Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.2#355
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#301
Pace61.8#354
Improvement-1.1#261

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#355
First Shot-8.9#362
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#139
Layup/Dunks-6.8#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#300
Freethrows-1.3#253
Improvement-1.9#328

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#337
First Shot-2.2#244
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#328
Layups/Dunks+0.8#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#257
Freethrows-0.9#246
Improvement+0.8#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 5.1% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 4.3% 15.0% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.7% 23.8% 47.2%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 61 - 10
Quad 48 - 128 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 70 @Dayton L 48-88 2%     0 - 1 -28.9 -13.4 -19.7
  Sat, Nov 8 108 @St. Bonaventure L 70-89 4%     0 - 2 -11.9 +8.3 -22.1
  Wed, Nov 12 324 Mercyhurst W 58-55 47%     1 - 2 -9.5 -12.1 +3.0
  Mon, Nov 17 97 @High Point L 50-93 3%     1 - 3 -34.8 -19.2 -17.9
  Fri, Nov 21 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-57 56%     2 - 3 -11.8 -5.5 -5.7
  Sun, Nov 23 354 Binghamton W 75-66 61%     3 - 3 -7.2 +4.7 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 29 223 Buffalo L 53-71 27%     3 - 4 -24.8 -20.5 -5.9
  Fri, Dec 5 326 @St. Peter's L 57-69 27%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -18.7 -13.0 -6.8
  Sun, Dec 7 156 @Siena L 57-73 7%    
  Sat, Dec 13 328 @Maine L 58-64 28%    
  Tue, Dec 16 116 @Rhode Island L 58-78 3%    
  Mon, Dec 22 133 @Duquesne L 63-81 5%    
  Fri, Jan 2 290 Fairfield L 67-70 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 256 Sacred Heart L 71-76 32%    
  Fri, Jan 9 308 @Manhattan L 67-75 23%    
  Sun, Jan 11 176 @Iona L 65-80 9%    
  Wed, Jan 14 342 Niagara W 64-63 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 304 Mount St. Mary's L 66-68 42%    
  Thu, Jan 22 256 @Sacred Heart L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 290 @Fairfield L 64-73 21%    
  Fri, Jan 30 158 Marist L 55-65 19%    
  Sun, Feb 1 156 Siena L 60-70 18%    
  Tue, Feb 3 342 @Niagara L 61-66 33%    
  Thu, Feb 5 154 @Quinnipiac L 63-79 7%    
  Fri, Feb 13 176 Iona L 68-77 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 308 Manhattan L 70-72 43%    
  Fri, Feb 20 336 @Rider L 63-69 31%    
  Sun, Feb 22 304 @Mount St. Mary's L 63-71 23%    
  Fri, Feb 27 283 Merrimack L 62-66 37%    
  Sun, Mar 1 154 Quinnipiac L 66-76 18%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.0 3.9 1.0 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.5 5.4 1.7 0.1 15.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 4.1 7.6 6.3 2.2 0.2 21.5 12th
13th 1.5 5.0 8.5 9.6 6.4 1.9 0.2 33.2 13th
Total 1.5 5.1 9.5 14.0 16.2 15.2 13.0 10.0 6.9 4.3 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 19.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-8 0.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-9 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-10 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
9-11 4.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.3
8-12 6.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.9
7-13 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.0
6-14 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
5-15 15.2% 15.2
4-16 16.2% 16.2
3-17 14.0% 14.0
2-18 9.5% 9.5
1-19 5.1% 5.1
0-20 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%