Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.2 346
Expected Predictive Rating -10.6 326
Pace 62.7 332
Improvement +0.7 155

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #350 F+ D D D D+
Defense D+ #291 D C- D+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 269 42% 365 -7.6 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 113 36% 231 +0.8 127
Three Pointers 41% 181 32% 240 -0.9 213
1st FG Attempt 0.87 357 -7.7 358
Second Chance 26.8% 287 0.94 299 0.25 309
Turnovers 19.4% 319
Freethrows 0.28 267 68% 311 0.19 299
Total Offense -8.4 350

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 262 66% 345 -1.4 226
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 280 43% 322 +0.4 150
Three Pointers 47% 36 35% 235 -3.8 327
1st FG Attempt 1.11 322 -4.8 322
Second Chance 32.1% 245 1.01 150 0.33 219
Turnovers 15.6% 257
Freethrows 0.31 190 72% 198 0.22 192
Total Defense -3.9 291

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.6 272 +0.2 211
Shot Type Accuracy -7.0 360 +4.4 332
Possession Length 19.2 339 17.2 164
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 292 0.18 222
Improvement +0.4 #158 +0.4 #163

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 30% 14% 37%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 97 @Dayton L 48 - 88 4% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -32 F -16 F C+ F F -20 F+ F F
 Sat, Nov 8 134 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 89 7% -10  11% 0 - 2 D- -14 C +1 A- F+ C+ F -18 C F F
 Wed, Nov 12 304 Mercyhurst W 58 - 55 46% +3  70% 1 - 2 D -8 F -13 C F D- B +5 C B+ B-
 Mon, Nov 17 92 @High Point L 50 - 93 4% -25  2% 1 - 3 F -35 F -21 F C+ F F -16 F F+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 348 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60 - 57 62% +3  87% 2 - 3 D- -12 F+ -8 C B- D- D+ -4 C D D
 Sun, Nov 23 361 Binghamton W 75 - 66 76% +3  74% 3 - 3 D -11 C +1 D A+ D+ F+ -10 D+ F+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 202 Buffalo L 53 - 71 26% -8  21% 3 - 4 F -24 F -23 F C- D+ C- -2 B- D+ D
 Fri, Dec 5 228 @St. Peter's L 57 - 69 14% -6  10% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D- -13 F -12 F D+ C- C- -2 A- F D
 Sun, Dec 7 181 @Siena L 52 - 74 10% -14  4% 3 - 6 0 - 2 F -20 F -18 F D F D+ -4 D A F
 Sat, Dec 13 338 @Maine W 70 - 43 36% +16  88% 4 - 6 A +18 C +1 B- C- F+ A+ +20 A+ C A-
 Tue, Dec 16 116 @Rhode Island L 45 - 62 5% -3  44% 4 - 7 D -11 F -21 F F F A- +9 B+ A C+
 Mon, Dec 22 108 @Duquesne L 59 - 103 5% -22  2% 4 - 8 F -37 F -16 D D+ F F -20 F D+ F+
 Fri, Jan 2 262 Fairfield W 85 - 81 36% +4  87% 5 - 8 1 - 2 C- -5 B+ +8 C+ B A+ F -12 C- D- D-
 Sun, Jan 4 287 Sacred Heart W 82 - 78 43% -4  8% 6 - 8 2 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 F+ B D+ D -7 D- C- D+
 Fri, Jan 9 323 @Manhattan W 70 - 64 31% -1  39% 7 - 8 3 - 2 C -1 F+ -8 F F+ B- B+ +7 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 11 247 @Iona L 48 - 74 16% -8  13% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -28 F -20 F D- A+ F+ -11 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 335 Niagara L 54 - 59 58% -3  14% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -19 F -16 F D- F+ D+ -4 D+ A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 289 Mount St. Mary's L 68 - 78 43% -1  50% 7 - 11 3 - 5 F -20 F+ -8 B- F D+ F -13 F D+ C
 Thu, Jan 22 287 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 69 23% +2  58% 7 - 12 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -13 D+ F D+ B +6 D- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 262 @Fairfield L 55 - 61 18% -7  4% 7 - 13 3 - 7 D -9 F -15 F C- F B +6 D+ B- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 163 Marist L 86 - 88 OT 20% +1  41% 7 - 14 3 - 8 D+ -5 A- +10 A B B- F -15 F B+ C-
 Sun, Feb 1 181 Siena L 63 - 78 22% -8  24% 7 - 15 3 - 9 F -19 D+ -4 C- C- F F -18 F F D+
 Tue, Feb 3 335 @Niagara L 56 - 65 35% -8  0% 7 - 16 3 - 10 F+ -17 F -10 F F+ B- D- -9 F C+ B-
 Thu, Feb 5 195 @Quinnipiac L 60 - 75 12% -13  1% 7 - 17 3 - 11 D- -14 F -16 F C D- B- +2 C- F A
 Fri, Feb 13 247 Iona L 67 - 72 33%
 Sun, Feb 15 323 Manhattan W 72 - 71 54%
 Fri, Feb 20 354 @Rider L 66 - 67 46%
 Sun, Feb 22 289 @Mount St. Mary's L 63 - 71 24%
 Fri, Feb 27 182 Merrimack L 60 - 68 23%
 Sun, Mar 1 195 Quinnipiac L 66 - 73 25%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -12 D- -8 F+ D D D+ -4 D C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- F C- C- F+ 35% 24% 41% D+ F+ D+ D+ D D D+ D D D+ F+ D C- D- 36% 17% 47% C- D C- C C- D+ C C C
0.97 42% 36% 32% -7 -1 0.87 27% 0.9 .25 19% .28 68% .19 1.14 66% 43% 35% +4 0 1.11 32% 1.0 .33 16% .31 72% .20
Nov
3		 Dayton F F A- D F 36% 26% 38% C- F B- D+ C+ F D- F F F F A+ A+ F+ 48% 11% 41% D+ F+ F F F F F A F
0.76 27% 45% 31% -11 -1 0.79 33% 0.9 .30 30% .25 45% .11 1.39 95% 20% 17% +5 +2 1.16 35% 1.4 .48 6% .69 68% .47
Nov
8		 St. Bonaventure C C+ A+ A+ A 29% 31% 40% F A- D F F+ C+ B- F+ C F C- D+ C C 33% 24% 43% C+ C F D- F F D- D+ D-
1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23 1.39 61% 46% 35% +4 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25
Nov
12		 Mercyhurst F C- A+ F C+ 47% 21% 32% C- C F F F D- A+ F B+ B B F A+ C- 17% 33% 50% B+ C A- B- B+ B- B D B-
0.94 56% 63% 25% 0 +1 1.03 19% 0.8 .15 21% .54 58% .31 0.89 50% 63% 21% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
17		 High Point F F F+ F F 38% 25% 38% D F B+ F+ C+ F A+ F A+ F F F D F 37% 11% 53% C F B+ F F+ F A+ D- A+
0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35 1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13
Nov
21		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F D- A+ C 30% 23% 48% D- C D A+ B- D- F D F D+ A+ C D- D+ 19% 30% 51% A+ C D D D D D+ A- C-
1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15 0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17
Nov
23		 Binghamton C F+ F A+ D 41% 20% 39% D+ D F+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+ F+ F F A+ D 26% 24% 50% B+ D+ F+ F F+ F+ F D+ F
1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34 1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48
Nov
29		 Buffalo F F B+ F F 40% 23% 36% D F F A+ C- D+ C D+ C- C- C+ C C+ B- 23% 10% 67% C+ B- A F D+ D B F C
0.82 47% 45% 12% -15 0 0.72 23% 1.3 .29 19% .27 71% .19 1.10 55% 40% 34% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.7 .31 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
5		 St. Peter's F F F F F 40% 17% 43% C F B F D+ C- A+ F A- C- A+ F A+ A+ 42% 12% 47% F A- C+ F F D F F+ F
0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35 1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39
Dec
7		 Siena F F C- F F 42% 18% 40% B F C- F D F A B- A D+ F A+ C- D+ 27% 15% 58% D- D B A+ A F D+ A+ B-
0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28 1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19
Dec
13		 Maine C F A+ A+ B 38% 22% 40% D+ B- C- C- C- F+ C+ F+ C- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C- A+ F+ A C A- B- A+ A-
1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22 0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14
Dec
16		 Rhode Island F F C- C- F 43% 29% 29% D F D F F F D+ C+ D+ A- B A+ B- A- 37% 8% 56% D B+ F A+ A C+ A F B
0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23 0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22
Dec
22		 Duquesne F D- C+ B- C 22% 47% 31% F D F A+ D+ F C F F+ F F F F F 38% 4% 58% D+ F B+ F D+ F+ A D B+
0.81 50% 38% 36% -1 -5 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 29% .35 56% .19 1.41 76% 100% 47% +21 +2 1.47 25% 1.4 .36 14% .27 76% .21
Jan
2		 Fairfield B+ F F A+ B- 34% 16% 50% D C+ D+ A+ B A+ A+ C A+ F D+ A- B- C- 43% 20% 37% D C- F C D- D- F D F
1.27 35% 25% 52% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 74% .33 1.21 59% 30% 32% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.9 .38 12% .39 74% .29
Jan
4		 Sacred Heart C A+ D F D- 35% 23% 43% D- F+ F A+ B D+ A+ A+ A+ D F D B+ D- 27% 11% 61% D+ D- B+ F C- D+ F F F
1.20 79% 33% 24% 0 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54 1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43
Jan
9		 Manhattan F+ D C F F 42% 29% 29% D F D+ F F+ B- A- A A B+ D- A+ D- D+ 36% 28% 36% B C- B- A+ A+ C+ A+ F A
1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26 0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
11		 Iona F F F B- F 48% 25% 27% C- F F B D- A+ F B+ F F+ C- F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F D F F A- A+ A+ A+
0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11 1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06
Jan
14		 Niagara F F C+ F F 25% 16% 59% C- F A- F D- F+ B- D+ C+ D+ C- A- D D+ 56% 17% 27% D D+ D A+ A- D+ F F F
0.93 45% 43% 23% -12 0 0.77 41% 0.6 .26 19% .34 75% .25 1.02 57% 29% 36% -1 +2 1.02 26% 0.4 .10 17% .37 78% .29
Jan
17		 Mount St. Mary's F+ D D+ A B- 25% 20% 55% D+ B- F F F D+ F A+ F F F F F F 32% 28% 40% A+ F C D D+ C C- D+ C-
1.01 50% 36% 40% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.5 .08 15% .12 100% .12 1.16 73% 46% 42% +12 -1 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 22% .33 71% .23
Jan
22		 Sacred Heart F F A+ A+ D 45% 9% 45% B D+ F F F D+ F F F B A- A+ F D+ 39% 6% 56% F D- A- A+ A+ D+ B+ A+ A+
0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07 1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11
Jan
24		 Fairfield F F F F F 58% 8% 34% A- F A+ F C- F F F F B C- D- B- D+ 43% 26% 31% C+ D+ F A+ B- A- F A+ C-
0.90 45% 25% 24% -14 +3 0.80 45% 0.7 .30 23% .17 38% .06 1.00 56% 45% 31% -1 0 1.00 41% 0.7 .27 20% .33 56% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Marist A- B+ B+ B+ A 38% 13% 48% A- A B- B B B- A- F C+ F F F C- F 44% 25% 31% D F D+ A+ B+ C- F D+ F
1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26 1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38
Feb
1		 Siena D+ F F A+ C+ 9% 33% 58% F C- A+ F C- F D- C- D- F F F+ F+ F 38% 24% 38% D F F D- F D+ F B+ F
1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15 1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30
Feb
3		 Niagara F C- A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F F A+ F+ B- F A+ F D- F F F F 50% 5% 45% F F C B- C+ B- C+ F C
0.97 58% 63% 19% -6 +1 0.92 16% 1.4 .23 14% .16 88% .14 1.13 70% 50% 44% +14 +3 1.35 23% 0.8 .18 21% .20 78% .15
Feb
5		 Quinnipiac F F F A F 41% 24% 35% D+ F F+ A+ C D- A+ F+ A- B- A- F D+ D+ 30% 20% 50% C+ C- C- F F A F D+ F
0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26 1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 3.3 4.5 0.5 8.2 10th
11th 4.7 17.5 16.4 3.1 0.1 41.8 11th
12th 2.7 16.2 13.6 2.7 0.1 35.3 12th
13th 6.5 4.6 0.5 11.5 13th
Total 9.1 25.5 31.5 22.5 8.9 2.3 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.3% 0.3
8-12 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.2
7-13 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
6-14 22.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.5
5-15 31.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 31.5
4-16 25.5% 25.5
3-17 9.1% 9.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.1%