SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#263
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#234
Pace65.1#265
Improvement-0.5#205

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#305
First Shot-5.7#330
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#125
Layup/Dunks-2.6#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#134
Freethrows-4.5#361
Improvement+1.3#97

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#209
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks+1.7#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#300
Freethrows-0.6#230
Improvement-1.8#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 17.4% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 88.2% 92.1% 76.3%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 95.3% 82.4%
Conference Champion 15.6% 18.6% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four7.8% 8.1% 6.7%
First Round11.7% 13.0% 7.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 21 - 4
Quad 416 - 917 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 56   @ Indiana L 61-80 5%     0 - 1 -6.3 -6.9 +1.3
  Nov 08, 2024 9   @ Illinois L 58-90 1%     0 - 2 -10.6 -2.6 -8.8
  Nov 12, 2024 213   @ Indiana St. W 77-72 29%     1 - 2 +5.0 +1.4 +3.6
  Nov 15, 2024 304   @ Western Michigan W 79-60 48%     2 - 2 +13.8 +5.9 +8.7
  Nov 16, 2024 346   Canisius W 76-58 72%     3 - 2 +6.0 -2.0 +8.9
  Nov 19, 2024 333   @ Green Bay L 57-82 60%     3 - 3 -33.5 -22.4 -10.7
  Nov 29, 2024 245   North Florida L 73-78 56%     3 - 4 -12.4 -10.5 -1.8
  Dec 08, 2024 250   Ball St. W 82-69 58%     4 - 4 +5.2 +9.6 -3.4
  Dec 19, 2024 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 56-60 34%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -5.6 -11.9 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2024 269   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 64-80 41%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -19.4 -6.5 -13.4
  Jan 02, 2025 336   Western Illinois W 77-66 79%     5 - 6 1 - 2 -3.2 +12.6 -13.5
  Jan 04, 2025 341   Lindenwood W 58-47 79%     6 - 6 2 - 2 -3.3 -18.6 +15.6
  Jan 07, 2025 344   @ Eastern Illinois W 60-57 62%     7 - 6 3 - 2 -6.0 -7.3 +1.7
  Jan 11, 2025 317   Tennessee Tech W 67-59 72%     8 - 6 4 - 2 -3.7 -9.7 +6.2
  Jan 16, 2025 301   @ Tennessee St. W 87-80 2OT 47%     9 - 6 5 - 2 +1.9 +0.1 +0.8
  Jan 18, 2025 288   @ Tennessee Martin L 82-85 45%     9 - 7 5 - 3 -7.5 +13.1 -20.8
  Jan 23, 2025 324   Southern Indiana W 72-65 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 259   Morehead St. W 65-63 60%    
  Jan 30, 2025 341   @ Lindenwood W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 336   @ Western Illinois W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 04, 2025 344   Eastern Illinois W 70-61 80%    
  Feb 06, 2025 317   @ Tennessee Tech W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 288   Tennessee Martin W 70-66 66%    
  Feb 15, 2025 301   Tennessee St. W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 20, 2025 259   @ Morehead St. L 62-65 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 324   @ Southern Indiana W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 269   Southeast Missouri St. W 70-67 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 66-65 56%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.5 5.7 3.4 0.7 15.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 7.1 7.7 3.2 0.2 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 8.1 8.7 2.9 0.2 21.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.7 7.5 2.1 0.1 17.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.3 6.0 1.6 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 3.5 0.8 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.1 9.8 15.5 19.2 19.2 15.1 9.1 3.7 0.7 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
16-4 93.5% 3.4    2.8 0.6 0.0
15-5 62.8% 5.7    3.0 2.2 0.5
14-6 29.5% 4.5    1.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.4% 1.2    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
12-8 0.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.6% 15.6 8.0 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.7% 34.8% 34.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-4 3.7% 39.4% 39.4% 15.2 0.1 1.0 0.3 2.2
15-5 9.1% 33.9% 33.9% 15.7 0.0 0.9 2.2 6.0
14-6 15.1% 26.4% 26.4% 15.9 0.0 0.5 3.5 11.1
13-7 19.2% 17.2% 17.2% 16.0 0.2 3.2 15.9
12-8 19.2% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.1 1.9 17.2
11-9 15.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2 14.3
10-10 9.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 9.4
9-11 5.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 4.9
8-12 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
7-13 0.6% 0.6
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.8% 15.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.7 12.8 84.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 13.9 4.3 26.1 47.8 21.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%