Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#254
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.5#43
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 15.0% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 51.6% 75.7% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 66.6% 81.3% 64.2%
Conference Champion 11.1% 19.6% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.4% 4.6%
First Four2.0% 1.4% 2.1%
First Round9.2% 15.2% 8.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 414 - 816 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 115   @ Duquesne L 67-78 14%    
  Nov 11, 2025 39   @ Villanova L 60-81 3%    
  Nov 15, 2025 245   @ Queens L 78-81 38%    
  Nov 21, 2025 352   Holy Cross W 80-70 82%    
  Nov 24, 2025 305   @ Central Connecticut St. W 71-70 50%    
  Nov 29, 2025 90   @ Penn St. L 71-85 12%    
  Dec 03, 2025 269   @ Mount St. Mary's L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 07, 2025 199   Iona W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 13, 2025 357   @ NJIT W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 16, 2025 295   @ Umass Lowell L 78-79 48%    
  Dec 19, 2025 230   Dartmouth W 79-77 56%    
  Dec 22, 2025 131   @ Towson L 66-76 20%    
  Dec 29, 2025 257   Merrimack W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 02, 2026 335   @ Niagara W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 04, 2026 346   @ Canisius W 76-72 62%    
  Jan 09, 2026 237   Marist W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 11, 2026 215   Quinnipiac W 81-80 54%    
  Jan 14, 2026 222   @ Siena L 73-78 35%    
  Jan 19, 2026 313   @ Rider W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 22, 2026 346   Canisius W 79-69 79%    
  Jan 24, 2026 335   Niagara W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 30, 2026 215   @ Quinnipiac L 78-83 35%    
  Feb 01, 2026 257   @ Merrimack L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 05, 2026 319   Fairfield W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 07, 2026 260   @ Manhattan L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 13, 2026 297   St. Peter's W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 15, 2026 313   Rider W 76-69 70%    
  Feb 20, 2026 319   @ Fairfield W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 22, 2026 237   @ Marist L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 27, 2026 269   Mount St. Mary's W 76-72 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.7 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 11.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.4 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 4.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.3 0.9 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.5 1.0 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 1.1 0.1 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.4 0.1 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.2 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.6 5.9 7.6 8.7 10.1 10.3 10.3 9.8 8.4 7.0 4.9 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 99.4% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 94.5% 1.7    1.5 0.2
17-3 82.8% 2.6    2.0 0.6 0.0
16-4 55.7% 2.7    1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 30.7% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 56.4% 56.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 45.7% 45.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 1.9% 35.6% 35.6% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
17-3 3.2% 32.6% 32.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.2
16-4 4.9% 27.6% 27.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 3.6
15-5 7.0% 21.8% 21.8% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 5.4
14-6 8.4% 15.6% 15.6% 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 7.1
13-7 9.8% 11.6% 11.6% 17.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.6
12-8 10.3% 8.0% 8.0% 18.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 9.5
11-9 10.3% 4.6% 4.6% 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.8
10-10 10.1% 2.8% 2.8% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.8
9-11 8.7% 2.0% 2.0% 17.1 0.0 0.2 8.6
8-12 7.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.6
7-13 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.8
6-14 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-15 3.0% 3.0
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.0 3.8 90.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%