Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.2 287
Results Rating -8.0 295
Consistency 0.14 117
Pace 71.2 107
Improvement +2.7 85

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 196 C- D+ D+ C- C
Defense D- 329 D- D+ D- B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 354 C- 55% 255 -6.0 350
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 292 D 33% 327 -2.4 292
Three Pointers 54% 6 C+ 35% 122 +7.6 13
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 204 C -0.7 196
1st FG Attempt C- 1.01 197
Second Chance D 26.2% 298 C- 1.01 210 D+ 0.27 278
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 304
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 245
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 293
Freethrows D+ 0.27 275 B+ 77% 25 C- 0.21 213
Total Offense C- -1.2 196

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 205 C 10.7% 162
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 109 C- 5.8% 242
Three Pointers C- 82% 236 C 0.8% 173
Total B- 61% 70 B 4.6% 62


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 173 D- 65% 333 +2.7 272
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 344 C 38% 185 -2.2 28
Three Pointers 46% 37 D 37% 312 +5.0 347
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 311 D- +4.5 341
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 340
Second Chance D+ 32.3% 267 C- 1.06 242 D+ 0.34 271
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 311
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 326
Turnovers D- 13.8% 339
Freethrows B 0.26 50 C+ 71% 120 B 0.18 40
Total Defense D- -6.0 329

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 306 D+ 7.9% 303
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 314 D+ 3.4% 264
Three Pointers D- 90% 343 D+ 0.4% 280
Total D- 65% 345 D 3.8% 317

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 130 17.1 148
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 199 0.21 317
Consistency 0.15 342 0.11 66
Improvement +1.3 127 +1.4 109

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 298 290 279
Results Rating Rank 311 307 277
Conference Record 9 - 11 9 - 11 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 4% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 4% 0%
First Round1% 2% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 410 - 1113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 120 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 11% -7  3% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +3 D C- B+ F+ -9 A- F F
 Tue, Nov 11 38 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  4% 0 - 2 F+ -17 D+ -4 C+ B- F F -16 F D- A
 Sat, Nov 15 202 @Queens L 64 - 81 23% -13  1% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -16 F F D C -1 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 328 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 74% +9  91% 1 - 3 C -1 C -0 B F D+ C -0 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 306 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 44% -2  24% 1 - 4 D+ -8 A +12 A C+ D F -19 F F F+
 Sat, Nov 29 110 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 10% -21  4% 1 - 5 F -24 F -22 F+ F F C +0 D F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 272 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 35% +2  69% 2 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +4 A+ +17 D+ A+ D F -12 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 241 Iona L 69 - 81 51% -4  19% 2 - 6 1 - 1 F -19 F+ -9 B D- F F -10 D+ D F+
 Sat, Dec 13 331 @NJIT W 65 - 49 55% +4  71% 3 - 6 B- +7 D -5 D- C+ C- A+ +15 A B C-
 Tue, Dec 16 311 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 46% +0  46% 3 - 7 D -11 C -0 A- F+ F F -11 F C+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 267 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 57% +8  92% 4 - 7 B+ +13 C +1 F A+ C+ A +11 A+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 22 167 @Towson L 47 - 72 18% -9  6% 4 - 8 F -23 F -21 F C- F D+ -4 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 173 Merrimack L 72 - 80 38% -8  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 D- -12 C -0 B D- C- F -12 F C- D
 Fri, Jan 2 333 @Niagara L 61 - 64 55% -9  0% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D- -12 D -6 F C F D -6 F B+ F+
 Sun, Jan 4 338 @Canisius L 78 - 82 58% +4  79% 4 - 11 1 - 4 D- -13 C+ +3 C D+ D- F -16 D- F D-
 Fri, Jan 9 201 Marist L 72 - 76 42% +2  57% 4 - 12 1 - 5 D -9 B +7 B+ B+ D- F -16 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 215 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 46% -0  40% 4 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -16 F -11 D D F D -6 D A F
 Wed, Jan 14 208 @Siena W 86 - 80 23% +4  97% 5 - 13 2 - 6 B- +7 A +14 F+ A+ A+ D- -7 C D F
 Mon, Jan 19 356 @Rider W 105 - 85 69% +12  96% 6 - 13 3 - 6 B- +8 A +14 A+ F B+ F+ -9 F B+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 338 Canisius W 69 - 66 78% -2  29% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 F -10 C F D C- -2 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 333 Niagara W 71 - 70 76% -5  1% 8 - 13 5 - 6 D- -14 D- -7 B- F B- D- -6 F F B-
 Fri, Jan 30 215 @Quinnipiac W 98 - 91 25% +1  56% 9 - 13 6 - 6 B- +7 A+ +18 A F+ A+ F -11 D- F F
 Sun, Feb 1 173 @Merrimack L 58 - 75 19% -8  3% 9 - 14 6 - 7 F+ -15 F -10 D+ F F D- -7 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 5 264 Fairfield L 87 - 92 56% -8  0% 9 - 15 6 - 8 D- -14 B- +5 D+ A A F -19 F F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 323 @Manhattan L 68 - 80 51% +2  64% 9 - 16 6 - 9 F -20 F -15 F F C D+ -5 D A- F
 Fri, Feb 13 229 St. Peter's W 78 - 71 48% +5  92% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C +0 B+ +8 A C- B D- -7 B F F
 Sun, Feb 15 356 Rider W 86 - 75 85% +11  90% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -7 C+ +3 C- B- D+ F -10 F C F
 Fri, Feb 20 264 @Fairfield L 68 - 78 33% -1  53% 11 - 17 8 - 10 D- -13 F+ -9 F+ C+ F+ D+ -4 F A+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 201 @Marist L 63 - 65 22% +3  76% 11 - 18 8 - 11 C -1 D -4 C- F B+ B- +3 B- A+ F
 Fri, Feb 27 272 Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 69 58% -0  48% 12 - 18 9 - 11 C -1 B- +5 B- C+ C+ D -6 B+ D F
 Thu, Mar 5 241 Iona L 77 - 80 40%
Totals 12 - 19 9 - 11 -7 C- -1 D+ C C D- -6 C+ B+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- D C+ C 30% 28% 54% C C- D C- D+ D+ D+ B+ C- D- D- C D D- 39% 15% 46% D D- D+ C- D+ D- B C+ B
1.07 55% 33% 35% -1 0 1.01 26% 1.0 .27 18% .27 77% .21 1.17 65% 38% 37% +5 +1 1.13 32% 1.1 .34 14% .26 71% .19
Nov
7		 Duquesne C+ A+ F F D- 28% 14% 58% C+ D B+ F C- B+ A+ D- A+ F+ F+ F A+ A 42% 5% 53% D+ A- F F+ F F F B+ F
1.08 75% 0% 28% -6 0 0.91 35% 0.7 .26 15% .73 67% .49 1.24 70% 67% 17% -7 +2 0.93 38% 1.2 .44 9% .58 67% .39
Nov
11		 Villanova D+ D+ F A C+ 31% 17% 52% B C+ C- A- B- F F D F F F F F F 20% 6% 74% C- F F C+ D- A A+ B+ A+
0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04 1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08
Nov
15		 Queens F F C- C- F 33% 15% 53% C F D+ F F D F C- F C C A+ F F 30% 8% 62% D+ F D B C A+ A+ F A+
0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14 1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13
Nov
21		 Holy Cross C C- A A B 23% 8% 70% C+ B C- F F D+ D- C+ D C D F D- F+ 33% 13% 53% F F F+ A C A+ D+ B C-
1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16 0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22
Nov
24		 Central Connecticut St. A C+ A A+ A 39% 16% 44% D+ A D A C+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 46% 28% 26% F F C- F F F+ F B- F
1.30 58% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.21 27% 1.2 .33 15% .37 96% .36 1.32 77% 44% 40% +13 0 1.26 28% 1.9 .52 13% .47 76% .35
Nov
29		 Penn St. F F F B- F+ 34% 18% 48% C F+ F F F F C- A+ B- C D- A+ F D 55% 18% 27% D- D F F F A+ F A+ F
0.76 47% 22% 38% -4 0 0.94 18% 0.7 .12 31% .21 91% .19 1.16 68% 11% 50% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.4 .59 22% .48 66% .31
Dec
3		 Mount St. Mary's A+ D B D- D+ 18% 20% 61% D D+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D- C+ F 45% 9% 45% D- F C- F F F B+ B- B+
1.29 50% 44% 30% -4 -1 0.91 44% 1.7 .74 16% .50 86% .42 1.19 68% 40% 32% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.5 .45 15% .24 64% .16
Dec
7		 Iona F+ C+ F A B 27% 12% 61% C B C- F D- F C+ C C+ F D F B- D+ 35% 7% 57% F+ D+ D- D+ D F+ D F F
0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20 1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25
Dec
13		 NJIT D D+ F D F+ 51% 21% 28% C+ D- C C+ C+ C- F A D A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% D+ A D- A+ B C- B A- B+
1.03 54% 20% 31% -7 +1 0.89 34% 1.1 .38 16% .26 79% .21 0.78 54% 22% 22% -14 -1 0.73 31% 0.5 .17 17% .27 64% .17
Dec
16		 Umass Lowell C C A+ A+ A+ 22% 24% 55% F A- F C- F+ F F C F+ F A- F F F 46% 11% 44% F F D- A C+ F B+ A A-
1.12 58% 54% 43% +11 -2 1.22 22% 1.1 .25 19% .19 73% .13 1.19 46% 67% 44% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .31 12% .25 56% .14
Dec
19		 Dartmouth C D A+ F F 40% 10% 50% B F A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ C+ D- A A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 9% 55% F+ A+ F A+ D A+ F A+ D+
1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15 0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26
Dec
22		 Towson F F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% B+ F C- D+ C- F F A+ F D+ F F D+ F 31% 19% 50% D- F C- A+ A+ C B+ A+ A
0.72 44% 60% 18% -16 +1 0.73 26% 0.9 .24 25% .02 100% .02 1.11 81% 50% 35% +10 0 1.21 37% 0.2 .09 17% .22 58% .13
Dec
29		 Merrimack C C+ A B- B+ 30% 21% 49% D+ B D+ D- D- C- D+ D+ D+ F D+ B F F 35% 6% 59% D+ F C+ F+ C- D D- A+ C-
1.09 57% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 37% 0.9 .34 20% .32 71% .23 1.21 59% 33% 41% +7 +2 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 14% .40 70% .28
Jan
2		 Niagara D C- F F F 44% 14% 42% B+ F A+ F C F A+ A- A+ D D C- F F 37% 12% 51% C- F B- A+ B+ F+ C- A- C+
1.05 58% 17% 22% -10 +1 0.84 46% 0.8 .37 24% .41 83% .34 1.10 63% 40% 45% +11 +1 1.26 19% 0.6 .12 15% .24 67% .16
Jan
4		 Canisius C+ A+ C+ D- C 27% 11% 61% C C F A+ D+ D- A+ A+ A+ F F B- A+ F+ 35% 23% 43% C- D- B- F F D- F F F
1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43 1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54
Jan
9		 Marist B C F A- B 37% 11% 52% A- B+ B B B+ D- A+ A+ A+ F F F B+ F 40% 21% 38% D- F F F F D- C- A C
1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38 1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18
Jan
11		 Quinnipiac F A- F C+ D 26% 20% 54% D D D+ D- D F C F D- D F+ B- F F+ 37% 35% 28% A D B A A F B+ B+ B+
0.93 67% 0% 36% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16 1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16
Jan
14		 Siena A F B- C F+ 27% 24% 49% D F+ C A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ D- F B- A C+ 33% 22% 45% D+ C C- F+ D F A+ F A+
1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21 1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 0 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14
Jan
19		 Rider A A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% C- A+ F F F B+ A C A- F+ D+ C+ F F 47% 22% 31% F F A C+ B+ F C+ B+ B-
1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26 1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16
Jan
22		 Canisius F F F A+ C- 39% 6% 56% A- C F F F D F F F C- A+ F F F 45% 9% 45% F F B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11 0.96 36% 60% 48% +1 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Niagara D- A- B+ B- B 25% 22% 53% D B- F F F B- C- F D D- F B F F 51% 13% 36% D- F C+ F F B- A+ A+ A+
1.08 69% 45% 37% +7 -1 1.14 13% 0.5 .06 14% .28 69% .19 1.06 71% 33% 41% +10 +2 1.26 21% 2.0 .42 21% .13 14% .02
Jan
30		 Quinnipiac A+ C- A+ A+ A 29% 11% 60% C+ A F B+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ F D F B D- 32% 12% 56% D- D- D F F F F+ D+ F+
1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36 1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26
Feb
1		 Merrimack F F+ B+ D- C- 33% 33% 35% F D+ F A- F F B- A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A 46% 12% 42% D+ B+ F F F F B- D- C
0.91 46% 46% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.2 .23 25% .38 89% .33 1.18 57% 17% 24% -10 +2 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 8% .32 84% .27
Feb
5		 Fairfield B- D- C B- C- 30% 15% 56% D D+ C- A+ A A A+ D- A- F F F F F 43% 11% 45% F F B- F F C- C- D- D+
1.22 50% 38% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.6 .49 11% .40 68% .27 1.29 70% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.28 31% 1.4 .45 15% .27 75% .20
Feb
7		 Manhattan F C+ F F F 30% 20% 50% D+ F F A+ F C C- A+ C+ D+ C C- D+ D 39% 21% 40% D+ D A B A- F D+ F F+
0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20 1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
13		 St. Peter's B+ F F+ A+ A 31% 17% 52% D+ A F A+ C- B A+ B+ A+ D- B A+ A- A- 48% 17% 35% F B F+ F F F B A- B+
1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43 1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19
Feb
15		 Rider C+ B D- B- C 29% 12% 59% D C- C+ B- B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F C- C+ F F 34% 44% 22% A F D+ B- C F A D A-
1.25 64% 33% 38% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.1 .38 16% .40 87% .34 1.09 55% 35% 54% +4 -3 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 10% .18 73% .13
Feb
20		 Fairfield F+ B+ F F+ F+ 35% 13% 52% D+ F+ F+ A+ C+ F+ F+ A+ D D+ C+ F+ F F 31% 28% 41% B+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ B
0.99 67% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.5 .35 19% .21 83% .18 1.13 53% 47% 50% +11 -1 1.20 24% 0.4 .11 12% .28 53% .15
Feb
22		 Marist D F A+ C+ C- 33% 20% 47% C+ C- C- F F B+ D+ F D- B- A+ A D+ B- 23% 21% 56% C B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
0.93 35% 60% 33% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.5 .15 16% .32 61% .19 0.96 43% 31% 34% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.7 .11 6% .09 67% .06
Feb
27		 Mount St. Mary's B- F F A B- 26% 9% 65% B B- B- D+ C+ C+ D B- D+ D C+ F A+ A- 37% 6% 57% D B+ F A+ D F A A A
1.17 43% 20% 40% 0 +1 1.04 33% 1.0 .33 14% .30 76% .23 1.05 55% 67% 23% -9 +2 0.87 45% 0.8 .36 17% .22 58% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 1.4 98.6
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 98.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.2%
Lose Out 60.8%