328 @Maine L 67-69 43%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 7.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.0 4.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.9 5.1 1.6 0.2 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.3 5.6 1.2 0.1 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 6.0 5.7 1.0 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.3 1.1 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.8 4.7 1.2 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.1 3.4 1.1 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 5.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.6 8.7 11.8 14.0 14.8 13.8 10.8 7.8 4.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 94.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
13-3 80.7% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
12-4 49.0% 2.3    1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0
11-5 18.9% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0
10-6 3.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.2% 7.2 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 31.8% 31.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 0.9% 29.7% 29.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.6
13-3 2.3% 25.5% 25.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 1.7
12-4 4.7% 21.1% 21.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.7
11-5 7.8% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2 6.5
10-6 10.8% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 1.4 9.4
9-7 13.8% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.2 12.6
8-8 14.8% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.9 13.9
7-9 14.0% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.7 13.3
6-10 11.8% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.4 11.4
5-11 8.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.6
4-12 5.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.6
3-13 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.8 92.1 0.0%