Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#351
Expected Predictive Rating-18.7#359
Pace67.1#250
Improvement-3.1#358

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#323
First Shot-1.5#227
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#349
Layup/Dunks-4.2#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#48
Freethrows-2.4#297
Improvement-2.7#360

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#361
First Shot-9.3#362
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#74
Layups/Dunks-6.6#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#302
Freethrows+1.5#102
Improvement-0.3#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 7.5% 10.8% 6.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 42.2% 34.2% 45.0%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 25.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 46 - 156 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -10.5 -2.6 -7.1
  Nov 09, 2024 115   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 11%     0 - 2 -8.4 +14.7 -24.2
  Nov 13, 2024 359   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 44%     0 - 3 -21.3 -17.3 -5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 272   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 24%     0 - 4 -23.7 -13.5 -11.0
  Nov 17, 2024 323   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 25%     0 - 5 -29.0 -5.6 -23.8
  Nov 19, 2024 30   @ Maryland L 37-108 1%     0 - 6 -55.2 -29.3 -19.9
  Nov 23, 2024 224   Brown L 68-75 26%    
  Nov 27, 2024 288   @ Robert Morris L 65-75 18%    
  Dec 06, 2024 223   Merrimack L 64-71 26%    
  Dec 08, 2024 306   Siena L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 14, 2024 236   Maine L 64-70 29%    
  Dec 18, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-82 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 95   @ Bradley L 60-81 3%    
  Jan 05, 2025 333   @ Sacred Heart L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 10, 2025 242   Rider L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 12, 2025 180   St. Peter's L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 16, 2025 247   @ Iona L 65-77 14%    
  Jan 18, 2025 271   @ Fairfield L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 23, 2025 333   Sacred Heart W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 233   Marist L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 31, 2025 324   Niagara L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 06, 2025 225   @ Quinnipiac L 67-80 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 223   @ Merrimack L 61-74 12%    
  Feb 12, 2025 324   @ Niagara L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 16, 2025 278   Mount St. Mary's L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 21, 2025 233   @ Marist L 63-75 14%    
  Feb 23, 2025 306   @ Siena L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 28, 2025 329   Manhattan L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 02, 2025 247   Iona L 68-74 31%    
  Mar 06, 2025 242   @ Rider L 66-78 15%    
  Mar 08, 2025 180   @ St. Peter's L 58-73 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.2 1.0 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.5 1.7 0.1 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 14.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.1 6.5 6.9 3.3 0.5 0.0 21.3 12th
13th 1.2 4.0 7.6 8.8 6.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 30.9 13th
Total 1.2 4.1 8.4 12.1 14.2 14.7 13.5 10.8 8.0 5.6 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 52.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 5.3% 5.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.2% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
12-8 1.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
11-9 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
10-10 3.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
9-11 5.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.5
8-12 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.8
6-14 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 14.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.7
4-16 14.2% 14.2
3-17 12.1% 12.1
2-18 8.4% 8.4
1-19 4.1% 4.1
0-20 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%