SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#293
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#86
Pace66.8#260
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 15.9% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 55.2% 68.6% 45.1%
.500 or above in Conference 68.6% 75.8% 63.2%
Conference Champion 15.4% 19.7% 12.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 3.0% 6.5%
First Four5.5% 5.9% 5.2%
First Round9.4% 12.6% 7.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 21 - 4
Quad 414 - 1015 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 24   @ Indiana L 61-80 3%     0 - 1 -3.2 -6.1 +3.6
  Nov 08, 2024 20   @ Illinois L 58-90 3%     0 - 2 -15.8 -6.3 -10.4
  Nov 12, 2024 207   @ Indiana St. W 77-72 24%     1 - 2 +5.4 +3.4 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2024 311   @ Western Michigan L 69-71 43%    
  Nov 16, 2024 318   Canisius W 70-68 57%    
  Nov 19, 2024 290   @ Green Bay L 71-74 38%    
  Nov 29, 2024 140   North Florida L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 08, 2024 224   Ball St. L 68-69 47%    
  Dec 19, 2024 279   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 69-73 37%    
  Dec 21, 2024 321   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 02, 2025 312   Western Illinois W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 351   Lindenwood W 73-64 78%    
  Jan 07, 2025 336   @ Eastern Illinois W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 325   Tennessee Tech W 71-66 68%    
  Jan 16, 2025 306   @ Tennessee St. L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 314   @ Tennessee Martin L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 23, 2025 317   Southern Indiana W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   Morehead St. W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 30, 2025 351   @ Lindenwood W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 312   @ Western Illinois L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 04, 2025 336   Eastern Illinois W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 13, 2025 314   Tennessee Martin W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 306   Tennessee St. W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 20, 2025 274   @ Morehead St. L 63-67 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 317   @ Southern Indiana L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 321   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-68 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 279   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-70 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.6 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 15.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.8 4.6 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.4 4.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.3 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.9 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.0 1.2 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.2 1.3 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.7 3.8 5.8 7.6 8.9 10.3 11.3 11.1 10.4 8.7 6.8 4.9 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 98.8% 1.4    1.4 0.1
17-3 93.2% 2.8    2.5 0.3 0.0
16-4 78.6% 3.8    2.8 0.9 0.1
15-5 53.0% 3.6    2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 26.1% 2.3    0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 7.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 10.2 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 54.5% 54.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.6% 53.2% 53.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.4% 46.7% 46.7% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8
17-3 3.0% 44.4% 44.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.6
16-4 4.9% 36.3% 36.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 3.1
15-5 6.8% 31.8% 31.8% 15.7 0.1 0.6 1.5 4.6
14-6 8.7% 24.8% 24.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.5
13-7 10.4% 16.9% 16.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.6 8.6
12-8 11.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.1
11-9 11.3% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.7
10-10 10.3% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.4 10.0
9-11 8.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.7
8-12 7.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.6
7-13 5.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.7
6-14 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
5-15 2.7% 2.7
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 8.5 87.5 0.0%