Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#213
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#222
Pace79.9#7
Improvement-0.2#189

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#147
First Shot+3.5#80
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#320
Layup/Dunks+1.5#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#17
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement-0.9#242

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#282
First Shot-5.5#337
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#51
Layups/Dunks-4.8#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#130
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement+0.8#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 0.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 8.8% 19.4% 5.2%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 34.4% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 2.0% 7.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 48 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 108   Florida Atlantic L 64-97 28%     0 - 1 -29.6 -18.9 -5.6
  Nov 12, 2024 263   SIU Edwardsville L 72-77 71%     0 - 2 -13.5 -3.6 -9.9
  Nov 16, 2024 250   @ Ball St. W 94-84 48%     1 - 2 +7.7 +6.4 +0.0
  Nov 22, 2024 357   Chicago St. W 97-61 90%     2 - 2 +19.1 +15.7 +2.1
  Nov 25, 2024 324   @ Southern Indiana L 77-87 66%     2 - 3 -17.1 -6.0 -10.2
  Nov 29, 2024 100   Arkansas St. L 81-86 24%     2 - 4 -0.2 +6.2 -6.2
  Nov 30, 2024 253   Iona W 83-80 60%     3 - 4 -2.2 +7.1 -9.5
  Dec 01, 2024 262   Tarleton St. W 87-71 61%     4 - 4 +10.3 +15.2 -4.8
  Dec 07, 2024 244   @ Missouri St. W 80-77 46%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +1.2 +8.2 -7.0
  Dec 18, 2024 142   Murray St. W 84-74 44%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +8.7 +10.1 -1.4
  Dec 29, 2024 36   @ Ohio St. L 83-103 6%     6 - 5 -4.7 +8.5 -10.9
  Jan 01, 2025 73   Bradley L 89-90 OT 23%     6 - 6 2 - 1 +3.9 +5.7 -1.7
  Jan 04, 2025 261   @ Evansville W 66-62 51%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +1.1 -3.1 +4.3
  Jan 08, 2025 214   @ Valparaiso L 95-98 OT 40%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -3.1 +5.9 -8.5
  Jan 11, 2025 139   Belmont L 79-84 44%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -6.2 -3.2 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2025 73   @ Bradley L 65-118 11%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -42.6 -8.7 -28.7
  Jan 18, 2025 80   Drake L 53-71 25%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -13.6 -11.9 -3.4
  Jan 21, 2025 144   @ Illinois St. L 76-83 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 113   Northern Iowa L 78-81 41%    
  Jan 29, 2025 244   Missouri St. W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 143   @ Illinois-Chicago L 79-86 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 214   Valparaiso W 83-80 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 80   @ Drake L 64-77 11%    
  Feb 11, 2025 113   @ Northern Iowa L 75-83 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 144   Illinois St. L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 261   Evansville W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 139   @ Belmont L 84-91 25%    
  Feb 25, 2025 142   @ Murray St. L 73-80 25%    
  Mar 02, 2025 190   Southern Illinois W 80-79 55%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.0 0.2 5.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 4.6 1.0 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 3.0 7.5 2.4 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 9.3 4.3 0.2 16.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 9.8 6.9 0.8 0.0 20.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.1 8.2 6.9 1.3 0.0 18.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.5 0.8 0.0 11.2 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 2.2 12th
Total 0.4 2.4 7.6 15.5 20.5 20.8 16.2 10.1 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.4% 4.9% 4.9% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-8 1.5% 5.3% 5.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-9 4.8% 2.7% 2.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.6
10-10 10.1% 1.5% 1.5% 14.7 0.1 0.1 9.9
9-11 16.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.4 0.1 0.1 16.0
8-12 20.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 20.7
7-13 20.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 20.4
6-14 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-15 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
4-16 2.4% 2.4
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%