IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#207
Expected Predictive Rating	-19.3	#356

Pace	74.8	#55
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.8	#189

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	3.7%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.9	14.5

.500 or above	25.7%	38.2%	17.1%
.500 or above in Conference	34.3%	43.0%	28.3%
Conference Champion	2.2%	3.5%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	15.1%	10.0%	18.6%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	2.4%	3.6%	1.6%
Second Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Away) - 40.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 5	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	74	Florida Atlantic	L	64-97	17%	0 - 1			-25.2	-16.7	-3.4
Nov 12, 2024	293	SIU Edwardsville	L	72-77	76%	0 - 2			-14.9	-5.4	-9.5
Nov 16, 2024	224	@ Ball St.	L	73-75	41%
Nov 22, 2024	342	Chicago St.	W	82-70	86%
Nov 25, 2024	317	@ Southern Indiana	W	76-73	61%
Nov 29, 2024	115	Arkansas St.	L	74-80	29%
Nov 30, 2024	221	Iona	W	75-74	52%
Dec 01, 2024	299	Tarleton St.	W	76-72	65%
Dec 07, 2024	195	@ Missouri St.	L	71-75	37%
Dec 18, 2024	136	Murray St.	L	72-73	46%
Dec 29, 2024	17	@ Ohio St.	L	64-84	4%
Jan 01, 2025	90	Bradley	L	72-77	32%
Jan 04, 2025	248	@ Evansville	L	75-76	45%
Jan 08, 2025	278	@ Valparaiso	W	76-75	52%
Jan 11, 2025	151	Belmont	L	79-80	48%
Jan 15, 2025	90	@ Bradley	L	69-80	16%
Jan 18, 2025	98	Drake	L	71-76	34%
Jan 21, 2025	173	@ Illinois St.	L	69-74	34%
Jan 25, 2025	128	Northern Iowa	L	73-75	43%
Jan 29, 2025	195	Missouri St.	W	74-72	58%
Feb 01, 2025	162	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	76-82	31%
Feb 05, 2025	278	Valparaiso	W	79-72	71%
Feb 08, 2025	98	@ Drake	L	68-79	18%
Feb 11, 2025	128	@ Northern Iowa	L	70-78	25%
Feb 15, 2025	173	Illinois St.	W	72-71	54%
Feb 19, 2025	248	Evansville	W	78-73	66%
Feb 22, 2025	151	@ Belmont	L	76-83	29%
Feb 25, 2025	136	@ Murray St.	L	69-76	28%
Mar 02, 2025	161	Southern Illinois	W	72-71	50%
Projected Record						12 - 17	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Missouri Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0			2.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0				3.8	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.5	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0						4.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.1	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0							6.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.3	3.2	1.6	0.2	0.0								7.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.3	4.1	2.0	0.2	0.0									9.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.3	4.4	2.3	0.3	0.0										9.7	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.8	3.0	0.5	0.0											10.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.4	4.8	3.2	0.7	0.0												11.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.9	2.9	4.8	3.1	0.7	0.0													12.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.3	3.1	4.1	2.5	0.6	0.0														12.0	11th
12th	0.2	0.9	1.9	2.6	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.0															9.5	12th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	3.9	6.4	8.6	10.2	11.1	11.4	10.8	9.7	7.8	6.3	4.4	2.9	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				Total

Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	97.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	87.6%	0.4		0.3	0.1
16-4	68.1%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	37.3%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	13.3%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.1	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
18-2	0.1%		20.6%	20.6%		11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-3	0.4%		22.5%	22.5%		12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
16-4	0.8%		22.8%	22.8%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7
15-5	1.8%		13.3%	13.3%		13.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.5
14-6	2.9%		13.2%	13.2%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	2.5
13-7	4.4%		9.6%	9.6%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	3.9
12-8	6.3%		5.0%	5.0%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.0
11-9	7.8%		3.8%	3.8%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	7.5
10-10	9.7%		2.4%	2.4%		15.1															0.1	0.1	0.1	9.5
9-11	10.8%		1.0%	1.0%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.7
8-12	11.4%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.3
7-13	11.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
6-14	10.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
5-15	8.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
4-16	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
3-17	3.9%																							3.9
2-18	2.2%																							2.2
1-19	0.9%																							0.9
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	14.1											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.4	97.5		0.0%