Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#246
Pace74.5#63
Improvement+0.6#146

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#154
First Shot-0.3#189
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#141
Layup/Dunks-8.7#361
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.4#2
Freethrows+1.2#111
Improvement+0.8#115

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#343
First Shot-4.1#308
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#288
Layups/Dunks-2.7#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#341
Freethrows+2.3#58
Improvement-0.2#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 7.9% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 45.9% 58.7% 34.7%
.500 or above in Conference 75.7% 86.5% 66.3%
Conference Champion 6.7% 10.7% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.3% 1.7%
First Four1.9% 2.1% 1.6%
First Round5.1% 6.8% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 46.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 414 - 715 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 133 @Duquesne L 80-92 17%     0 - 1 -7.2 +4.9 -11.4
  Tue, Nov 11 38 @Villanova L 60-94 4%     0 - 2 -18.4 -2.3 -18.3
  Sat, Nov 15 196 @Queens L 64-81 28%     0 - 3 -16.3 -12.1 -4.3
  Fri, Nov 21 286 Holy Cross W 79-66 68%     1 - 3 +2.9 +4.5 -0.9
  Mon, Nov 24 243 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 36%     1 - 4 -3.5 +19.4 -22.6
  Sat, Nov 29 96 @Penn St. L 59-90 11%     1 - 5 -22.7 -17.6 -2.1
  Wed, Dec 3 304 @Mount St. Mary's W 87-80 49%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +2.0 +15.4 -13.2
  Sun, Dec 7 176 Iona L 84-85 47%    
  Sat, Dec 13 348 @NJIT W 80-76 65%    
  Tue, Dec 16 317 @Umass Lowell W 82-81 52%    
  Fri, Dec 19 268 Dartmouth W 84-81 62%    
  Mon, Dec 22 125 @Towson L 68-79 16%    
  Mon, Dec 29 283 Merrimack W 77-73 66%    
  Fri, Jan 2 342 @Niagara W 75-72 62%    
  Sun, Jan 4 355 @Canisius W 76-71 68%    
  Fri, Jan 9 158 Marist L 69-71 44%    
  Sun, Jan 11 154 Quinnipiac L 82-84 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 156 @Siena L 71-79 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 336 @Rider W 78-76 58%    
  Thu, Jan 22 355 Canisius W 79-68 84%    
  Sat, Jan 24 342 Niagara W 78-69 80%    
  Fri, Jan 30 154 @Quinnipiac L 79-87 23%    
  Sun, Feb 1 283 @Merrimack L 74-76 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 290 Fairfield W 82-77 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 308 @Manhattan L 82-83 50%    
  Fri, Feb 13 326 St. Peter's W 78-71 74%    
  Sun, Feb 15 336 Rider W 81-73 77%    
  Fri, Feb 20 290 @Fairfield L 79-80 47%    
  Sun, Feb 22 158 @Marist L 66-74 24%    
  Fri, Feb 27 304 Mount St. Mary's W 81-75 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.3 4.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.4 5.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 5.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.4 1.3 0.1 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.5 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.2 1.1 0.1 7.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 2.3 0.9 0.1 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 4.0 6.8 9.4 11.4 13.3 13.8 12.6 10.0 7.0 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 95.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
17-3 78.2% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0
16-4 47.6% 2.1    1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 19.4% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 27.8% 27.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.9% 28.2% 28.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.1% 26.6% 26.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.6
16-4 4.4% 14.7% 14.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.7
15-5 7.0% 14.1% 14.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 6.0
14-6 10.0% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 8.9
13-7 12.6% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 11.6
12-8 13.8% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 13.2
11-9 13.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.9
10-10 11.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 11.2
9-11 9.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.3
8-12 6.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.7
7-13 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.0
6-14 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-15 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 94.0 0.0%