Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.6#354
Expected Predictive Rating-18.4#360
Pace65.2#259
Improvement+0.4#170

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#282
First Shot+1.6#118
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#364
Layup/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#48
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement-0.8#223

Defense
Total Defense-9.6#360
First Shot-9.5#362
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks-3.8#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#335
Freethrows-1.1#265
Improvement+1.2#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.8% 95.0% 99.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 11.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 43 - 173 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 8   @ Arizona L 64-93 0.4%    0 - 1 -7.7 +0.9 -7.8
  Nov 09, 2024 106   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 9%     0 - 2 -7.5 +16.6 -25.2
  Nov 13, 2024 350   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 38%     0 - 3 -20.3 -18.7 -3.0
  Nov 16, 2024 234   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 18%     0 - 4 -22.0 -12.1 -10.6
  Nov 17, 2024 302   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 22%     0 - 5 -28.4 -5.1 -23.7
  Nov 19, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 37-108 0.5%    0 - 6 -50.5 -28.9 -15.7
  Nov 23, 2024 185   Brown L 76-83 18%     0 - 7 -11.0 +11.0 -22.8
  Nov 27, 2024 173   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 8%     0 - 8 -6.0 -4.8 -1.4
  Dec 06, 2024 214   Merrimack L 52-60 21%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -13.2 -15.6 +1.9
  Dec 08, 2024 228   Siena L 53-66 24%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -19.2 -12.2 -9.5
  Dec 14, 2024 209   Maine L 79-84 21%     0 - 11 -10.1 +12.9 -23.4
  Dec 18, 2024 110   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-72 5%     0 - 12 -6.1 -3.6 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2024 94   @ Bradley L 59-92 3%     0 - 13 -25.3 -1.0 -29.6
  Jan 05, 2025 274   @ Sacred Heart L 82-99 18%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -20.8 +4.7 -25.2
  Jan 10, 2025 313   Rider W 85-67 42%     1 - 14 1 - 3 +6.4 +16.6 -8.0
  Jan 12, 2025 292   St. Peter's L 49-62 35%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -22.7 -19.8 -4.3
  Jan 16, 2025 259   @ Iona L 61-82 16%     1 - 16 1 - 5 -23.8 -4.7 -20.8
  Jan 18, 2025 328   @ Fairfield W 78-67 29%     2 - 16 2 - 5 +3.3 +8.1 -3.8
  Jan 23, 2025 274   Sacred Heart L 84-93 32%     2 - 17 2 - 6 -17.9 +3.4 -21.1
  Jan 25, 2025 223   Marist L 47-70 23%     2 - 18 2 - 7 -28.8 -19.6 -12.5
  Jan 31, 2025 319   Niagara L 63-64 43%     2 - 19 2 - 8 -12.8 -10.7 -2.2
  Feb 06, 2025 189   @ Quinnipiac L 71-89 9%     2 - 20 2 - 9 -17.1 -2.4 -14.0
  Feb 08, 2025 214   @ Merrimack L 51-69 11%     2 - 21 2 - 10 -18.1 -13.7 -5.6
  Feb 12, 2025 319   @ Niagara L 60-71 25%     2 - 22 2 - 11 -17.7 -11.6 -7.1
  Feb 16, 2025 258   Mount St. Mary's L 66-73 29%     2 - 23 2 - 12 -14.9 -6.4 -8.8
  Feb 21, 2025 223   @ Marist L 81-89 12%     2 - 24 2 - 13 -8.7 +18.7 -28.3
  Feb 23, 2025 228   @ Siena L 65-78 11%    
  Feb 28, 2025 263   Manhattan L 74-80 32%    
  Mar 02, 2025 259   Iona L 68-74 32%    
  Mar 06, 2025 313   @ Rider L 67-74 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 292   @ St. Peter's L 61-70 19%    
Projected Record 3 - 28 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.7 3.2 0.6 4.5 12th
13th 27.5 38.4 23.5 5.0 0.1 94.4 13th
Total 27.5 38.4 24.2 8.4 1.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14 1.4% 1.4
5-15 8.4% 8.4
4-16 24.2% 24.2
3-17 38.4% 38.4
2-18 27.5% 27.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 27.5%